S&P
reported on Tuesday its Case-Shiller Home Price Index, which tracks home prices
in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas, rose 2.7 percent y-o-y in March, following an unrevised
3.0 percent y-o-y increase in February. That was the smallest annual advance in
house prices since August 2012.
Economists had
expected an advance of 2.8 percent y-o-y.
Las Vegas
(+8.2 percent y-o-y), Phoenix (+6.1 percent y-o-y) and Tampa (+5.3 percent
y-o-y) recorded the highest y-o-y gains in March.
Meanwhile, the
S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, which measures all nine
U.S. census divisions, was up 3.7 percent y-o-y in March, down from 3.9 percent
y-o-y in the previous month.
David Blitzer,
chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices, noted Given the
broader economic picture, housing should be doing better. Mortgage rates are at
4% for a 30-year fixed rate loan, unemployment is close to a 50-year low, low
inflation and moderate increases in real incomes would be expected to support a
strong housing market. Measures of household debt service do not reveal any
problems and consumer sentiment surveys are upbeat. The difficulty facing housing
may be too-high price increases. At the currently lower pace of home price
increases, prices are rising almost twice as fast as inflation: in the last 12
months, the S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller National Index is up 3.7%, double
the 1.9% inflation rate. Measured in real, inflation-adjusted terms, home prices
today are rising at a 1.8% annual rate. This compares to a 1.2% real annual
price increases in housing since 1975.”
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