Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 26-04-2012.

EUR/USD $1.3300, $1.3250, $1.3200, $1.3150

USD/JPY Y80.75, Y80.50

GBP/USD $1.6180, $1.6110, $1.6100, $1.6080

EUR/GBP stg0.8185, stg0.8175

AUD/USD $1.0330, $1.0360, $1.0385, $1.0400, $1.0420, $1.0460

NZD/USD $0.8160, $0.8150, $0.8140

Data:
08:30   United Kingdom                   BBA Mortgage Approvals   March  33.1 34.3 31.8
09:00   Eurozone                  Business climate indicator     April -0.30   -0.30   -0.52
09:00   Eurozone                  Industrial confidence   April -7.2 -7.0 -9.0
10:00   United Kingdom                   CBI retail sales volume balance        April 0       -3     -6
12:00   Germany                   CPI, m/m (preliminary)        April +0.4% +0.1% +0.2%
12:00   Germany                   CPI, y/y (preliminary)  April +2.3% +2.0% +2.2%
12:30   U.S.              Initial Jobless Claims   21.04.2012   386   378   388

In early European session, the euro rose to a three-week high against the dollar in the wake of Bernanke's comments, published on Wednesday night, according to which the central bank is still willing to use its balance sheet to stimulate the world's largest economy, if the labor market weakens or inflation expectations will fall below the target level . However, a few hours later, the euro retreated against the dollar under pressure from weak data on the sentiment index in the business community and business optimism in the industry, the eurozone, which were lower than projected. The negative sentiment intensified after a six-month bill yield increase of Italy. Today, the Italian government posted the bond with a maturity of October 31 this year at 8.5 billion euros, as planned. Yield securities increased to 1.77% from 1.12% recorded in the previous auction of similar securities, held a month earlier. Note that the demand exceeded supply by 1.7 times. Also, the fall of the euro coincided with the data on the growth of inflation in Germany.
The pound fell against the dollar after the index of retail sales according to the Confederation of British Industry was worse than expected, falling to -6 points vs 0 points in the previous month.
Demonstrates the growth of the Japanese yen before the meeting of the Bank of Japan, dedicated to monetary policy. Today the Minister of National Strategy of Japan said that the Bank of Japan should consider various options for action, including ways to purchase financial assets. Since the yen is undesirable sharp movements, and the strong yen affects the attempts of companies to support the production activity.
The pressure exerted on the dollar of an increase in applications for unemployment benefits. Thus, the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits last week reached 388 thousand, 375 thousand expected.

EUR / USD: steam updated daily minimum in the region, dropping below $ 1.3200 after the release of unemployment data was restored in the area of ​​$ 1.3220.

GBP / USD: the pair fell to $ 1.6165. Later the course was restored to the area of ​​$ 1.6190.

USD / JPY: the pair of shows at least Y80, 65.

AUD/USD
Offers $1.0525, $1.0490/00, $1.0460/65, $1.0450, $1.0400
Bids $1.0355/50, $1.0325/20, $1.0310/00, $1.0280, $1.0260

USD/JPY
Offers Y81.90/00, Y81.65/70, Y81.50, Y81.40/45
Bids Y80.60/50, Y80.30, Y80.00

EUR/JPY
Offers Y108.60/65, Y108.35/40, Y107.95/00, Y107.75/80, Y107.35/40
Bids Y106.55/50, Y106.20/00, Y105.70/65

Resistance 3: Y81.80/90 (Apr 10 and 20 highs)

Resistance 2: Y81.70 (Apr 25 high)
Resistance 1: Y81.30 (Apr 24 high)
Current price: Y80.91
Support 1: Y80.60 (area of Mar 6-7 lows)
Support 2: Y80.30/20 (area of Feb 29, Apr 16-17 lows) 
Support 3: Y80.00 (Feb 28 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9170 (Apr 23 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9140 (area of Apr 24 high and МА(200) for Н1) 
Resistance 1: Chf0.9120 (Apr 25 high)
Current price: Chf0.9093
Support 1: Chf0.9055 (session low)
Support 2: Chf0.9000 (area of April and March lows, psychological level)
Support 3: Chf0.8930 (area low of February)

