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- U.S. Leading Economic Index rises slightly less than forecast in August
U.S. Leading Economic Index rises slightly less than forecast in August
The Conference
Board announced on Friday its Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. rose 1.2
percent m-o-m in August to 106.5 (2016 = 100), following a revised 2.0 percent
m-o-m advance in July (originally a 1.4 percent m-o-m gain).
Economists had
forecast an increase of 1.3 percent m-o-m.
“While the US
LEI increased again in August, the slowing pace of improvement suggests that
this summer’s economic rebound may be losing steam heading into the final
stretch of 2020,” noted Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic Research
at The Conference Board. “Despite the improvement, the LEI remains in recession
territory, still 4.7 percent below its February level. Weakening in new orders
for capital goods, residential construction, consumers’ outlook, and financial
conditions point to increasing downside risks to the economic recovery. Looking
ahead to 2021, the LEI suggests that the US economy will start the new year
under substantially weakened economic conditions.”
The report also
revealed the Conference Board Coincident Economic Index (CEI) for the U.S. went
up 0.6 percent m-o-m in August to 100.8, following a 1.2 percent m-o-m rise in
July. Meanwhile, its Lagging Economic Index (LAG) for the U.S. declined 0.6
percent m-o-m in August to 107.6, following a 0.6 percent m-o-m fall in July.
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