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- European session review: GBP appreciates as UK’s inflation exceeds BoE’s target again
European session review: GBP appreciates as UK’s inflation exceeds BoE’s target again
| Time | Country | Event | Period | Previous value | Forecast | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | United Kingdom | Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) | June | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| 06:00 | United Kingdom | Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) | June | 1.2% | 1.2% | -0.1% |
| 06:00 | United Kingdom | Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) | June | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| 06:00 | United Kingdom | Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) | June | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| 06:00 | United Kingdom | Retail Price Index, m/m | June | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| 06:00 | United Kingdom | HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y | June | 2% | 2.3% | |
| 06:00 | United Kingdom | Retail prices, Y/Y | June | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% |
| 06:00 | United Kingdom | HICP, Y/Y | June | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% |
| 06:00 | United Kingdom | HICP, m/m | June | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 09:00 | Eurozone | Industrial Production (YoY) | May | 39.4% | 22.2% | 20.5% |
| 09:00 | Eurozone | Industrial production, (MoM) | May | 0.6% | -0.2% | -1% |
GBP rose against most of its major rivals in the European session on Wednesday as investors weighed the hotter-than-expected UK’s June inflation data, which exceeded the Bank of England's (BoE) 2%-inflation target for the second straight month.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported Britain’s annual inflation rate jumped to 2.5% in June from 2.1% in May. The latest reading was above economists’ forecast of 2.2% and was the highest since August 2018. Prices for food, second-hand cars, clothing and footwear, eating and drinking out, and motor fuel rose last month as the economy bounced back from a slump, caused by COVID-19 lockdown restrictions. On a m/m basis, the British consumer prices rose 0.5%, decelerating slightly from +0.6% in May. Economists had expected a gain of 0.2% m/m.
The June CPI data revived questions about whether the BoE’s will keep its massive stimulus in place. The British central bank's policymakers projected in June that the inflation would exceed 3%, as the economy reopens, but the pickup further above its 2%-target would only be "for a temporary period". There are concerns that persistently high inflation could force the BoE to scale back its GBP875 billion government bond-buying program earlier than expected. The Bank’s outgoing chief economist Andy Haldane voted at the last two meetings to stop the program early.
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