Resistance 3 : $1.6330 (31 Aug high)

Resistance 2 : $1.6250 (2 Sep high)

Resistance 1 : $1.6210 (intraday high)

Current price: $1.6177

Support 1 : $1.6155 (session low)

Support 2 : $1.6080 (area of Apr 23 and Apr 25 low)

Support 3 : $1.6040 (МА(200) for Н1)

Resistance 3 : $1.3300 (resistance line from Feb 29)
Resistance 2 : $1.3260 (session high)
Resistance 1 : $1.3240 (Apr 25 high)
Current price: $1.3204
Support 1 : $1.3170 (Apr 25 low)
Support 2 : $1.3150 (area of Apr 24 low and МА (200) for Н1)
Support 3 : $1.3100 (Apr 23 low)

Rate currently trades around $1.3220, having seen highs earlier in the day of $1.3263. Bids seen into the overnight low of $1.3217.

EUR/USD $1.3300, $1.3250, $1.3200, $1.3150

USD/JPY Y80.75, Y80.50

GBP/USD $1.6180, $1.6110, $1.6100, $1.6080

EUR/GBP stg0.8185, stg0.8175

AUD/USD $1.0330, $1.0360, $1.0385, $1.0400, $1.0420, $1.0460

NZD/USD $0.8160, $0.8150, $0.8140

00:00 Australia Leading Index February +1.1% 0.0%

04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m February -1.0% 0.0% -0.1%

The dollar remained lower against its peers before data tomorrow that may show U.S. growth slowed in the first quarter, fueling speculation the Federal Reserve will consider additional stimulus. U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product, the value of all goods and services the nation produced, rose at a 2.5 percent annual rate after advancing 3 percent in the previous three months, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The Commerce Department will release the data tomorrow. Fed policy makers upgraded their forecasts for growth and unemployment this year while repeating their view that borrowing costs are likely to remain “exceptionally low” at least through late 2014. The central bank bought $2.3 trillion of bonds in two rounds of asset purchases or so-called quantitative easing between December 2008 and June 2011.

New Zealand’s dollar advanced against the Australian currency on prospects the bigger nation’s central bank will cut interest rates next month. New Zealand’s central bank left interest rates at a record low, citing benign inflation, and signaled that the rising currency may delay an increase in borrowing costs. “The New Zealand dollar has stayed elevated despite recent falls in commodity prices,” Governor Alan Bollard said in a statement in Wellington today. “For now, it is appropriate for the official cash rate to remain at 2.5 percent. Should the exchange rate remain strong without anything else changing, the bank would need to reassess the outlook for monetary policy settings.”

New Zealand’s economic growth slowed more than economists predicted in the fourth quarter, expanding 0.3 percent after a 0.7 percent advance in the July-September period, a government report showed March 22. That was half the 0.6 percent median projection for growth in a Bloomberg survey of 16 economists.

EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair holds in a range $1.3215-$1.3235.

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair holds in a range $1.6155-$1.6175.

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to yesterday's low.

The German flash HICP data will follow state releases but scheduled events start at 0730GMT when ECB President Mario Draghi gives the opening speech at a conference entitled "Financial integration and stability: towards a more resilient single EU financial market", which

is taking place in Frankfurt. ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio then presents a report on Financial Integration at the same event at 0745GMT. Italy releases the ISTAT business survey at 0900GMT at the same time as the EMU economic sentiment survey and business climate indicator. UK data includes the BBA Bank Lending Report at 0830GMT, which includes mortgage approvals data. UK data then continues at 1000GMT with the CBI Distributive Trades Survey where the reported sales balance is expected to improve to a reading of 7. US data starts at 1230GMT when initial jobless claims are expected to fall 11,000 to 375,000, holding virtually steady in the previous week. US data continues at 1400GMT with NAR Pending Home Sales. Later on, at 2000GMT, US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner speaks to the Commonwealth Club on "U.S. and Global Economies Ahead of the 2012 U.S.-China Strategic nd Economic Dialogue," in San Francisco, while late data at the same time sees money supply data released.

