The National
Association of Homebuilders (NAHB) announced on Wednesday its housing market
index (HMI) climbed 5 points to 83 in September from an unrevised August
reading of 78. This was the highest reading in the 35-year history of the
series.
Economists had
forecast the HMI to remain at 78.
A reading over
50 indicates more builders view conditions as good than poor.
All three HMI
components recorded gains this month, hitting their highest levels ever. The
indicator gauging current sales conditions jumped 4 points to 88 in September,
while the component measuring traffic of prospective buyers surged 9 points to
record 73 and the measure charting sales expectations jumped 6 points to 84.
NAHB Chairman
Chuck Fowke noted: “Historic traffic numbers have builders seeing positive
market conditions, but many in the industry are worried about rising costs and
delays for building materials, especially lumber. More domestic lumber
production or tariff relief is needed to avoid a slowdown in the market in the
coming months.”
Meanwhile, NAHB
Chief Economist Robert Dietz said: “Lumber prices are now up more than 170%
since mid-April, adding more than $16,000 to the price of a typical new
single-family home. That said, the suburban shift for home building is keeping
builders busy, supported on the demand side by low interest rates. In another
sign of this growing trend, builders in other parts of the country have
reported receiving calls from customers in high-density markets asking about
relocating.”
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