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- U.S. Leading Economic Index rises slightly more than anticipated in November
U.S. Leading Economic Index rises slightly more than anticipated in November
The Conference
Board announced on Friday its Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. rose
0.6 percent m-o-m in November to 109.1 (2016 = 100), following a revised 0.8
percent m-o-m jump in October (originally a 0.7 percent m-o-m gain).
Economists had
forecast an increase of 0.5 percent m-o-m.
“The US LEI
continued rising in November, but its pace of improvement has been decelerating
in recent months, suggesting a significant moderation in growth as the US
economy heads into 2021,” noted Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic
Research at The Conference Board. “Initial claims for unemployment insurance,
new orders for manufacturing, residential construction permits, and stock
prices made the largest positive contributions to the LEI. However, falling
average working hours in manufacturing and consumers’ worsening outlook
underscore the downside risks to growth from a second wave of COVID-19 and high
unemployment.”
The report also
revealed the Conference Board Coincident Economic Index (CEI) for the U.S.
increased 0.2 percent m-o-m in November to 103.2, following a 0.6 percent m-o-m
gain in October. Meanwhile, its Lagging Economic Index (LAG) for the U.S. fell
0.4 percent m-o-m in November to 106.9, following a 0.3 percent advance in October.
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