Yesterday the dollar rose against the euro and the yen after the Federal Reserve refrained from new actions to stimulate the economy. The Fed kept intact its program to exchange $400 billion in shorter-term holdings for longer-term debt, dubbed Operation Twist and scheduled to expire in June. Policy makers led by Bernanke are holding off on additional steps to boost the economy amid signs the more than two-year expansion is gaining strength. Still, the jobless rate isn’t declining fast enough to satisfy central bankers, who repeated their view that borrowing costs are likely to remain “exceptionally low” at least through late 2014.

The dollar fell earlier as U.S. durable-goods orders dropped by the most in three years. U.S. durable goods orders slid 4.2 percent in March, the biggest decrease since January 2009, after a revised 1.9 percent gain the prior month. Economists forecast a 1.7 percent decrease.

The pound fell from a seven-month high versus the dollar after a government report showed the U.K. slipped back into recession, backing the case for the Bank of England to extend its asset-purchase program.

Resistance 3: Y82.55 (Apr 6 high)

Resistance 2: Y81.80 (Apr 20 high)

Resistance 1: Y81.45 (session high)

The current price: Y81.15

Support 1: Y81.05 (Apr 25 low)

Support 2: Y80.85 (Apr 18 low)

Support 3: Y80.30 (Apr 16 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9140 (Apr 24 high)

Resistance 2: Chf0.9120 (Apr 25 high)

Resistance 1: Chf0.9090 (session high)

The current price: Chf0.9085

Support 1: Chf0.9070/75 (Apr 2 high, Apr 25 low)

Support 2: Chf0.9000 (Apr 3 low)

Support 3: Chf0.8980 (high of the European session on Feb 29)

Resistance 3 : $1.6255 (Sep 2 high)

Resistance 2 : $1.6205 (Sep 6 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.6180 (Apr 25 high)

The current price: $1.6172

Support 1 : $1.6155 (session low)

Support 2 : $1.6130 (low of the Asian session on Apr 25)

Support 3 : $1.6080 (Apr 25 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.3365 (Apr 3 high)

Resistance 2 : $1.3300 (psychological level)

Resistance 1 : $1.3235/40 (area of Apr 4-25 highs)

The current price: $1.3224

Support 1 : $1.3215 (session low)

Support 2 : $1.3180 (Apr 25 low)

Support 3 : $1.3145 (Apr 24 low)

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3222 +0,21%

GBP/USD $1,6167 +0,16%

USD/CHF Chf0,9087 -0,19%

USD/JPY Y81,31 0,00%

EUR/JPY Y107,51 +0,18%

GBP/JPY Y131,45 +0,16%

AUD/USD $1,0363 +0,40%

NZD/USD $0,8163 +0,42%

USD/CAD C$0,9834 -0,39%

00:00 Australia Leading Index February +1.1%

04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m February -1.0% 0.0%

08:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals March 33.1 34.3

09:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator April -0.30 -0.30

09:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence April -7.2 -7.0

10:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance April 0 -3

12:00 Germany CPI, m/m (preliminary) April +0.4% +0.1%

12:00 Germany CPI, y/y (preliminary) April +2.3% +2.0%

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 21.04.2012 386 378

14:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) March -0.5% +1.4%

23:01 United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence April -31 -29

23:30 Japan Household spending Y/Y March +2.3% +3.8%

23:30 Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y April -0.1% -0.1%

23:30 Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y April -0.3% -0.3%

23:30 Japan National Consumer Price Index, y/y March +0.3% +0.4%

23:30 Japan National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y March +0.1% +0.1%

23:30 Japan Unemployment Rate March 4.5% 4.5%

23:50 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (preliminary) March -1.6% +2.4%

23:50 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (preliminary) March +1.5% +15.5%

23:50 Japan Retail sales, y/y March +3.5% +11.5%