ECB's President Lagarde: ECB will carefully assess the euro's effect on inflation
10.09.2020, 13:04

ECB's President Lagarde: ECB will carefully assess the euro's effect on inflation

  • There is no need to overreact to euro gains
  • We have to monitor carefully exchange rate, discuss extensively
  • Strength of recovery remains surrounded by uncertainty
  • Rebound broadly in line with previous expectations
  • Domestic demand recorded significant recovery
  • Uncertainty weighing on consumer spending and business investment
  • Inflation dampened by energy prices
  • Ample monetary stimulus remains necessary
  • Incoming data suggest notable recovery in consumption
  • Over the medium term, recovery in demand will put upward pressure on inflation
  • Coronavirus case infections constitute headwinds to short term outlook
  • Further sustained recovery highly dependent on the evolution of pandemic
  • Projections also include alternative scenarios
  • Growth risks tilted to the downside
  • Headline inflation is expected to remain negative in the coming months
  • Inflation to turn positive in early 2021
  • ECB sees 2020 GDP contraction at 8.0% (versus -8.7% projected in June), 2021 GDP growth at 5% (versus 5.2% in June) and 2022 GDP growth at 3.2% (versus 3.3% in June)
  • ECB sees 2020 inflation at 0.3% (versus 0.3% forecast in June), 2021 inflation at 1% (versus 0.8% in June) and 2022 inflation at 1.3% (versus 1.3% in June)

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