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- U.S. Leading Economic Index increases in line with forecasts in December
U.S. Leading Economic Index increases in line with forecasts in December
The Conference
Board announced on Thursday its Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. rose
0.3 percent m-o-m in December to 109.5 (2016 = 100), following a revised 0.7
percent m-o-m gain in November (originally a 0.6 percent m-o-m advance).
Economists had
forecast an increase of 0.3 percent m-o-m.
“The US LEI’s
slowing pace of increase in December suggests that US economic growth continues
to moderate in the first quarter of 2021. Improvements in the US LEI were very
broad-based among the leading indicators, except for rising initial claims for
unemployment insurance and a mixed consumer outlook on business and economic
conditions,” noted Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic Research at
The Conference Board. “While the resurgence of COVID-19 and weak labor markets
remain barriers to growth, The Conference Board expects the economy to expand
by at least 2.0 percent (annual rate) in Q1 and then gain momentum throughout
the year.”
The report also revealed the Conference Board
Coincident Economic Index (CEI) for the U.S. increased 0.3 percent m-o-m in December
to 103.3, following a 0.1 percent m-o-m uptick in November. Meanwhile, its
Lagging Economic Index (LAG) for the U.S. edged up 0.1 percent m-o-m in December
to 107.6, the same pace as in November.
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