- Analiza
- Novosti i instrumenti
- Vesti sa tržišta
- GBP/USD: At risk of falling below 1.30 amid political woes – Scotiabank
GBP/USD: At risk of falling below 1.30 amid political woes – Scotiabank
Cable managed to close on Tuesday as the only major to advance against the USD. Today, GBP/USD outperforms modestly as UK CPI rises above 5%. However, economists at Scotiabank expect the pair to dive below 1.30 as political risks loom and the Bank of England may disappoint the market.
Weakening support for PM Boris Johnson
“While we don’t think the strong CPI data (5.1% YoY) will motivate the BoE to hike this week, it does solidify February hike odds and may see the bank accelerate its tightening push toward its terminal rate (1% most likely).”
“A cautious tone and/or a unanimous hold that would check February rate hike expectations could see the GBP aim for a test of 1.30 in the weeks ahead.”
“PM Johnson faced the biggest Conservative rebellion since 2019 yesterday as 101 MPs of his own party voted against his proposal for vaccine passports for nightclubs and large venues. A defeat for the Tories in a tight by-election on Thursday in the usually safe Tory seat of North Shropshire would spell further trouble for the PM toward a possible vote of confidence.”
“Political risks may soon become a strong drag on the GBP and it is not improbable that the pound trades under 1.30 in Q1 if monetary policy failing to meet market expectations, surging contagions, and a PM confidence vote align.”
© 2000-2025. Sva prava zaštićena.
Sajt je vlasništvo kompanije Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
Svi podaci koji se nalaze na sajtu ne predstavljaju osnovu za donošenje investicionih odluka, već su informativnog karaktera.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.
Upotreba informacija: U slučaju potpunog ili delimičnog preuzimanja i daljeg korišćenja materijala koji se nalazi na sajtu, potrebno je navesti link odgovarajuće stranice na sajtu kompanije TeleTrade-a kao izvora informacija. Upotreba materijala na internetu mora biti praćena hiper linkom do web stranice teletrade.org. Automatski uvoz materijala i informacija sa stranice je zabranjen.
Ako imate bilo kakvih pitanja, obratite nam se pr@teletrade.global.
Банковни транcфери
