Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 12-09-2017

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,9644 +0,54%

GBP/USD $1,3286 +0,91%

USD/CHF Chf0,95973 +0,42%

USD/JPY Y110,15 +0,72%

EUR/JPY Y131,80 +0,81%

GBP/JPY Y146,355 +1,62%

AUD/USD $0,8019 -0,11%

NZD/USD $0,7283 +0,32%

USD/CAD C$1,21779 +0,57%

00:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence September 95.5

06:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Finally) August 0.4% 0.1%

06:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Finally) August 1.7% 1.8%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y August -0.1%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m August 0%

08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y July 2.1% 2.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y July 2.1% 2.2%

08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate July 4.4% 4.4%

08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count August -4.2 0.6

09:00 Eurozone Employment Change Quarter II 0.4%

09:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) July 2.6% 3.4%

09:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) July -0.6% 0.1%

09:00 U.S. IEA Monthly Report

12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y August 1.8% 2.1%

12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m August -0.1% 0.2%

12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m August -0.1% 0.3%

12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y August 1.9% 2.5%

14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories 4.580

18:00 U.S. Federal budget August -43 -121.65

23:15 Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks

• Says negative policy rates have been an effective tool in the euro area

The number of job openings was little changed at 6.2 million on the last business day of July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were also little changed at 5.5 million and 5.3 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate and the layoffs and
discharges rate were little changed at 2.2 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the nonfarm sector by industry and by four geographic regions.

EURUSD: 1.1650 (EUR1.7 млрд) 1.1700 (905 млн) 1.1850 (780 млн) 1.2000 (610 млн)

USDJPY: 108.25 (USD 530 млн) 109.25-30 (540 млн) 109.60-70 (675 млн) 109.80 (400 млн) 110.00 (405 млн)

EURUSD: 1.1650 (EUR1.7bln) 1.1700 (905m) 1.1850 (780m) 1.2000 (610m)

USDJPY: 108.25 (USD 530m) 109.25-30 (540m) 109.60-70 (675m) 109.80 (400) 110.00 (405m)

The annual rate of inflation for goods leaving the factory gate increased for the first time in 6 months in August 2017.

Factory gate prices (output prices) rose 3.4% on the year to August 2017, up from 3.2% in July 2017, with the change in the rate being driven mainly by petroleum products.

Prices for materials and fuels (input prices) rose 7.6% on the year to August 2017, up from 6.2% in July 2017, with the change in the rate being driven mainly by crude oil.

Recent rises to input costs may have now passed through industries that represent core inflation, although energy and food prices have grown in recent months.

The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs 12-month inflation rate was 2.7% in August 2017, up from 2.6% in July 2017.

Rising prices for clothing and motor fuels were the main contributors to the increase in the rate between July and August 2017.

Air fares also rose between July and August but the rise was smaller than between the same two months a year ago and so resulted in a partially offsetting, downward contribution.

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate was 2.9% in August 2017, up from 2.6% in July 2017.

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2074 (3094)

$1.2060 (1541)

$1.2029 (453)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1967

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1911 (2603)

$1.1883 (2498)

$1.1851 (3269)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date October, 6 is 89844 contracts (according to data from September, 11) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1900 (3269);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3290 (2201)

$1.3273 (1799)

$1.3248 (1543)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3191

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3126 (319)

$1.3102 (915)

$1.3073 (1125)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 6 is 24554 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3250 (2987);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 26466 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2950 (2498);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.08 versus 1.07 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 11

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

In Q2 2017, net payroll job creation reached 81,400, that is an increase of 0.3% as in the previous quarter. It is the eleventh consecutive quarter of growth. The payroll employment increased by 76,800 in the private sector and by 4,600 in the public sector. Year on year, it rose by 303,500 net jobs (that is +1.2%) : 276,300 jobs were created in the private sector and 27,200 jobs in the public service.

In Q2 2017, the decline in payroll employment in industry eased slightly: −2,800 (that is −0.1%), after -4,900 in the previous quarter. Year on year, industry lost 13,500 jobs (that is −0.4%).

By contrast, payroll employment in construction increased for the second consecutive quarter, while it had dropped almost continuously since 2008. In this sector, net job creation reached 4,800 in Q2 2017 (that is +0.4%), after +9,800 in Q1 2017. Year on year, the employment recovery in construction has been confirmed : +8,600 jobs, that is +0.6%.