GBP/USD Price Analysis: Remains inside falling wedge ahead of UK Inflation
23.05.2023, 22:39

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Remains inside falling wedge ahead of UK Inflation

  • GBP/USD is displaying a sideways auction as the focus has shifted to UK Inflation.
  • BoE Bailey reiterated that they must use the tool of interest rate rises carefully.
  • GBP/USD is auctioning in a Falling Wedge pattern in which each pullback is considered as a selling opportunity.

The GBP/USD pair is displaying a back-and-forth action around 1.2420 in the early Tokyo session. Earlier, the Cable showed significant recovery after defending the downside near 1.2380. A power-pack action is anticipated from the Pound Sterling ahead of the United Kingdom’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data (April).

Headline inflation is seen softening sharply to 8.2% from the former release of 10.1%. The core CPI is expected to remain steady at 6.2%. On Tuesday, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said "I think we are nearer to the peak than we were” and reiterated that they must use the tool of interest rate rises carefully.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking to surpass the crucial resistance of 103.62 amid US debt-ceiling issues. International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva cited on Tuesday that "A lack of solution would have a detrimental impact on the US and world economy,” "Hopefully we won't have to wait to the 11th hour for a solution on the US debt-ceiling."

GBP/USD is auctioning in a Falling Wedge chart pattern on a two-hour scale in which each pullback is considered a selling opportunity by the market participants. Also, the chances of a bullish reversal remain higher. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2440 is acting as a barrier for the Pound Sterling bulls.

Meanwhile, a 40.00-60.00 range oscillation by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) will get a decisive move after the release of the UK Inflation.

Should the asset decline below May 19 low at 1.2390, US Dollar bulls will get strengthened further and will drag the Cable toward April 10 low at 1.2344 followed by April 03 low at 1.2275.

On the flip side, a recovery move above May 09 high at 1.2640 will drive the major toward the round-level resistance at 1.2700 and 26 April 2022 high at 1.2772.

GBP/USD two-hour chart

 

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