- Analiza
- Novosti i instrumenti
- Vesti sa tržišta
- US economy to contract more than 4.0% in 2020 – UOB
US economy to contract more than 4.0% in 2020 – UOB
FXStreet reports that strategists at UOB Group's Quarterly Global Outlook estimate the US GDP could contract 4.1% during the current year.
"Indeed, the price to pay to contain COVID-19 is a heavy economic cost. Strong, draconian measures that are absolutely necessary to break the transmission chains are also clearly disastrous for businesses and consumers (the pillar of US economy). We factor in two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction in 1H, of which we now project a 2% (annualised rate) decline in 1Q followed by a deeper 26.8% contraction in 2Q."
"This now implies that we see US falling into a severe technical recession (i.e. 2 consecutive quarters of sequential q/q declines) in 1H 2020. The subsequent 2H will resume q/q growth (we assume the COVID-19 situation will improve/be partly under control by mid-2020) but the rebound (+6.1% in 3Q and 10.4% in 4Q) in the latter half of the year will not offset the 1H contraction, so US overall GDP will now contract by 4.1% in 2020 (from previous forecast of +0.6%), and will be the first full year contraction since 2008 and 2009. The significant impact on economic and day-to-day activities could see a sharp spike in US job losses (4-5 million) and unemployment could surge above 10% in 2Q before easing to end the year at 8.5%. Inflation is likely to be subdued, averaging below 1% in 2020."
© 2000-2025. Sva prava zaštićena.
Sajt je vlasništvo kompanije Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
Svi podaci koji se nalaze na sajtu ne predstavljaju osnovu za donošenje investicionih odluka, već su informativnog karaktera.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.
Upotreba informacija: U slučaju potpunog ili delimičnog preuzimanja i daljeg korišćenja materijala koji se nalazi na sajtu, potrebno je navesti link odgovarajuće stranice na sajtu kompanije TeleTrade-a kao izvora informacija. Upotreba materijala na internetu mora biti praćena hiper linkom do web stranice teletrade.org. Automatski uvoz materijala i informacija sa stranice je zabranjen.
Ako imate bilo kakvih pitanja, obratite nam se pr@teletrade.global.
Банковни транcфери
