Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 23-01-2013.

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23.01.2013
15:00
Canada: Bank of Canada Rate, 1.00% (forecast 1.00%)
14:00
U.S.: Housing Price Index, m/m, November +0.6% (forecast +0.7%)
14:00
U.S.: Housing Price Index, y/y, November +5.6%
13:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3275, $1.3300, $1.3350, $1.3400

USD/JPY Y88.50, Y88.80, Y89.00, Y90.00

EUR/JPY Y120.00

EUR/CHF Chf1.2300, Chf1.2500, Chf1.2515, Chf1.2550

AUD/USD $1.0525

AUD/NZD NZ$1.2570


13:15
European session: the euro rose

Data

00:30 Australia CPI, q/q IV quarter +1.4% +0.4% +0.2%

00:30 Australia CPI, y/y IV quarter +2.0% +2.4% +2.2%

02:00 China Leading Index December +1.1% +0.4%

02:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report January

09:00 Switzerland World Economic Forum Annual Meetings -

09:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes -

09:30 United Kingdom Claimant count December -8.9 0.3 -12.1

09:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate December 4.8% 4.8% 4.8%

09:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate November 7.8% 7.8% 7.7%

09:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y November +1.8% +1.6% +1.5%

09:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y November +1.7% +1.5% +1.4%

10:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) January -15.5 -5.0 -6.9


The yen rose for a third day against the dollar, recording the longest series for almost two months, on speculation that the measures that will be announced by the Bank of Japan is not enough to stimulate economic growth and weaken the currency.

The yen strengthened against 12 of its 16 major counterparts, as many market participants are waiting for the publication of data on the consumer price index, which will be presented this week.

The pound rose as data released today showed that the number of applications for unemployment benefits fell last month to 12,100 people, while reaching the level of 1.56 million in December. This fall was a big surprise to many economists, as projected value of this indicator was to increase by about 300-500 people. Meanwhile, the level of applications for employment of unemployed remained unchanged and amounted to 4.8% at the same time, in line with estimates. At the same time, the unemployment rate, which is calculated according to ILO, fell during September and November to reach 7.7%, compared to 7.8%, while economists had expected the rate will remain unchanged.

Franc rose against the dollar after a report showed confidence among Swiss investors rose in January, registering with the fourth monthly increase, and reached its highest level since May 2012, which adds to signs that the economy may be stabilizing . According to the data, the index of investor expectations, which is used to assess the potential economic development for six consecutive months, rose in January to a level of -6.9, compared with -15.5. At the same time, the index, which measures current economic conditions rose to the level 16 with 6.6.

The euro rose against the dollar, as investors are awaiting a vote in the U.S. House of Representatives. Note that the U.S. House of Representatives today on the initiative of the Republican vote for an automatic increase in the debt ceiling until May 18. Investors in mortgage rates waiting for the issue, which stimulates the growth of the euro, which is trading at 1.3350 before the opening of the New York session.


EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3345

GBP / USD: during the European session after falling to $ 1.5885

USD / JPY: during the European session the pair fell to Y88.62

At 14:00 GMT the decision on the basic interest rate of the Bank of Canada will announce. Also during this time, the Bank of Canada will release its accompanying statement. At 14:00 GMT the U.S. will index of business activity in the manufacturing sector in January. At 15:00 GMT Eurozone present indicator of consumer confidence for January. At 15:30 GMT the United States will report on stocks of crude oil from the Ministry of Energy in January. At 15:30 GMT in Canada will publish the report of the Bank of Canada's monetary policy, and 16:15 GMT - A press conference of the Bank of Canada. Finish the day at 23:50 GMT Japan data from the balance of foreign trade in goods, the adjusted balance of trade in goods, the change in volume of exports and imports in December.

13:00
Orders

EUR/USD

Orders $1.3395/405, $1.3380, $1.3360

Bids $1.3280, $1.3260/50, $1.3230/20


GBP/USD

Orders $1.5980, $1.5950, $1.5900/10

Bids $1.5800, $1.5780/70, $1.5755/45


AUD/USD

Orders $1.0635/40, $1.0590

Bids $1.0530/25, , $1.0510/00, $1.0490/80, $1.0475/70


EUR/JPY

Orders Y119.35/40, Y119.00/10, Y118.80, Y118.50, Y118.30/35, Y118.00

Bids Y117.25/20, Y117.10/00, Y116.80/70, Y116.60/50, Y116.00


USD/JPY

Orders Y89.70, Y89.50, Y89.10, Y89.00, Y88.70/80, Y88.45/50

Bids Y88.00, Y87.85/80, Y87.50


EUR/GBP

Orders stg0.8500, stg0.8450, stg0.8440, stg0.8420-30

Bids stg0.8385/75, stg0.8355/50, stg0.8300, stg0.8260


10:24
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3200, $1.3295, $1.3300, $1.3350, $1.3365, $1.3400

