Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 15-04-2013

EUR/USD $1.3000, $1.3005, $1.3020, $1.3100, $1.3150

USD/JPY Y97.50, Y98.50, Y98.60, Y99.00, Y99.20, Y100.00, Y100.25

USD/CHF Chf0.9300, Chf0.9350, Chf0.9495

AUD/USD $1.0325, $1.0400, $1.0490, $1.0550

GBP/USD $1.5200, $1.5340, $1.5400

EUR/GBP stg0.8500

Data

00:30 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

01:30 Australia Home Loans February -1.5% +1.6% +2.0%

02:00 China Retail Sales y/y March +12.3% +12.5% +12.6%

02:00 China Industrial Production y/y March +9.9% +10.1% +8.9%

02:00 China GDP y/y Quarter I +7.9% +8.0% +7.7%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) February -0.1% -0.1% +0.6%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Finally) February -11.0% -10.5%

06:15 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

09:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. February 9.0 9.9 12.0

The yen rose against all major currencies after China in the first quarter of this year, there were a slowdown in economic growth in the country, which caused the demand for the currency of refuge. According to figures released today by the State Statistical Bureau of China, the growth of this index for the period was 7.7%. GDP growth in the first quarter were 0.2% lower than in the fourth quarter of 2012, which stood at 7.9%. Analysts had expected a rise of 8%.

Additional impetus to the growth of the Japanese currency was Finance Minister in United States, Japan has called on April 12 to refuse to take action to intentional devaluation of the yen. The U.S. Treasury said that in the past there has been a large-scale measures for the Bank of Japan's monetary easing aimed at combating chronic deflation. A sharp drop in the yen exchange rate causes concern due to the possibility of competitive devaluations by trading partners, in the U.S. state the department.

The euro fell after ratings agency Moody's downgraded Cyprus's largest bank, Bank of Cyprus, by two notches - from "Caa3" to default level "C". The rating actions reflect Moody's expectations with respect to large losses on uninsured depositors deposits in the Bank of Cyprus in the coming months. Also today, the Troika inspectors announced the completion of the latest revision of the program to provide assistance to Greece, reaffirming that Athens implemented measures should help the country achieve its goals. This means that the frozen tranche of E2.8 billion may be granted to Greece in the near future. In a joint statement, the EU, the IMF and the ECB says that the country's fiscal performance look satisfactory and successful movements correspond to the exposed Greece to target levels. Government is committed to realizing the full fiscal measures required for execution in 2013-2014. It was also noted that the recent measures taken by the authorities, it is assumed that in the near future, it has met its goals, paving the way for an early decision on the allocation of funds EFSF tranche. Note that the economic reforms that the Greek government pledged to implement include job cuts in the public sector, which was the main stumbling block, hinder the achievement of a final agreement on the rescue. Expects three, in 2014 Greece will gradually return to the path of economic growth.

The pound rose against the euro after a report showed that house prices in Britain rose in April, which was the fourth monthly increase, and increased optimism about the fact that the country can avoid another recession. Also contribute to the growth expectations of future currency report on inflation. According to experts, in annual terms, the value of the indicator will remain unchanged - at the level of 2.8%, while the increase on a monthly basis should be 0.3%, compared to 0.7% in February.

EUR / USD: during the European session the pair fell to $ 1.3050, and then recovered to $ 1.3081

GBP / USD: during the European session the pair fell to $ 1.5304, but then rose to $ 1.5337

USD / JPY: during the European session the pair fell to Y97.60

At 12:30 GMT the U.S. will Empire Manufacturing production index for April. At 13:00 GMT the United States will report on the volume of net purchases of long-term U.S. securities by foreign investors in February and the total volume of net purchases of U.S. securities by foreign investors in February.

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3195/200, $1.3180, $1.3170, $1.3152, $1.3135/38

Bids $1.3050, $1.3040/35, $1.3020, $1.3000

GBP/USD

Offers $1.5450/60, $1.5420/25, $1.5395/00, $1.5375/80

Bids $1.5300, $1.5280, $1.5250, $1.5220

AUD/USD

Offers $1.0550, $1.0520/25, $1.0500, $1.0445/50

Bids $1.0400, $1.0380, $1.0350, $1.0320, $1.0310/00

EUR/JPY

Offers Y129.90/00, Y129.50, Y129.00, Y128.80/85

Bids Y127.50, Y127.30/24, Y127.00, Y126.80, Y126.55/50

USD/JPY

Offers Y99.75/80, Y99.50, Y99.35/40, Y99.00, Y98.70/80

Bids Y97.55/50, Y97.20, Y97.00, Y96.80, Y96.50

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8650, stg0.8610/15, stg0.8600/05, stg0.8580/85, stg0.8560/65, stg0.8540/50

Bids stg0.8500, stg0.8485/80, stg0.8460/50, stg0.8410/00

EUR/USD $1.3000, $1.3005, $1.3020, $1.3100, $1.3150

USD/JPY Y97.50, Y98.50, Y98.60, Y99.00, Y99.20, Y100.00, Y100.25

USD/CHF Chf0.9300, Chf0.9350, Chf0.9495

AUD/USD $1.0325, $1.0400, $1.0490, $1.0550

GBP/USD $1.5200, $1.5340, $1.5400

EUR/GBP stg0.8500

EUR/CHF Chf1.2150, Chf1.2200

00:30 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

01:30 Australia Home Loans February -1.5% +1.6% +2.0%

02:00 China Retail Sales y/y March +12.3% +12.5% +12.6%

02:00 China Industrial Production y/y March +9.9% +10.1% +8.9%

02:00 China GDP y/y Quarter I +7.9% +8.0% +7.7%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) February -0.1% -0.1% +0.6%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Finally) February -11.0% -10.5%

06:15 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

The yen rose against all its 16 major counterparts after Chinese growth unexpectedly slowed, fueling demand for haven assets. China’s gross domestic product rose 7.7 percent in the three months ended March 31 from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said in Beijing today. That compares with the 8 percent median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 41 analysts and 7.9 percent in the fourth quarter.

Japan’s currency headed for its biggest two-day advance in more than two years against the dollar after the U.S. Treasury said it would pressure the country to refrain from competitive devaluation. The U.S. Treasury said it would pressure Japan to avoid “targeting its exchange rate for competitive purposes” in its semi-annual currency report to Congress released in Washington on April 12.

Group of 20 finance ministers and central bankers meet on April 18 and April 19 in Washington ahead of weekend talks of the IMF and World Bank. At their last meeting in February, they signaled that Japan could stimulate its stagnant economy as long as policy makers refrained from publicly advocating a sliding yen.

The New Zealand and Australian dollars dropped by the most in almost two months against the U.S. currency after the data signaled the economic recovery in their biggest trading partner has lost momentum.

The euro fell for the first time in three days after Moody’s Investors Service said Cyprus’s risk of an exit from the currency block remains high.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.3065.

GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.5305.

USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell Y97.55.

00:30 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

01:30 Australia Home Loans February -1.5% +1.6% +2.0%

02:00 China Retail Sales y/y March +12.3% +12.5% +12.6%

02:00 China Industrial Production y/y March +9.9% +10.1% +8.9%

02:00 China GDP y/y Quarter I +7.9% +8.0% +2.0%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) February -0.1% -0.1%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Finally) February -11.0%

06:15 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

09:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. February 9.0 9.9

12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index April 9.24 7.2

13:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows February 25.7 41.3

13:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows February 110.9