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- U.S. Leading Economic Index rises in line with forecasts in May
U.S. Leading Economic Index rises in line with forecasts in May
The
Conference Board announced on Thursday its Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the
U.S. rose 1.3 percent m-o-m in May to 114.5 (2016 = 100), following a revised 1.3
percent m-o-m gain in April (originally a 1.6 percent m-o-m jump).
Economists
had forecast an increase of 1.3 percent m-o-m.
“After
another large improvement in May, the U.S. LEI now stands above its previous
peak reached in January 2020 (112.0), suggesting that strong economic growth
will continue in the near term,” noted Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of
Economic Research at The Conference Board. “Strengths among the leading
indicators were widespread, with initial claims for unemployment insurance
making the largest positive contribution to the index; housing permits made
this month’s only negative contribution. The Conference Board now forecasts
real GDP growth in Q2 could reach 9 percent (annualized), with year-over-year
economic growth reaching 6.6 percent for 2021.”
The
report also revealed the Conference Board Coincident Economic Index (CEI) for
the U.S. went up 0.4 percent m-o-m in May to 105.1, following a 0.3 percent
m-o-m gain in April. Meanwhile, its Lagging Economic Index (LAG) for the U.S. fell
2.2 percent m-o-m in May to 103.0, following a 3.0 percent advance in April.
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