- Analiza
- Novosti i instrumenti
- Vesti sa tržišta
- Euro might get under stronger depreciation pressure again – Commerzbank
Euro might get under stronger depreciation pressure again – Commerzbank
Economists at Commerzbank analyze EUR outlook after the ECB’s rate hike last week.
A significantly weaker Euro entails the risk of increasing the upside pressure on inflation
Fundamentally the ECB delivered exactly what had been largely expected for the September meetings of the central banks: a rather clear signal that rate hikes will end. By doing so the ECB accepted a certain level of risk. After all, it had to lead the way, as the Fed and the other major central banks are only meeting this week. If these central banks send out a less clear signal that the end of rate hikes is imminent for them too, the Euro might get under stronger depreciation pressure again.
That would constitute a problem for the ECB as a significantly weaker Euro also entails the risks of increasing the upside pressure on inflation, which would no doubt rankle the ECB central bankers in view of continued uncertainty about the future development of inflation rates.
It is comforting to know that that is exactly what we – and the market – are not expecting to happen. With the exception of the Bank of Japan of course and the Riksbank, ‘one and done’ is the most that we expect from the central bank decisions this week and that has been priced in. Any deviation from that is therefore likely to lead to more notable exchange rate fluctuations.
© 2000-2025. Sva prava zaštićena.
Sajt je vlasništvo kompanije Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
Svi podaci koji se nalaze na sajtu ne predstavljaju osnovu za donošenje investicionih odluka, već su informativnog karaktera.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.
Upotreba informacija: U slučaju potpunog ili delimičnog preuzimanja i daljeg korišćenja materijala koji se nalazi na sajtu, potrebno je navesti link odgovarajuće stranice na sajtu kompanije TeleTrade-a kao izvora informacija. Upotreba materijala na internetu mora biti praćena hiper linkom do web stranice teletrade.org. Automatski uvoz materijala i informacija sa stranice je zabranjen.
Ako imate bilo kakvih pitanja, obratite nam se pr@teletrade.global.
Банковни транcфери
