Gold price (XAU/USD) looks vulnerable above $1,810.00 as the upside looks capped amid rising bets for bigger rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The precious metal is expected to resume its downside journey as strong United States Employment data reported by Automatic Data Processing (ADP) has confirmed that January’s strong consumer spending and higher payrolls were not a one-time shock to the declining Consumer Price Index (CPI).
S&P500 futures have surrendered their marginal gains added on Wednesday in the Asian session. The risk-aversion theme has heated further as China has shown deflation in the CPI and Producer Price Index (PPI) figures. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has continued its sideways performance above 105.20 as investors are awaiting the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for fresh cues. Meanwhile, the alpha provided on 10-year US Treasury bonds has rebounded above 3.98%.
The official US Employment data is expected to show a decline in the payrolls to 203K from the former release of 514k. A figure of 203K is not as bad but looks worthless in front of January’s 514K figure. Investors should be aware that a figure of 514K was an exceptional one in the past seven months.
Apart from that, the Unemployment Rate is expected to maintain the lowest multi-decade figure of 3.4%. The Average Hourly Earnings are expected to climb to 4.8% on an annual basis. Higher funds in the pocket of households might propel consumer spending. Fed chair Jerome Powell has already confirmed bigger rates to scale down sticky inflation.
Gold price is auctioning in an Inverted Flag chart pattern on an hourly scale, which is a trend-following pattern and is bolstering the case of further downside ahead. The chart pattern displays a long consolidation that is followed by a breakdown. Usually, the consolidation phase of the chart pattern serves as an inventory adjustment in which those participants initiate shorts, which prefer to enter an auction after the establishment of a bearish bias.
The 30-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,817.24 is acting as a major barricade for the Gold bulls.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is struggling to sustain in the 40.00-60.00 range. A breakdown into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00 will trigger the downside momentum.
© 2000-2024. Sva prava zaštićena.
Sajt je vlasništvo kompanije Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
Svi podaci koji se nalaze na sajtu ne predstavljaju osnovu za donošenje investicionih odluka, već su informativnog karaktera.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.
Upotreba informacija: U slučaju potpunog ili delimičnog preuzimanja i daljeg korišćenja materijala koji se nalazi na sajtu, potrebno je navesti link odgovarajuće stranice na sajtu kompanije TeleTrade-a kao izvora informacija. Upotreba materijala na internetu mora biti praćena hiper linkom do web stranice teletrade.org. Automatski uvoz materijala i informacija sa stranice je zabranjen.
Ako imate bilo kakvih pitanja, obratite nam se pr@teletrade.global.