Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 12-02-2018

00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence January 11 10

07:45 France Non-Farm Payrolls (Preliminary) Quarter IV 0.2% 0.2%

08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y January 1.8% 0.9%

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) January 0.1% 0.7%

09:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m January 0.8% -0.7%

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) January 4.9% 4.3%

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) January 3.3% 3%

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) January 0.4% 0.2%

09:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y January 4.1% 4.1%

09:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y January 2.5% 2.6%

09:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m January 0.4% -0.6%

09:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y January 3% 2.9%

13:00 U.S. FOMC Member Mester Speaks

21:45 New Zealand Food Prices Index, y/y January 2.3%

23:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence February 105.1

23:50 Japan GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter IV 0.6% 0.2%

23:50 Japan GDP, y/y (Preliminary) Quarter IV 2.5% 0.9%

• Says oil market is only expected to balance towards the end of this year

• Citing secondary sources,says its january oil output fell 8,000 bpd m/m to 32.302 mbpd

• Opec's 11 members with supply targets pumped 29.371 mln bpd in january amounting to 137 pct compliance with supply cut pact (up from dec) - Reuters

• Global oil demand to rise 1.59 million bpd this year (prev. Forecast 1.53 mbpd)

• Deposits of domestic banks at 466.418 bln chf in week ending february 9 versus 465.385 bln chf a week earlier

• Says Washington also supports credible elections in Libya

• Washington supports credible, transparent elections in Egypt

• Says if less credit headwind to UK economy, then may be ready for higher rates

• There is increased evidence that tight labour markets are beginning to have upward effect on wages

• If households are leveraging up when not much slack in economy, MPC should take an interest

The consumer price index (CPI) fell by 0.1% in January 2018 compared with the previous month, reaching 100.7 points (December 2015=100). Inflation was 0.7% compared with the same month of the previous year. These are the results of the Federal Statistical Office (FSO). The decrease of 0.1% compared with the previous month is due in particular to the decrease in prices for outpatient hospital medical services. Prices for air transport also declined, along with prices for clothing and footwear, in particular because of sales. In contrast, prices for overnight stays in hotels, heating oil and electricity increased.

• Says ‍does not expect any period of political uncertainty to significantly dent economic confidence​

• 'AAA' ratings reflect Germany's diversified, high value-added economy, strong institutions and history of sound public debt management

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2382 (2637)

$1.2342 (1190)

$1.2313 (658)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2278

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2192 (5179)

$1.2174 (2070)

$1.2152 (4545)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date March, 9 is 121851 contracts (according to data from February, 9) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2400 (5179);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4021 (3048)

$1.3969 (1287)

$1.3912 (639)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3862

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3742 (1778)

$1.3704 (2092)

$1.3656 (1854)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 9 is 42567 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3900 (3048);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 9 is 41971 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3850 (2206);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.99 versus 0.94 from the previous trading day according to data from February, 9

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.