Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 11-11-2013

USD/JPY Y96.15, Y96.50, Y97.00

EUR/JPY Y131.00, Y132.75, Y135.50

EUR/USD $1.3300, $1.3450, $1.3500

GBP/USD $1.5950

Data

00:30 Australia Gross mortgage lending September -3.9% +3.6% +4.4%

05:00 Japan index of the current Eco Watchers Survey October  52.8   54.2   51.8

05:00 Japan: Outlook Eco Watchers Survey: October  54.2   54.7   54.5

8:00 The volume of loans to China, Oct. billion yuan  787  581  506

The euro rose against the dollar, despite the lack of economic reports. The pair started the trading week higher , recovering from a sharp fall last week at the ECB and the employment report for October on the weakening dollar. This week, we are waiting for a revised eurozone GDP for the 3rd quarter . Experts believe that the GDP for the 3rd quarter . unlikely to cause a significant rally in the euro , since most of the data has already confirmed the potential growth of the GDP . However fletovoe or negative value will be a big surprise that pressure the shares of European banks and the euro . However , the probability of such an outcome is low.

It should be noted that market participants are also waiting for data on industrial production . According to the median estimate of economists in September, the volume of industrial production in the euro area is likely to fall by 0.3 %, compared with the previous month , when it grew by 1%. The report will be presented on November 13.

The Australian dollar fell against the U.S. dollar , in response , so to data from China , which were published over the weekend . From the report it was reported that China's economic recovery is gathering pace , aided by a significant increase in industrial production and exports. Note that this improvement offset fears that the ongoing economic restructuring may further inhibit growth.

The National Bureau of Statistics said on Saturday that China's industrial production rose in October by 10.3 percent year on year, which was slightly faster than the 10.2 percent increase seen in September. We also add that production rose by 9.7 percent during the first ten months of this year. In addition, it was reported that retail sales growth in October was significant, but at the same level, while 13.3 percent. In January -October sales were up 13 percent compared with the same period last year, said the National Bureau of Statistics.

The data also showed that investment in fixed assets rose in October by 20.1 per cent per annum , compared with an increase of 20.2 per cent per annum in the previous month .

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3408

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.5977

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose from Y98.91 to Y99.20

At 23:00 GMT New Zealand will present the house price index from REINZ for October, and will announce the change in the volume of home sales in October from REINZ . At 23:50 GMT Japan will publish the index of activity in the service sector in September.

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3529, $1.3500, $1.3450, $1.3400/10

Bids $1.3345, $1.3320-00, $1.3295-94, $1.3277

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6160/65, $1.6140/50, $1.6115/25, $1.6100/05, $1.6050

Bids $1.5950, $1.5904, $1.5900, $1.5894

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9520, $0.9450, $0.9420, $0.9400

Bids $0.9350, $0.9300, $0.9250

EUR/JPY

Offers Y134.00, Y133.50, Y133.20, Y133.00, Y132.89

Bids Y132.25/21, Y132.00, Y131.80, Y131.55/50

USD/JPY

Offers Y100.00, Y99.80, Y99.50, Y99.20

Bids Y98.80, Y98.50, Y98.20, Y98.00

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8575/85, stg0.8520/30, stg0.8500, stg0.8480, stg0.8410/20, stg0.8380

Bids stg0.8325/20, stg0.8300, stg0.8285

USD/JPY Y96.15, Y96.50, Y97.00

EUR/JPY Y131.00, Y132.75, Y135.50

EUR/USD $1.3300, $1.3450, $1.3500

GBP/USD $1.5950

00:30 Australia Home Loans September -3.9% +3.6% +4.4%

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current October 52.8 54.2 51.8

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook October 54.2 54.7 54.5

The greenback remained higher after jobs data last week topped economist forecasts, boosting Treasury yields. U.S. employers added 204,000 workers in October, compared with a Bloomberg News survey median for a 120,000 gain, a report last week showed.

Fed Bank of Minneapolis President Narayana Kocherlakota and Atlanta peer Dennis Lockhart will speak tomorrow. Kocherlakota is scheduled to speak tomorrow on monetary policy and will take questions following his address. He said Oct. 17 that officials must do “whatever it takes” to push for a faster return to full employment while keeping inflation near 2 percent, including possibly providing more stimulus. Lockhart said Nov. 8 that the Fed will consider reducing its bond-buying program at next month’s policy meeting.

The euro was near a 10-month low against the pound ahead of data this week that may show factory output declined in the currency bloc and after an unexpected rate reduction by the European Central Bank. Euro-area industrial output probably fell 0.3 percent in September from a month earlier when it rose 1 percent, a separate Bloomberg News poll of economists shows. The report is due for release on Nov. 13. The ECB halved its main refinancing rate on Nov. 7 to 0.25 percent with ECB President Mario Draghi saying the 17-nation currency bloc risks a “prolonged period” of low inflation.

Demand for the pound may be sustained with some strategists predicting that Bank of England Governor Mark Carney will signal interest rates could rise sooner than previously anticipated as unemployment edges closer to policy makers’ key threshold.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3345-75

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.6020

USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to Y98.95

With US bond and forex markets closed for the Veterans' Day holiday, there is a very light calendar across the board on Monday. Perhaps one of the most interesting post-cut reactions will come Monday, when Bundesbank President Jen Weidmann, easily the most hawkish member of the ECB's Governing Council, speaks at an investment event in Vienna. The limited releases scheduled for Monday includes Italian September industrial production data at 0900GMT.

00:30 Australia Home Loans September -3.9% +3.6%

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current October 52.8 54.2

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook October 54.2 54.7

08:00 China New Loans October 787 581

17:00 Eurozone ECB's Jens Weidmann Speaks

23:00 New Zealand REINZ Housing Price Index, m/m October +0.8%

23:50 Japan Tertiary Industry Index September +0.7% +0.2%