Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 01-05-2012.

EUR/USD $1.3200, $1.3235, $1.3250, $1.3300, $1.3335

USD/JPY Y79.75, Y80.00, Y80.40, Y80.50 

GBP/USD $1.6200, $1.6250 

EUR/JPY Y105.75, Y106.00

USD/CHF Chf0.9065, Chf0.9080

AUD/USD $1.0225, $1.0250, $1.0260, $1.0330, $1.0400, $1.0450

Data:
08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing April 52.1 51.4 50.5

The pound fell against the euro after an industry report showed U.K. manufacturing growth slowed more than economists forecast.
Today’s Purchasing Managers’ Index followed gross-domestic-product data last week showing Britain’s economy re-entered a recession in the first quarter.
The U.K. economy unexpectedly shrank in the first three months of the year, according to data published April 25, pushing the nation into its first double-dip recession since the 1970s. Britain’s GDP fell 0.2% from the fourth quarter of 2011, when it declined 0.3%, the Office for National Statistics said.

EUR/USD: the pair come nearer to resistance in $1,3270 area.

GBP/USD: the pair showed low below $1,6200 then restored in area of session high in $1,6230 area.

USD/JPY: during european session the pair was limited Y79,60-Y79,90.

US data start at 1400GMT with both the ISM Manufacturing Index and also Construction Spending data. The ISM manufacturing index is expected to fall slightly to a reading of 53.0 in April from 53.4 in March. At 1630GMT, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans & Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart participate on a panel discussion on "The Limits of U.S. Monetary Policy" at the conference, in Beverly Hills, while they will also be interviewed on CNBC. Then, at 1800GMT, Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser speaks to the CFA Society of San Diego on the economic outlook. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker.

EUR/USD
Offres $1.3320, $1.3300, $1.3280
Bids $1.3210/00, $1.3180, $1.3140/30, $1.3110/00
 
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6330/35, $1.6320, $1.6300/05, $1.6275/85, $1.6260
Bids $1.6190, $1.6185/80, $1.6155/45, $1.6120/00

AUD/USD
Offers $1.0445/50, $1.0390/00, $1.0380, $1.0345/50
Bids $1.0300, $1.0280, $1.0260, $1.0225, $1.0200

USD/JPY

Offers Y80.70, Y80.50/60, Y80.35/40, Y80.00
Bids Y79.50, Y79.00, Y78.85/80, Y78.50

EUR/JPY
Offers Y107.20/25, Y107.00, Y106.60/70, Y106.30/35
Bids Y105.50, Y105.35/30, Y105.00, Y104.65/60

They look for higher inflation say investors should focus on "bonds with maturities in the five-year range and stocks paying dividends that offer 3%-4% yields. In addition, real assets (commodities) should occupy an increasing percentage of portfolios."

Resistance 3: Y81.00 (МА (200) for Н1)
Resistance 2: Y80.40 (Apr 30 high)
Resistance 1: Y79.90 (session high)
Current price: Y79.90
Support 1: Y79.50 (high of November’2011)
Support 2: Y79.15 (61,8 % FIBO Y76.00-Y84.20)
Support 3: Y78.30 (area of highs of December and January)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9170 (Apr 23 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9130/40 (МА (200) for Н1, resistance line from Apr 23, Apr 24 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9100/10 (area of Apr 30 high, МА (200) for Н1, resistance line from Apr 23)
Current price: Chf0.9063
Support 1: Chf0.9050 (area of session low and lows of Apr 26-30)
Support 2: Chf0.9000 (area of lows of April and March, psychological level)
Support 3: Chf0.8930 (area of low of February)

Resistance 3 : $1.6330 (Aug 31’2011 high)

Resistance 2 : $1.6290/300 (area of resistance line from April’ 2011 and Apr 30 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.6240 (session high)

Current price: $1.6199

Support 1 : $1.6190 (session low)

Support 2 : $1.6150 (area of Apr 26-27 lows and МА (200) for Н1)

