- Analiza
- Novosti i instrumenti
- Vesti sa tržišta
- AUD/USD: Aussie bulls may need to be patient – CIBC
AUD/USD: Aussie bulls may need to be patient – CIBC
Analysts at CIBC forecast the AUD/USD pair at 0.72 by the end of the second quarter, and at 0.75 by the third quarter. They see the Reserve Bank of Australia rising at least another 150bps of tightening by year-end.
Key Quotes:
“The RBA has moved to suggest it is “committed to doing what is necessary to ensure that inflation in Australia returns to target over time. ” The switch to policy front loading is partly a function of the substantive uptick in the inflation profile contained in the Statement on Monetary Policy.”
“As prices are now expected to reach 6% by year-end, the bank deemed it necessary to act aggressively. The central bank has become increasingly wary of inflation expectations becoming de-anchored.”
“Beyond the expected uptick in headline prices, the continued tightening in the labour market also supports tighter monetary policy, and we look for at least another 150bps of tightening by year-end. An unemployment rate below 4% underlines the need for additional tightening. After hiking this month, the market is currently pricing more than 35bps of tightening for the 7 June meeting.”
“We continue to view the AUD as undervalued versus supportive terms of trade and long-term interest rate differentials. However, rising external headwinds, linked to rising Chinese concerns, suggest AUD bulls may need to be patient.”
© 2000-2024. Sva prava zaštićena.
Sajt je vlasništvo kompanije Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
Svi podaci koji se nalaze na sajtu ne predstavljaju osnovu za donošenje investicionih odluka, već su informativnog karaktera.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.
Upotreba informacija: U slučaju potpunog ili delimičnog preuzimanja i daljeg korišćenja materijala koji se nalazi na sajtu, potrebno je navesti link odgovarajuće stranice na sajtu kompanije TeleTrade-a kao izvora informacija. Upotreba materijala na internetu mora biti praćena hiper linkom do web stranice teletrade.org. Automatski uvoz materijala i informacija sa stranice je zabranjen.
Ako imate bilo kakvih pitanja, obratite nam se pr@teletrade.global.
Банковни транcфери
