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- Another robust NFP report would encourage a stronger USD in the near-term – MUFG
Another robust NFP report would encourage a stronger USD in the near-term – MUFG
Economists at MUFG Bank expect a strong Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday to provide further support to the greenback.
Focus to switch to health of US labour market from US debt ceiling
“Market attention in the coming days will now turn to the passage of the bill through Congress. While there is genuine unease about the deal amongst Democrats and Republicans which could make it a close call, we expect the deal to be passed to suspend the debt ceiling in time. By passing the deal ahead of the X date the US economy will avoid a bigger negative shock.”
“Assuming that US politicians don’t surprisingly reject the deal, market attention should switch back to the health of the US labour market in the week ahead including the release of the NFP report on Friday. The US rate market has been moving to price in a higher probability of another 25 bps hike from the Fed at next month’s FOMC meeting, which is now judged as more likely than not. Another strong employment report this week would further reinforce those expectations and encourage a stronger USD in the near-term.”
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