- Analiza
- Novosti i instrumenti
- Vesti sa tržišta
- USD/BRL to end the year at 5.25 – Rabobank
USD/BRL to end the year at 5.25 – Rabobank
The USD/BRL is trading at 5.15 at the beginning of the month. Analysts at Rabobank see the pair trading at 5.25 by the end of the year. They see the Brasil Central Bank (BCB) raising rates by 50 basis points at the August meeting.
Key Quotes:
“Externally, despite FOMC’s 75-bp hike, Powell says next move is data dependent and the market interpreted the Fed’s move as relatively dovish, especially after the US 22Q2 GDP advance release, marking a technical recession. In the meantime, lockdown risks due to Covid in China remain relatively high, China seeks to prop up the real estate sector amid growing US-China tensions over Taiwan, whereas the outlook for the conflicts in Ukraine remains negative. Domestically, the misery index improves (both IPCA15 CPI inflation and unemployment rates improve) but Lula still leads most polls. Although the DXY dollar index depreciated 0.6% in the week, USDBRL appreciated 6.3% due to the risk-on sentiment. The Ibovespa rose 4.3%, while the local inverted yield curve bull flattened.”
“We still see the BCB hiking 50 bps at its August meeting, then likely staying put until yearend. Although we expect a longer Selic hiking cycle than we did at the beginning of 2022, we believe the Fed will remain hawkish, the USD will recover its safe haven status by yearend, and the traditional electoral cycle will weigh on the BRL and other local assets going forward. By yearend, we expect the BRL to trade at 5.25.”
© 2000-2024. Sva prava zaštićena.
Sajt je vlasništvo kompanije Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
Svi podaci koji se nalaze na sajtu ne predstavljaju osnovu za donošenje investicionih odluka, već su informativnog karaktera.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.
Upotreba informacija: U slučaju potpunog ili delimičnog preuzimanja i daljeg korišćenja materijala koji se nalazi na sajtu, potrebno je navesti link odgovarajuće stranice na sajtu kompanije TeleTrade-a kao izvora informacija. Upotreba materijala na internetu mora biti praćena hiper linkom do web stranice teletrade.org. Automatski uvoz materijala i informacija sa stranice je zabranjen.
Ako imate bilo kakvih pitanja, obratite nam se pr@teletrade.global.
Банковни транcфери
