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- BoE: Growing confidence to tighten, sterling to trade with a firm tone - TDS
BoE: Growing confidence to tighten, sterling to trade with a firm tone - TDS
FXStreet notes that GBP caught a modest bid tone following the BoE's policy decision and economists at TD Securities look for some sterling strength, but expect this to be more acute against the euro.
“The MPC left policy on hold today, with its QE programme scheduled to end in December. The MPC noted that the case for tightening had increased since August, and that a rate hike before they conclude QE in December can't be ruled out. We now expect the MPC to hike rates in August and November 2022.”
“The risk that the BoE could hike before QE ends is notable, and one we do not dismiss easily. We think that is enough to help GBP trade on its front-foot for the time being, though the magnitude remains elusive.”
“The euro has struggled since the Fed upped its hawkishness yesterday, and questions over policy divergence cloud its near-term profile for now. And, the risk that a BoE hike could still come before QE's end anchors this more deeply. We look for EUR/GBP to re-test 0.85 in the coming weeks. Below this, 0.8450 will be crucial support.”
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