AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Struggles at 94.00, drops below the Kumo, turns bearish

• AUD/JPY down 0.10%, trading at 93.67, influenced by China’s economic woes and US interest rate concerns.
• Technical indicators show resistance at 93.82, with further downside possible if the pair falls below last week’s low of 92.78.
• Intraday outlook is bearish, with key resistance at 93.75; a break below 93.50 could trigger further declines.

The AUD/JPY trimmed some of Monday’s gains, post losses of 0.10% on Tuesday, though it opens Wednesday’s Asian session with a lower not, exchanging hands at 93.67, down a minuscule 0.01%, at the time of writing. The main drivers for the AUD/JPY fall are risk aversion on China’s woes, US banks feeling the pain of higher interest rates and uncertainty about the US Federal Reserve Chair Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The AUD/JPY daily chart portrays the pair continuing its downtrend as the cross-currency pair fell below the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo). Also, the confluence of the Tenkan and Kijun-Sen lines, at around 93.82, would cap buyers’ intentions of reclaiming the 94.00 figure. Further downside is warranted once the AUD/JPY dives below the last week’s low of 92.78, with the 92.00 psychological level up next, followed by the July 28 low of 91.79.

From an intraday perspective, the AUD/JPY is set to extend its gains, as Monday’s price action lifted the exchange rates from below 92.89, with the pair reaching a week high of 94.06. Buyers’ failure to hold prices above 94.00 exacerbated AUD/JPY’s fall toward the top of the Kumo, with prices bouncing off the day’s low. It should be said that Tenkan and Kijun-Sen portray the pair as bearish, with the latter sitting on top of the former, and intersecting with the daily pivot point at 93.75, seen as a first resistance level. A breach of that level will expose the R1 pivot point at the 94.00 mark.

Conversely, a break below Tuesday’s low of 93.50 could put into play the bottom of the Kumo at 93.30, followed by the S2 pivot level at 93.19, and then the current week’s low of 92.83.

AUD/JPY Price Action – Hourly chart