NZD/USD Price Analysis: Keeps Fed-inspired bounce off fortnight-long support above 0.6200
22.03.2023, 23:00

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Keeps Fed-inspired bounce off fortnight-long support above 0.6200

  • NZD/USD prints mild gains after bouncing off two-week-old ascending support line.
  • Bullish MACD signals, steady RSI (14) joins sustained trading beyond 200-DMA to favor bulls.
  • 100-DMA, 50-DMA restrict short-term upside before mid-February high.
  • Bears need validation from 0.6130 before challenging monthly low.

NZD/USD grinds higher past 0.6200, mildly bid near 0.6225 during early Thursday, as it defends the Federal Reserve (Fed) inspired gains despite the latest pullback from the 100-DMA.

In doing so, the Kiwi pair stays firmer above a fortnight-long support line, as well as the 200-DMA. Adding strength to the upside bias could be the bullish MACD signals and the firmer RSI (14).

As a result, the NZD/USD price is likely to mark another attempt in crossing the 100-DMA hurdle of 0.6280, which in turn will highlight the 50-DMA resistance surrounding the 0.6300 threshold for the Kiwi pair buyers.

In a case where the quote remains firmer past 0.6300, the odds of its run-up towards challenging the mid-February high of near 0.6390 and then to the 0.6400 round figure can’t be ruled out.

Alternatively, NZD/USD pullback remains elusive unless the quote stays beyond the aforementioned immediate support line, close to 0.6200 by the press time.

Following that, the 200-DMA level of 0.6158 and the 0.6130 level may act as the last defenses of the buyers before directing the quote toward the monthly low of 0.6084.

Overall, NZD/USD is likely to grind higher but the road toward the north appears bumpy.

NZD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further recovery expected

 

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