Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 11-10-2017

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11.10.2017
22:26
Currencies. Daily history for Oct 11’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1860 +0,44%

GBP/USD $1,3221 +0,14%

USD/CHF Chf0,97327 -0,17%

USD/JPY Y112,50 +0,12%

EUR/JPY Y133,42 +0,55%

GBP/JPY Y148,747 +0,27%

AUD/USD $0,7787 +0,13%

NZD/USD $0,7087 +0,25%

USD/CAD C$1,24558 -0,47%

22:10
Schedule for today, Thursday, Oct 12’2017 (GMT0)

00:45 New Zealand Food Prices Index, y/y September 2.3% 3.0%

03:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation October 3.8%

03:30 Australia Home Loans August 2.9% 0.5%

07:30 Japan Tertiary Industry Index August 0.1%

09:45 France CPI, y/y (Finally) September 0.9% 1%

09:45 France CPI, m/m (Finally) September 0.6% -0.1%

11:30 United Kingdom BOE Credit Conditions Survey

12:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) August 3.2% 2.6%

12:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) August 0.1% 0.5%

12:00 U.S. IEA Monthly Report

15:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, YoY August 0.4%

15:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, MoM August 3.8% 0.3%

15:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims 1938 1.935

15:30 U.S. PPI, y/y September 2.4% 2.5%

15:30 U.S. PPI, m/m September 0.2% 0.4%

15:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m September 0.1% 0.2%

15:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y September 2.0% 2%

15:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 260 251

16:00 United Kingdom MPC Member Andy Haldane Speaks

17:30 Eurozone ECB's Peter Praet Speaks

17:30 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

17:30 U.S. FOMC Member Jerome Powell Speaks

17:30 U.S. FOMC Member Brainard Speaks

18:00 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories October -6.023 -1.8

21:00 U.S. Federal budget September -108.0 6

22:15 Canada Gov Council Member Wilkins Speaks

22:45 Eurozone ECB's Benoit Coeure Speaks

23:10 Eurozone ECB's Lautenschläger Speech

21:47
New Zealand: Food Prices Index, y/y, September 3.0%
14:24
Dollar index holds near 2-week lows after U.S. JOLTS job openings fall in August
14:14
US job openings little changed at 6.1 million on the last business day of August

The number of job openings was little changed at 6.1 million on the last business day of August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were also little changed at 5.4 million and 5.2 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate and the layoffs
and discharges rate were little changed at 2.1 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the nonfarm sector by industry and by four geographic regions.

The number of hires was little changed at 5.4 million in August. The hires rate was 3.7 percent. The number of hires was little changed for total private and for government. The number of hires was little changed in all industries. Hires decreased in the Northeast region.

14:00
U.S.: JOLTs Job Openings, August 6.082 (forecast 6.125)
13:44
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EURUSD: 1.1710 (EUR 625m) 1.1740-45 (310m) 1.1770 (480m) 1.1825-30 (540m) 1.1850 (335m) 1.2030 (335m)

USDJPY: 110.00 (USD 800m) 111.00 (480m) 112.80 (1.3bln) 113.00 (640m)

GBPUSD: Ntg of note

AUDUSD: Ntg of note

USDCAD: 1.2200 (USD 750m) 1.2650 (255m) 1.2800 (450m)

13:16
British PM May says if there is a no Brexit deal, obviously we will have to have arrangements with other EU states on citizens rights
12:54
Fed's Evans says don't see any harm in waiting longer to take more stock of the inflation situation before more rate hikes

  • We need to see substantial progress on inflation data

  • It is important to position ourselves for the next several years with regards to monetary policy

  • Not enough detail on tax proposals to judge how they will affect U.S. economy and monetary policy

10:46
Spain's Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy says government agreed to formally ask Catalan government whether it had declared independence or not

  • This requirement comes before any other measure that could be taken under article 155 of the constitution

10:04
UK finance minister Hammond says equivalence that EU currently offers U.S. financial service firms can be withdrawn at short notice, would not be appropriate for UK
09:11
UK finance minister Hammond says need to determine what is a realistic 'worst case' scenario for brexit that we can plan for

  • Money spent on customs border with eu would be money that could not be spent on public services

  • Do not propose to allocate brexit funds to departments before spending is needed

  • UK does have fundamental underlying problem with productivity growth

  • UK economy fundamentally robust but has 'cloud of uncertainty' that we need to remove as soon as possible

08:09
Russian foreign ministry says not ruling out it may demand that U.S. cut number of diplomats in Russia to 300 or below - RIA
07:47
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EUR/USD: 1.1850(335 m), 1.1825-30(540 m), 1.1770(480 m)

USD/JPY: 113.00(640 m), 112.80(128 m), 111(475 m)

07:18
China foreign ministry calls on all sides to exercise restraint over North Korea issue
06:52
Options levels on wednesday, October 11, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1971 (3422)

$1.1919 (2894)

$1.1873 (403)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1825

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1776 (2253)

$1.1728 (2635)

$1.1698 (3107)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date November, 3 is 92366 contracts (according to data from October, 10) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2000 (5478);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3335 (3269)

$1.3297 (2232)

$1.3253 (1050)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3192

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3141 (1903)

$1.3092 (1064)

$1.3063 (2140)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 3 is 34161 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3300 (3270);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 3 is 31125 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (2191);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.91 versus 0.94 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 10

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:46
Romanian consumer price inflation quickens to 1.8 pct y/y in September from 1.2 pct in August; 1.6 pct y/y forecast; 0.5 pct m/m - Stats board
06:45
Japanese core machine orders rose more than expected in August

Core machine orders in Japan jumped a seasonally adjusted 3.4 percent on month in August, the Cabinet Office said on Wednesday, cited by rttnews, - coming in at 882.4 billion yen.

That beat forecasts for an increase of 1.0 percent following the 8.0 percent spike in July.

On a yearly basis, core machine orders advanced 4.4 percent - again beating expectations for a gain of 0.8 percent following the 7.5 percent decline in the previous month.

The total value of machine orders, which includes volatile ones for ships and electric power companies, added 8.5 percent on month and 21.5 percent on year to 2,583.9 billion yen.

06:42
10-year U.S. treasury yield at 2.362 percent vs U.S. close of 2.345 percent on Tuesday
06:41
Catalan lawmakers sign document they call declaration of independence, but delay its implementation @AP
06:40
Spanish foreign minister Dastis tells french radio that Catalonia leader's speech on tuesday was a "trick" but adds there remains room for talks within framework of spanish constitution
05:59
Japan: Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y , September 45.3%

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