Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 24-01-2013.

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24.01.2013
19:24
American focus: The euro rose against the dollar

The yen fell for the first time in four days versus the dollar after Deputy Economy Minister Yasutoshi Nishimura said its decline isn’t over and a level of 100 versus the U.S. currency wouldn’t be a concern.

The Japanese currency dropped against all of its 16 most- traded peers after a Chinese report showed manufacturing expanded at the fastest in two years, reducing demand for the yen as a refuge. Japan’s currency fell in early Asian trading after HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics said their preliminary reading of China’s Purchasing Managers’ Index increased to 51.9 in January from 51.5 the previous month. The data suggest China’s expansion at the start of 2013 will equal or exceed its 7.9 percent pace in the fourth quarter.

The euro strengthened against most of its major counterparts after Markit Economics released its survey of purchasing managers in manufacturing and services.

A composite index based on the survey climbed to 48.2 this month from 47.2 in December, the data showed. A reading below 50 indicates contraction.

Asian currencies also fell against the dollar after it was reported that North Korea may begin testing nuclear weapons.

Exchange rate euro strengthened against the dollar after the regional report showed that activity in the private sector continued to decline in January, but at a slower pace than many economists had forecast. According to the data, the composite index of production, which measures activity in the manufacturing sector and the services sector rose this month to 10-month high, reaching 48.2, compared to 47.2 in December, as well as the expectations of experts at around 47, 5. Meanwhile, the index of business activity in the services sector rose to a level of 48.3, up from 47.8 in December, while the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector rose to 47.5 from 46.1 mark.

The pound fell after the published data on the UK showed that the number of approved applications for mortgage loans remained almost unchanged in December, reaching with 33.6 thousand units, while analysts had expected growth to 34.1. Not helped the pound and retail sales data, which growth slowed slightly in January, but was still higher than expected. According to studies, which cover the first two weeks of January 2013, 41% of retailers reported an increase in sales compared to last year, while 24% reported a fall, resulting in retail sales was 17. Note that the average predicted value of this index was to drop to 10, compared to 19 in December.


16:57
USD / JPY has crossed Y90.00, despite the statements of the Bank for International Settlements


The growth of the USD / JPY was caused by a number of representatives of Japan's comments, including the statement that "USD / JPY at Y100 does not cause concern," which brought the price to around Y90 during the New York session.

Also today, there were reports that the head of the Bank for International Settlements Karuna said that aggressive easing taking place in recent years, it becomes counterproductive, and that the Central Bank is under too much pressure from governments that want to first stimulate growth and impaired the currency.

Currently the pair is trading in Y90.00/05, 1.6% higher than the opening price.


16:00
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, +2.8
15:53
EUR / USD: Euro updated intraday high of $ 1.3378


After a period of hesitation euro resumed its rise against the dollar, having tested highs this week, despite the overall increase in USD.

EUR / USD was able to break through $ 1.3350 and reach a 4-day high of $ 1.3378, breaking the $ 1.3371, a maximum of 22 January.

Currently the pair is trading around $ 1.3370/80, up 0.4% above its opening price.


15:00
U.S.: Leading Indicators , December +0.5% (forecast +0.4%)
14:00
U.S.: Manufacturing PMI, January 56.1 (forecast 53.2)
13:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3250, $1.3300, $1.3350, $1.3385, $1.3400

USD/JPY Y88.50, Y89.00, Y90.00

GBP/USD $1.6025

USD/CHF Chf0.9225, Chf0.9340

AUD/USD $1.0500, $1.055


13:30
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, 330 (forecast 361)
13:15
European session: The yen fell sharply

Data

01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) January 51.5 51.9

08:00 France Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) January 44.6 44.9 42.9

08:00 France Services PMI (preliminary) January 45.2 45.6 43.6

08:30 Germany Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) January 46.0 47.1 48.8

08:30 Germany Services PMI (preliminary) January 52.0 52.0 55.3

09:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) January 46.1 46.6 47.5

09:00 Eurozone Services PMI (preliminary) January 47.8 48.1 48.3

09:00 Eurozone Current account, adjusted, bln November 8.0 4.2 14.8

09:00 Switzerland World Economic Forum Annual Meetings -

09:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals December 33.6 34.1 33.6

11:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance January 19 14 17


The yen fell for the first time in four days against the dollar after the Deputy Minister of Economy of Japan Nishimura said that the currency collapse is not over, and the level of 100 yen to the U.S. dollar will not be a problem.

