- Analiza
- Novosti i instrumenti
- Vesti sa tržišta
- EUR/USD: Buoyed by peace dividend, tariff delay – OCBC
EUR/USD: Buoyed by peace dividend, tariff delay – OCBC
Euro (EUR) vs US Dollar (USD) continued to trade higher on news that reciprocal tariffs does not comes into effect immediately but sometime in 1 Apr. The 6weeks+ push suggests that Trump may want to leverage on the threats to open up negotiations with some trade partners. The delay and hopes of Ukraine peace dividend is frustrating EUR shorts. Last seen at 1.0478 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Negotiation process can be positive to EUR
"Daily momentum turned mild bullish though rise in RSI moderated. Resistance at 1.05, 1.0540 levels. Break-out puts next resistance at 1.0570 (38.2% fibo retracement of Sep high to Jan low, 100 DMA). Support at 1.0390 (21, 50 DMAs), 1.03 levels."
"The peace talk remains in early stages and the phone call (between Trump and Putin) did not involve Ukraine or Europe. While the negotiation process is not likely to be smooth, we believe progress on this front is a positive start. It can even be a strong positive factor that overwhelms other EUR-negative factors, which were more or less in the price (stagnant economy, dovish ECB), depending on how the peace deal takes its form."
"We have turned neutral on EUR outlook (from bearish), looking to initiate buy on dips (at better levels). That said, we still caution for the risk of reciprocal tariff on EU, that may come within weeks even though effective data can be in Apr. Such announcement may undermine EUR."
© 2000-2025. Sva prava zaštićena.
Sajt je vlasništvo kompanije Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
Svi podaci koji se nalaze na sajtu ne predstavljaju osnovu za donošenje investicionih odluka, već su informativnog karaktera.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.
Upotreba informacija: U slučaju potpunog ili delimičnog preuzimanja i daljeg korišćenja materijala koji se nalazi na sajtu, potrebno je navesti link odgovarajuće stranice na sajtu kompanije TeleTrade-a kao izvora informacija. Upotreba materijala na internetu mora biti praćena hiper linkom do web stranice teletrade.org. Automatski uvoz materijala i informacija sa stranice je zabranjen.
Ako imate bilo kakvih pitanja, obratite nam se pr@teletrade.global.
Банковни транcфери
