- Analiza
- Novosti i instrumenti
- Vesti sa tržišta
- DXY: Bulls are squeezed – OCBC
DXY: Bulls are squeezed – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) longs are caught wrongfooted. Even as Trump signed an executive order to impose reciprocal tariffs, they will not come into effect until 1 Apr. These reinforced our view that tariffs – be it sectoral or reciprocal – is a bargaining chip for Trump to negotiate in attempt to unlock some agenda favouring America (to level playing ground, fair trade etc.). DXY was last seen at 107 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Risk remains skewed to the downside
"Markets have been positioning for tariff trade (i.e. long USD) but the repeated delay in tariffs seem to gradually build up expectations that Trump may not deliver tariffs as much as feared, depending on how trade negotiations go and if he gets any concession. With the tariff delay, prospects of Ukraine peace talks, US CPI and PPI data out of the way, the focus goes back to US data tonight – retail sales and industrial production. Softer US data may see USD longs bail."
"Daily momentum turned bearish while RSI fell. Risk remains skewed to the downside. Support at 106.20/40 levels (100 DMA, 38.2% fibo retracement of Oct low to Jan high). Resistance at 107.80 (23.6% fibo), 108.00/10 (21, 50 DMAs), and 108.50 levels."
"With regards to reciprocal tariffs, we have earlier highlighted that Korea, India, Thailand and Japan impose a higher weighted average tariff rate than the US does on these countries. Reciprocal tariff rate adjustments from US may potentially impact these countries more."
© 2000-2025. Sva prava zaštićena.
Sajt je vlasništvo kompanije Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
Svi podaci koji se nalaze na sajtu ne predstavljaju osnovu za donošenje investicionih odluka, već su informativnog karaktera.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.
Upotreba informacija: U slučaju potpunog ili delimičnog preuzimanja i daljeg korišćenja materijala koji se nalazi na sajtu, potrebno je navesti link odgovarajuće stranice na sajtu kompanije TeleTrade-a kao izvora informacija. Upotreba materijala na internetu mora biti praćena hiper linkom do web stranice teletrade.org. Automatski uvoz materijala i informacija sa stranice je zabranjen.
Ako imate bilo kakvih pitanja, obratite nam se pr@teletrade.global.
Банковни транcфери