The yen fell by at least 0.5 percent against all 16 major currencies, as the Chinese report showed that manufacturing PMI rose in January while still achieving the highest value in the last two years, which immediately led to a fall in demand on the Japanese currency. HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics said its preliminary index of purchasing managers in China increased to 51.9 in January, compared with 51.5 in the previous month. Note that the findings suggest that the growth of China's economy in early 2013 will be equal to or greater than the growth of 7.9% recorded in the fourth quarter.

Asian currencies also fell against the dollar after it was reported that North Korea may begin testing nuclear weapons.

Exchange rate euro strengthened against the dollar after the regional report showed that activity in the private sector continued to decline in January, but at a slower pace than many economists had forecast. According to the data, the composite index of production, which measures activity in the manufacturing sector and the services sector rose this month to 10-month high, reaching 48.2, compared to 47.2 in December, as well as the expectations of experts at around 47, 5. Meanwhile, the index of business activity in the services sector rose to a level of 48.3, up from 47.8 in December, while the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector rose to 47.5 from 46.1 mark.

The pound fell after the published data on the UK showed that the number of approved applications for mortgage loans remained almost unchanged in December, reaching with 33.6 thousand units, while analysts had expected growth to 34.1. Not helped the pound and retail sales data, which growth slowed slightly in January, but was still higher than expected. According to studies, which cover the first two weeks of January 2013, 41% of retailers reported an increase in sales compared to last year, while 24% reported a fall, resulting in retail sales was 17. Note that the average predicted value of this index was to drop to 10, compared to 19 in December.


EUR / USD: during the European session varies in the range of $ 1.3284-$ 1.3347

GBP / USD: during the European session is reduced, and is now trading at $ 1.5803

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y89.71


At 13:30 GMT the United States, there are data on the number of initial claims for unemployment insurance and the number of repeat applications for unemployment benefits in January. At 14:00 GMT Belgium presented index business sentiment for January. At 23:30 GMT Japan will publish the index of consumer prices in the country and in Tokyo in January. At 23:50 GMT Japan released minutes of the meeting of the Bank of Japan on monetary policy in January and preliminary data on industrial production in December.


13:00
Orders

EUR/USD

Orders $1.3395/405, $1.3380, $1.3350/55

Bids $1.3285/80, $1.3265/60, $1.3250, $1.3230/20


GBP/USD

Orders $1.5980, $1.5950, $1.5900/10, $1.5870/75

Bids $1.5800, $1.5780/70, $1.5755/45


AUD/USD

Orders $1.0590, $1.0560/70, $1.0540

Bids $1.0490/80, $1.0475/70, $1.0455/50, $1.0410/00


EUR/JPY

Orders Y121.00, Y120.50, Y120.00

Bids Y118.65/60, Y118.50, Y118.30/20, Y118.00, Y117.70/50


USD/JPY

Orders Y90.55/60, Y90.50, Y90.40, Y89.70/80

Bids Y89.10/00, Y88.90/80, Y88.50, Y88.00


EUR/GBP

Orders stg0.8500, stg0.8450, stg0.8440, stg0.8430

Bids stg0.8385/75, stg0.8355/50, stg0.8300, stg0.8260


11:15
European stocks rise

Positive impact on the markets has a positive economic data from China, according to which the preliminary value of the index of industrial purchasing managers of the country, calculated HSBC, was in January of 51.9 points against 51.5 in December and 50.5 points in November.

Along with these encouraging data on the index of business activity in the euro area. The composite index of production, which measures activity in the manufacturing sector and the services sector rose this month to 10-month high, reaching 48.2, compared to 47.2 in December, as well as the expectations of experts at around 47.5. The index of business activity in the services sector rose to a level of 48.3, up from 47.8 in December, while the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector rose to 47.5 from 46.1 mark.

FTSE 100 6,219.54 +21.90 +0.35%

DAX 7,709.33 +1.79 +0.02%

CAC 3,734.67 +10.10 +0.23%

Shares of ARM Holdings Plc, producing microchips for Apple Inc., Fell 1.4%.

The market value of the manufacturer Logitech International SA, produces computer hardware and the world's largest producer of "mouse", fell by 9.2% on news that the company received a loss of $ 195 million at the end of the last quarter.

At the same time, the market capitalization of the budget airline EasyJet Plc rose by 3.7% due to higher sales in October-December.


