- Analiza
- Novosti i instrumenti
- Vesti sa tržišta
- EUR/CHF: Limited scope for a substantial recovery even if situation in Ukraine eases – Commerzbank
EUR/CHF: Limited scope for a substantial recovery even if situation in Ukraine eases – Commerzbank
The war in Ukraine has fueled demand for the Swiss franc as a safe-haven. If the situation in Ukraine eases, the CHF should weaken somewhat again. However, economists at Commerzbank do not see much depreciation potential for the franc.
USD/CHF seen at higher levels again next year
“In our base scenario, we assume that there will be a solution to the Ukraine war in the coming weeks. Against this background, we expect a moderate recovery of EUR/CHF.”
“We do not see much scope for significantly higher levels in EUR/CHF. This is because, from a market perspective, the ECB is likely to act too hesitantly in view of high inflation. In addition, the Swiss National Bank is also likely to raise its key interest rate from September, in line with the ECB.”
“Next year, the disappointment that the ECB has already reached the end of its rate hike cycle is likely to weigh on the EUR. While we do not think the SNB will raise its key rate further either, moderate inflation and solid growth should make the franc look more attractive.”
“Against the USD, the franc should appreciate somewhat in the course of the year, when it becomes clear that the SNB is also initiating the turnaround in monetary policy. However, since the Fed will probably act much more actively, we see USD/CHF at higher levels again next year.”
© 2000-2025. Sva prava zaštićena.
Sajt je vlasništvo kompanije Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
Svi podaci koji se nalaze na sajtu ne predstavljaju osnovu za donošenje investicionih odluka, već su informativnog karaktera.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.
Upotreba informacija: U slučaju potpunog ili delimičnog preuzimanja i daljeg korišćenja materijala koji se nalazi na sajtu, potrebno je navesti link odgovarajuće stranice na sajtu kompanije TeleTrade-a kao izvora informacija. Upotreba materijala na internetu mora biti praćena hiper linkom do web stranice teletrade.org. Automatski uvoz materijala i informacija sa stranice je zabranjen.
Ako imate bilo kakvih pitanja, obratite nam se pr@teletrade.global.
Банковни транcфери
