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- U.S. Leading Economic Index rises more than forecast in April
U.S. Leading Economic Index rises more than forecast in April
The
Conference Board announced on Thursday its Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the
U.S. rose 1.6 percent m-o-m in April to 113.3 (2016 = 100), following an unrevised
1.3 percent m-o-m gain in March.
Economists
had forecast an increase of 1.4 percent m-o-m.
“With
April’s large monthly gain to start the second quarter, the U.S. LEI has now
recovered fully from its COVID-19 contraction - surpassing the index’s previous
peak, reached at the very onset of the global pandemic in January 2020,” noted
Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic Research at The Conference
Board. “While employment and production have not recovered to their
pre-pandemic levels yet, the U.S. LEI suggests the economy’s upward trend
should continue and growth may even accelerate in the near term. The Conference
Board now forecasts real GDP could grow around 8 to 9 percent (annualized) in
the second quarter, with year-over-year economic growth reaching 6.4 percent
for 2021.”
The
report also revealed the Conference Board Coincident Economic Index (CEI) for
the U.S. went up 0.3 percent m-o-m in April to 104.1, following a 0.9 percent
m-o-m advance in March. Meanwhile, its Lagging Economic Index (LAG) for the
U.S. climbed 1.8 percent m-o-m in April to 104.7, following a 3.7 percent drop
in March.
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