11:00
United Kingdom: CBI retail sales volume balance, January 17 (forecast 14)
10:27
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3250, $1.3300, $1.3350, $1.3385, $1.3400

USD/JPY Y88.50, Y89.00, Y90.00

GBP/USD $1.6025

USD/CHF Chf0.9225, Chf0.9340

AUD/USD $1.0500, $1.055

09:30
United Kingdom: BBA Mortgage Approvals, December 33.6 (forecast 34.1)
09:05
Eurozone: Current account, adjusted, bln , November 14.8 (forecast 4.2)
08:59
Eurozone: Manufacturing PMI, January 47.5 (forecast 46.6)
08:59
Eurozone: Services PMI, January 48.3 (forecast 48.1)
08:30
Germany: Manufacturing PMI, January 48.8 (forecast 47.1)
08:30
Germany: Services PMI, January 55.3 (forecast 52.0)
07:59
France: Manufacturing PMI, January 42.9 (forecast 44.9)
07:59
France: Services PMI, January 43.6 (forecast 45.6)
07:01
Asian session: The yen weakened

01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) January 51.5 51.9


The yen weakened as signs of strengthening manufacturing in China damped demand for the relative safety of Japan’s currency, while North Korea’s threat to test nuclear weapons sapped appetite for the region’s assets. North Korea threatened to conduct a nuclear weapons test “targeted” at the U.S. after the Obama administration pushed through new United Nations sanctions against the totalitarian state for last month’s rocket launch. The yen slid versus all of its 16 major counterparts after a private report showed factory output in China, the world’s second-biggest economy, is expanding at the fastest pace in two years. HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics said today the preliminary reading of China’s Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 51.9 in January from the 51.5 final reading for December and the 51.7 median estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News. Japan today posted a bigger-than-estimated trade deficit and data tomorrow may show consumer prices fell the most since August. Japanese imports exceeded exports by 641.5 billion yen ($7.2 billion) last month, compared to a 954.8 billion yen gap in November, the Ministry of Finance said today. The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a 522.8 billion yen shortfall. Exports in December dropped by more than forecast, and the annual trade deficit was a record 6.93 trillion yen, the data showed.

The euro failed to rally after the International Monetary Fund cut global growth forecasts and projected a second year of contraction in the currency bloc. The world economy will expand 3.5 percent this year, less than the 3.6 percent forecast in October, the Washington-based IMF said yesterday in an update of its World Economic Outlook report. It expects the 17-country euro area to shrink 0.2 percent in 2013, instead of growing 0.2 percent as forecast in October.


EUR/USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $1.3295-25.

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.5810.

USD/JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y89.30.


With the recent upturn in sentiment across the region, Thursday's flash service and manufacturing PMI numbers will offer an early glimpse at the state of the European economy. The main two releases will see French flash numbers released at 0758 GMT and German data at 0828GMT. Overall Eurozone PMI numbers will be released at 0858GMT. At 0900GMT, the ECB November current account numbers will be released, along with the Italian November retail sales numbers. 1400GMT, the Belgium January business confidence index will cross the wires.

06:43
Currencies. Daily history for Jan 23'2013:

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3317 -0,04%

GBP/USD $1,5843 +0,04%

USD/CHF Chf0,9292 0,00%

USD/JPY Y88,59 -0,12%

EUR/JPY Y118,00 -0,15%

GBP/JPY Y140,37 -0,07%

AUD/USD $1,0554 -0,09%

NZD/USD $0,8402 -0,07%

USD/CAD C$0,9990 +0,73%


06:00
Schedule for today, Thursday, Jan 24’2013:

01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) January 51.5 51.9

08:00 France Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) January 44.6 44.9

08:00 France Services PMI (preliminary) January 45.2 45.6

08:30 Germany Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) January 46.0 47.1

08:30 Germany Services PMI (preliminary) January 52.0 52.0

09:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) January 46.1 46.6

09:00 Eurozone Services PMI (preliminary) January 47.8 48.1

09:00 Eurozone Current account, adjusted, bln November 3.9 4.2

09:00 Switzerland World Economic Forum Annual Meetings -

09:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals December 33.6 34.1

11:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance January 19 14

13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims - 335 361

14:00 Belgium Business Climate January -11.8 -10.9

14:00 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) January 54.2 53.2

15:00 U.S. Leading Indicators December -0.2% +0.4%

16:00 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories - -1.0

23:30 Japan National Consumer Price Index, y/y December -0.2% -0.2%

23:30 Japan National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y December -0.1% -0.2%

23:30 Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y January -0.6% -0.6%

23:30 Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y January -0.6% -0.5%

23:50 Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes January

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