The Bank of
Canada (BoC) left its benchmark interest rates unchanged at 1.75 percent on
Wednesday, as widely expected.
In its policy
statement, the Canadian central bank said that Governing Council judged it
appropriate to maintain the current level of the overnight rate target. According
to the BoC, the Governing Council is mindful that the resilience of Canada’s
economy will be increasingly tested as trade conflicts and uncertainty persist
and it will pay close attention to the sources of this resilience (notably
consumer spending and housing activity), as well as to fiscal policy
developments.
It also added
that Canada’s economy is expected to slow in the second half of this year to a
rate below its potential due to the uncertainty associated with trade
conflicts, continuing adjustment in the energy sector, and the unwinding of
temporary factors that boosted growth in the second quarter. The BoC projects
the real GDP to grow by 1.5 percent this year (up from its previous estimate of
+1.3 percent), 1.7 percent in 2020 (down from +1.9 percent previously) and 1.8
percent in 2021 (down from +2.0 percent previously). Meanwhile, business
investment and exports are seen to contract before expanding again in 2020 and
2021. In regard to price pressure, the Canadian central bank expects the CPI
inflation likely to dip temporarily in 2020 as the effect of a previous spike
in energy prices fades.
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