- Analiza
- Novosti i instrumenti
- Vesti sa tržišta
- S&P 500 Index to dip to 4,200 by end-2021 as US 10-year yield will end the year at 2.25% - Capital Economics
S&P 500 Index to dip to 4,200 by end-2021 as US 10-year yield will end the year at 2.25% - Capital Economics
FXStreet reports that the retreat in US Treasury yields over the past month or so seems at odds with the US economy’s fundamentals, and economists at Capital Economics doubt that it will be sustained. Their forecast that the 10-year yield will end 2021 well above its current level implies that US equities will fail to make further gains this year.
“While we forecast that the Fed will keep rates on hold for a few years yet, we expect higher inflation to prove more persistent than many expect. We think this will lead investors to judge that a greater degree of tightening will be needed further down the line, pushing up long-dated bond yields. This informs our forecast that the US 10-year yield will end 2021 at 2.25%, up from just below 1.50% at present.”
“We suspect that a jump in yields on that scale would knock some of the wind out of the US stock market’s sails, particularly when valuations and analysts’ expectations for corporate earnings are already high. Our forecast is that the S&P 500 will end 2021 at 4,200, a bit below its current level.”
“Higher bond yields might also help the rotation in stock markets to get back on track following its recent pause.”
© 2000-2025. Sva prava zaštićena.
Sajt je vlasništvo kompanije Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
Svi podaci koji se nalaze na sajtu ne predstavljaju osnovu za donošenje investicionih odluka, već su informativnog karaktera.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.
Upotreba informacija: U slučaju potpunog ili delimičnog preuzimanja i daljeg korišćenja materijala koji se nalazi na sajtu, potrebno je navesti link odgovarajuće stranice na sajtu kompanije TeleTrade-a kao izvora informacija. Upotreba materijala na internetu mora biti praćena hiper linkom do web stranice teletrade.org. Automatski uvoz materijala i informacija sa stranice je zabranjen.
Ako imate bilo kakvih pitanja, obratite nam se pr@teletrade.global.
Банковни транcфери
