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- Commodities: Signs of a maturing cycle, prices to correct lower through 2022 – Westpac
Commodities: Signs of a maturing cycle, prices to correct lower through 2022 – Westpac
FXStreet reports that economists at Westpac expect prices to find a peak in 2021 and to then start correcting through 2022.
“Westpac is looking for demand growth to decelerate in 2022. Some of the signs that suggest this will be so are: 1. In regards to China, credit growth is levelling out, policy around property is tightening, while infrastructure FAI is slowing. June data supports this view. 2. Outside China, support from restocking will come to an end and pent-up demand will fade as consumer spending shifts away from goods and towards services.”
“For crude oil, the agreement OPEC+ reached in July went a long way towards removing supply uncertainty from oil markets. For demand, covid is again in focus, although not to the degree that we have seen previously. It would appear that as long as the UK mortality rate remains close to zero the markets will consider the possibility of large-scale global lockdowns as being negligible.”
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