Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 12-06-2017

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1204 +0,08%

GBP/USD $1,2642 -0,78%

USD/CHF Chf0,9684 -0,07%

USD/JPY Y109,90 -0,37%

EUR/JPY Y123,14 -0,30%

GBP/JPY Y139,27 -0,93%

AUD/USD $0,7538 +0,15%

NZD/USD $0,7191 -0,25%

USD/CAD C$1,3319 -1,10%

01:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence May 13

05:30 France Non-Farm Payrolls (Finally) Quarter I 0.4% 0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index Output (MoM) May 0.4% 0.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) May 3.6% 3.6%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) May 16.6% 13.4%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) May 0.1% -0.5%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y May 2.4% 2.4%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m May 0.5% 0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y May 3.5% 3.5%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y May 2.7% 2.7%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m May 0.5% 0.2%

09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment June 35.1

09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment June 20.6 21.5

12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m May 0.4% 0.2%

12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y May 1.9% 2%

12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y May 2.5% 2.4%

12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m May 0.5% 0%

22:45 New Zealand Food Prices Index, y/y May 0.2%

22:45 New Zealand Current Account Quarter I -2.34 0.922

EURUSD:1.1100 (EUR 1.2bln) 1.1130 (391m) 1.1150 (970m) 1.1180 (1.86bln) 1.1200 (984m) 1.1250 (640m) 1.1290-1.1300 (1.5bln)

USDJPY: 109.50 (USD 431m) 110.00 (210m) 111.00 (221m) 111.30 (353m)

GBPUSD: 1.2625 (GBP 198m) 1.2775 (407m)

EURGBP: 0.8940 (EUR 213m)

AUDUSD: 0.7450-55 (AUD 485m)

USDCAD: 1.3600 (USD 270m)

EURJPY: 123.60 (EUR 405m) 125.00 (208m)

• Big question mark over whether UK PM May can put together a credible and sustainable government

EUR/USD

Offers: 1.1230 1.1250 1.1270 1.1285 1.1300

Bids: 1.1200-1195 1.1180 1.1165 1.1150 1.1120 1.1100

GBP/USD

Offers: 1.2770-75 1.2800 1.2830 1.2850 1.2870 1.2900

Bids: 1.2730 1.2700 1.2680 1.2650 1.2630 1.2600-10 1.2580 1.2550

EUR/JPY

Offers: 123.80 124.00 124.50 124.80 125.00

Bids: 123.30 123.00 122.80 122.50 122.30 122.00

EUR/GBP

Offers: 0.8830 0.8850-60 0.8885 0.8900

Bids: 0.8780 0.8750 0.8730 0.8700

USD/JPY

Offers: 110.50 110.80 111.00 111.30 111.50 111.80 112.00

Bids: 110.00 109.80-85 109.65 109.50 109.35 109.20 109.00

AUD/USD

Offers: 0.7550 0.7580 0.7600 0.7630 0.7650

Bids: 0.7520 0.7500-05 0.7480-85 0.7465 0.7450

• "It is becoming more likely that crisis will be sustained and negatively affect Qatar's economy and its credit metrics"

• ‍Short-term foreign- & local-currency IDR of 'F1+' and 'AA' on Qatar's long-term foreign-currency senior unsecured bonds placed on rating watch negative​

• RWN on ratings reflects heightened uncertainty resulting from decision of arab countries to sever diplomatic, logistical ties with Qatar

• Don't see any clamour for a leadership election to replace PM May

• Asked about govt approach to Bexit says everything has to be looked at

• Priorities talks with PM May are defending United Kingdom, good Brexit deal

In April 2017 the seasonally adjusted industrial production index decreased by 0.4% compared with the previous month. The percentage change of the average of the last three months with respect to the previous three months was -0.1.

The calendar adjusted industrial production index increased by 1.0% compared with April 2016 (calendar working days in April 2017 being 18 versus 20 days in April 2016); in the period January- April 2017 the percentage change was +1.5 compared with the same period of 2016.

The unadjusted industrial production index decreased by 6.5% compared with April 2016.

EURUSD:1.1100 (EUR 1.2bln) 1.1130 (391m) 1.1150 (970m) 1.1180 (1.86bln) 1.1200 (984m) 1.1250 (640m) 1.1290-1.1300 (1.5bln)

USDJPY: 109.50 (USD 431m) 110.00 (210m) 111.00 (221m) 111.30 (353m)

GBPUSD: 1.2625 (GBP 198m) 1.2775 (407m)

EURGBP: 0.8940 (EUR 213m)

AUDUSD: 0.7450-55 (AUD 485m)

USDCAD: 1.3600 (USD 270m)

EURJPY: 123.60 (EUR 405m) 125.00 (208m)

Producer prices in Japan were flat on month in May, the Bank of Japan said on Monday, cited by rttnews.

That was beneath expectations for an increase of 0.1 percent and down from 0.2 percent in April.

On a yearly basis, producer prices were up 2.1 percent - again beneath forecasts for 2.2 percent although unchanged from the previous month.

Export prices were up 1.0 percent on month and 4.4 percent on year in May, the bank said, while import prices gained 2.2 percent on month and 13.5 percent on year.

• We will not have an end to the common travel area in Ireland

• We will take control of our borders

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1305 (5385)

$1.1265 (4192)

$1.1240 (5428)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1205

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1146 (3165)

$1.1098 (3138)

$1.1040 (1927)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 81815 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1000 (5894);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 108710 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0700 (5437);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.33 versus 1.31 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 9

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3005 (3802)

$1.2911 (2807)

$1.2819 (1949)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2750

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2598 (1821)

$1.2499 (2489)

$1.2399 (1445)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 39107 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3802);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 51879 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2700 (7028);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.33 versus 1.32 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 9

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.