The USD/INR pair is displaying extreme volatile moves in the opening session as investors are paring positions ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's commentary at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. The asset is expected to remain volatile, however, the upside remains favored as Fed’s Powell is expected to adopt a hawkish stance on guidance over interest rates.
As the inflation rate is still above 8% despite displaying exhaustion signals, more rate hikes announcement seems imminent. The foremost agenda of the Fed is to bring price stability in the economy as households are facing the heat due to lower valued paychecks. The investing community has already seen the consequences of inflationary pressures.
Meanwhile, the Indian economy is enjoying stellar inflows of foreign institutional investment for the past month after the Indian indices bottomed out. Well, the Indian rupee is underperforming against the mighty US dollar index (DXY) as investors have remained majorly risk-averse this year. But the performance of the Indian rupee has remained stellar against other powerful currencies.
On the oil front, a meaningful correction seems lucrative for the Indian rupee as its major portion of imports contains oil stockpiles. However, the correction in the oil prices is expected to conclude sooner and a fresh rally will kickstart. As OPEC will start trimming their oil production, oil prices will display more gains but simultaneously more deficit for the Indian fiscal balance sheet.
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