USD/JPY Y86.50, Y87.15, Y87.75, Y88.50, Y89.00, Y89.50

GBP/USD $1.5850, $1.6000

EUR/CHF Chf1.2335

AUD/USD $1.0500, $1.0550

10:02
Switzerland: Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations), January -6.9 (forecast -5.0)
09:32
United Kingdom: Claimant count , December -12.1 (forecast 0.3)
09:31
United Kingdom: Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y, November +1.4% (forecast +1.5%)
09:31
United Kingdom: ILO Unemployment Rate, November 7.7% (forecast 7.8%)
09:31
United Kingdom: Claimant Count Rate, December 4.8% (forecast 4.8%)
09:31
United Kingdom: Average Earnings, 3m/y , November +1.5% (forecast +1.6%)
09:12
UK CAMERON: I'm not a British isolationist


  • UK independent, but open too

  • Want European Union to be success

  • I am in favour of having a referendum on EU

  • Will hold in/out referendum if wins 2015 election

  • EU in/out referendum would be held between 2015-17

09:08
UK CAMERON: I'm not a British isolationist


  • UK independent, but open too

  • Want European Union to be success

  • I am in favour of having a referendum on EU

  • Will hold in/out referendum if wins 2015 election

  • EU in/out referendum would be held between 2015-17

08:41
Forex: Tuesday’s review

The yen advanced the most in eight months against the dollar after the Bank of Japan said it will conduct open-ended asset purchases starting in January 2014, disappointing investors who expected bolder action sooner. Japan’s currency advanced from almost its weakest versus the dollar since June 2010 as the BOJ under outgoing Governor Masaaki Shirakawa said it will buy 13 trillion yen ($146.6 billion) in assets a month from January 2014 and set a 2 percent inflation target.

The euro rose for the first time in three days against the dollar after data showed that the level of confidence among German investors rose in January to its highest level for the last 2.5 years, adding a sign that Europe's largest economy is gaining momentum. The single currency also rose after the Bundesbank representative has denied speculation that Weidmann plans to step down as president of the central bank of Germany.

Later, the euro fell against the deterioration of statistics from the U.S.. As it became known, sales in the secondary housing market of the United States unexpectedly fell by 1% m / m to 4.94 million, and, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, economic activity slowed in December.

The pound rose against the dollar, despite the fact that the published data showed a sharp drop in the balance of industrial orders. It is learned that the balance of industrial orders fell in January to the level of -20, compared to -12 in December. Note that according to the average forecast of experts value of this indicator should have been -11. In addition, for the three months ended in January, the balance of industrial orders up 4, contrary to expectations, at 8. However, the rate of decline was much less than -13 in the third quarter.


07:02
Asian session: The yen remained higher

00:30 Australia CPI, q/q IV quarter +1.4% +0.4% +0.2%

00:30 Australia CPI, y/y IV quarter +2.0% +2.4% +2.2%

02:00 China Leading Index December +1.1% +0.4%

02:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report January


The yen remained higher following a two-day advance on speculation Japanese inflation data this week will add to evidence that the central bank’s monetary stimulus is failing to increase consumer prices.

The Bank of Japan increased its price-gain target to 2 percent yesterday and announced open-ended asset purchases to start next year. It predicted inflation will accelerate 0.9 percent in the fiscal year beginning April 2014.

The euro was 0.7 percent from its highest in almost 11 months ahead of data that may add to signs of recovery in the region. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its euro forecasts to $1.40 over the next three to six months from previous estimates of $1.25 and $1.33, the bank said in a report yesterday.

The Australian dollar dropped after the statistics bureau said the country’s consumer price index rose 0.2 percent from the previous three months, trailing the 0.4 percent increase estimated by economists in a Bloomberg poll.

The British pound traded near the weakest since February versus the euro before a speech in which Prime Minister David Cameron will promise a referendum on whether the U.K. should leave the European Union.


EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell below $ 1.3300.

GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to yesterday's lows.

USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell by updating week low.


UK data is expected at 0930GMT and sees the release of November and December employment data.

06:28
Currencies. Daily history for Jan 22'2013:

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3322 +0,07%

GBP/USD $1,5837 +0,05%

USD/CHF Chf0,9292 -0,33%

USD/JPY Y88,70 -1,00%

EUR/JPY Y118,18 -0,93%

GBP/JPY Y140,47 -0,98%

AUD/USD $1,0564 +0,46%

NZD/USD $0,8408 +0,57%

USD/CAD C$0,9917 -0,10%

06:04
Schedule for today, Wednesday, Jan 23’2013:

00:30 Australia CPI, q/q IV quarter +1.4% +0.4% +0.2%

00:30 Australia CPI, y/y IV quarter +2.0% +2.4% +2.2%

02:00 China Leading Index December +1.1% +0.4%

02:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report January

09:00 Switzerland World Economic Forum Annual Meetings -

09:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes -

09:30 United Kingdom Claimant count December -3.0 0.3

09:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate December 4.8% 4.8%

09:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate November 7.8% 7.8%

09:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y November +1.8% +1.6%

09:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y November +1.7% +1.5%

10:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) January -15.5 -5.0

14:00 U.S. Housing Price Index, m/m November +0.5% +0.7%

14:00 U.S. Housing Price Index, y/y November +5.6%

15:00 Canada Bank of Canada Rate - 1.00% 1.00%

15:00 Canada BOC Rate Statement -

15:00 Canada Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report Quarter I

15:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence January -26.5 -26.0

16:15 Canada BOC Press Conference -

21:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories - +0.05

23:50 Japan Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance, bln December -868.5 -760.9

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