Support 3 : $1.6080 (area of Apr 23 and 25 lows)

Resistance 3 : $1.3390 (area of highs of March and April)
Resistance 2 : $1.3290 (resistance line from Feb 29)
Resistance 1 : $1.3270 (area of session high and Apr 27-30 high)
Current price: $1.3249
Support 1 : $1.3200 (area МА (200) for Н1, support line from Apr 18 and Apr 30 low)
Support 2 : $1.3150 (Apr 24 low)
Support 3 : $1.3100 (Apr 23 low)

EUR/USD $1.3200, $1.3235, $1.3250, $1.3300, $1.3335 

USD/JPY Y79.75, Y80.00, Y80.40, Y80.50

GBP/USD $1.6200, $1.6250

EUR/JPY Y105.75, Y106.00

USD/CHF Chf0.9065, Chf0.9080

AUD/USD $1.0225, $1.0250, $1.0260, $1.0330, $1.0400, $1.0450

00:00 China Bank holiday -

00:00 Germany Bank holiday -

00:00 France Bank holiday -

01:30 China Manufacturing PMI April 53.1 53.6 53.3

01:30 Australia House Price Index (QoQ) Quarter I -0.1% -0.3% -1.1%

01:30 Australia House Price Index (YoY) Quarter I -4.8% -3.9% -4.5%

04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate - 4.25% 4.00% 3.75%

04:30 Australia RBA Monetary Policy Statement -

06:30 Australia RBA Commodity prices, y/y April +2.7% -4.2%

The dollar reached the lowest in almost 10 weeks against the yen before a U.S. report that economists said will show manufacturing slowed in April, damping demand for the nation’s assets. The Institute for Supply Management’s U.S. factory index fell to 53 last month from 53.4 in March, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Readings greater than 50 signal growth.

Australia’s dollar weakened against all of its major counterparts after the central bank cut interest rates by a bigger-than-expected half percentage point.  The so-called Aussie dropped for a second day against the greenback after the Reserve Bank of Australia lowered its overnight cash rate target to 3.75 percent from 4.25 percent, the deepest cut in three years.

The euro was 0.2 percent from a two-week low against the yen after Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker said he’s stepping down as head of the group of euro-area finance ministers because of Franco-German interference in managing Europe’s debt crisis.

EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded with increase.

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair fell.

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell, updated a week’s low.

Labour Day in Europe with much of core-Europe closed as well as holidays in China and Singapore, so conditions will be thinner than

usual. UK data includes the 0828GMT release of the Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI and also the 1000GMT release of Land Registry House

Prices data. US care sales data is due during the US day where domestic-made light vehicle sales are expected to rise to an 11.1 million annual rate in April after slowing to 10.8 million in March.  US data continues at 1400GMT with both the ISM Manufacturing Index and also Construction Spending data. The ISM manufacturing index is expected to fall slightly to a reading of 53.0 in April from 53.4 in March. At 1630GMT, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans & Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart participate on a panel discussion on "The Limits of U.S. Monetary Policy" at the conference, in Beverly Hills, while they will also be interviewed on CNBC. Then, at 1800GMT, Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser speaks to the CFA Society of San Diego on the economic outlook. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker

also speaks at the Bloomberg Washington Summit today.

The euro weakened against the yen after a report showed Spain’s economy entered its second recession since 2009, adding to concern Europe’s debt crisis is worsening.

The common currency extended its monthly decline versus the dollar as Spain’s government struggled to convince investors it can narrow its budget deficit in an economy that’s grappling with almost 25 percent unemployment.

Canada’s dollar fell by the most in more than five weeks after the nation’s economy unexpectedly shrank.

Canadian economic output fell 0.2% in February to an annualized C$1.28 trillion ($1.30 trillion) after a January gain of 0.1%, Statistics Canada said in Ottawa. Survey had projected a 0.1% increase.

The yen strengthened  as the Bank of Japan  additional monetary easing last week failed to drive down shorter-term yields, helping maintain the relative allure of yen-denominated assets.

EUR/USD: yesterday the pair decreased.

GBP/USD: yesterday the pair has fallen.

USD/JPY: yesterday the pair has fallen below Y80.00.

Labour Day in Europe with much of core-Europe closed as well as holidays in China and Singapore, so conditions will be thinner than

usual. UK data includes the 0828GMT release of the Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI and also the 1000GMT release of Land Registry House

Prices data. US care sales data is due during the US day where domestic-made light vehicle sales are expected to rise to an 11.1 million annual rate in April after slowing to 10.8 million in March.  US data continues at 1400GMT with both the ISM Manufacturing Index and also Construction Spending data. The ISM manufacturing index is expected to fall slightly to a reading of 53.0 in April from 53.4 in March. At 1630GMT, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans & Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart participate on a panel discussion on "The Limits of U.S. Monetary Policy" at the conference, in Beverly Hills, while they will also be interviewed on CNBC. Then, at 1800GMT, Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser speaks to the CFA Society of San Diego on the economic outlook. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker

also speaks at the Bloomberg Washington Summit today.

Resistance 3: Y81.45 (Apr 27 high)

Resistance 2: Y80.50 (low of the Asian session on Apr 27)

Resistance 1: Y79.95 (session high)

The current price: Y79.83

Support 1: Y79.70 (Apr 30 low)

Support 2: Y79.35 (Feb 20 low)

Support 3: Y78.70 (Feb 15 high)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9120 (Apr 25 high)

Resistance 2: Chf0.9095 (Apr 30 high)

Resistance 1: Chf0.9080 (session high)

The current price: Chf0.9068

Support 1: Chf0.9050 (Apr 27 low)

Support 2: Chf0.9000 (psychological level)

Support 3: Chf0.8980 (Apr 26 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.6455 (Aug 29 high)

Resistance 2 : $1.6335 (Aug 31 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.6300 (Apr 30 high)

The current price: $1.6226

Support 1 : $1.6220 (Apr 30 low)

Support 2 : $1.6205 (Apr 26 high)

Support 3 : $1.6150 (Apr 27 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.3365 (Dec 2 low)

Resistance 2 : $1.3300 (psychological level)

Resistance 1 : $1.3270 (Apr 27 high)

The current price: $1.3242

Support 1 : $1.3235 (session low)

Support 2 : $1.3205 (Apr 30 low)

Support 3 : $1.3155 (Apr 27 low)

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3242 -0,08%

GBP/USD $1,6235 -0,18%

USD/CHF Chf0,9071 +0,09%

USD/JPY Y79,82 -0,54%

EUR/JPY Y105,70 -0,64%

GBP/JPY Y129,58 -0,73%

AUD/USD $1,0426 -0,42%

NZD/USD $0,8184 -0,43%

USD/CAD C$0,9869 +0,67%

00:00 China Bank holiday -

00:00 Germany Bank holiday -

00:00 France Bank holiday -

01:30 China Manufacturing PMI April 53.1 53.6

01:30 Australia House Price Index (QoQ) Quarter I -0.1% -0.3%

01:30 Australia House Price Index (YoY) Quarter I -4.8% -3.9%

04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate - 4.25% 4.00%

04:30 Australia RBA Monetary Policy Statement -

06:30 Australia RBA Commodity prices, y/y April +2.7%

07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index April +2.2% +1.2%

07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y April -0.6% _0.8%

08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing April 52.1 51.4

14:00 U.S. ISM Manufacturing April 53.4 53.0

14:00 U.S. Construction Spending, m/m March -1.1% +0.5%

15:00 U.S. FOMC Member Williams Speaks -

16:30 U.S. FOMC Member Dennis Lockhart Speaks -

17:05 Canada BOC Gov Carney Speaks -

19:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Plosser Speaks -