Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 16-05-2016

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16.05.2016
22:30
Currencies. Daily history for May 16’2016:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $ 1,1314 +0,07%

GBP/USD $1,4408 +0,35%

USD/CHF Chf0,9774 +0,21%

USD/JPY Y109,06 +0,40%

EUR/JPY Y123,39 +0,45%

GBP/JPY Y157,13 +0,75%

AUD/USD $0,7289 +0,30%

NZD/USD $0,6782 +0,24%

USD/CAD C$1,2893 -0,34%

22:01
Schedule for today, Tuesday, May 17’2016:

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) April 2.2%

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) April 4.2%

01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) March -5.2% 3.6%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Finally) March -1.2% 0.1%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m April 0%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y April -4.7%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) April 0.3% 0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) April -0.9% -0.8%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) April 2.0% 1.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) April -6.5%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m April 0.4%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y April 1.6% 1.5%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m April 0.4% 0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y April 0.5% 0.5%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y April 1.5% 1.4%

09:00 Eurozone Trade balance unadjusted March 19 22.5

10:00 Germany Bundesbank Monthly Report

12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) March -3.3% -1.3%

12:30 U.S. Housing Starts April 1089 1130

12:30 U.S. Building Permits April 1076 1140

12:30 U.S. CPI, m/m April 0.1% 0.3%

12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y April 2.2% 2.1%

12:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y April 0.9% 1.1%

12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m April 0.1% 0.2%

13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization April 74.8% 75%

13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) April -0.6% 0.3%

13:15 U.S. Industrial Production YoY April -2%

22:45 New Zealand PPI Input (QoQ) Quarter I -1.2%

22:45 New Zealand PPI Output (QoQ) Quarter I -0.8%

23:50 Japan GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter I -0.3% 0.1%

23:50 Japan GDP, y/y (Preliminary) Quarter I -1.1% 0.2%

20:01
U.S.: Net Long-term TIC Flows , March 78.1
20:01
U.S.: Net Long-term TIC Flows , March 78.1
20:00
U.S.: Total Net TIC Flows, March -98.3
14:00
U.S.: NAHB Housing Market Index, May 58 (forecast 59)
13:45
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

USDJPY 109.10 (USD 503m) 111.00 (1.82bln)

EURUSD: 1.1255 (EUR 299m) 1.1300 (225m) 1.1350 (251m) 1.1395-1.1400 (854m) 1.1430 (556m)

GBPUSD 1.14450 (GBP 319m)

EURGBP 0.7802 (EUR 269m)

USDCHF 0.9600 (USD 320m)

AUDUSD 0.7200 (AUD 381m) 0.7260 (381m) 0.7235 (229m) 0.7450 (353m) 0.7500 (395m)

12:30
U.S.: NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index , May -9.02 (forecast 7.25)
11:50
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers 1.1325-30 1.1350 1.1380 1.1400 1.1430 1.1450-60 1.1475-80 1.1500

Bids 1.1300 1.1280-85 1.1270 1.1250 1.1230 1.1200 1.1185 1.1165 1.1150


GBP/USD

Offers 1.4375-85 1.4400 1.4420 1.4435 1.4450 1.4460 1.4480 1.4500 1.4530 1.4550

Bids 1.4330 1.4300-10 1.4275-80 1.4250 1.4230 1.4200 1.14180 1.4150


EUR/GBP

Offers 0.7900 0.7920 0.7930 0.7950 0.7980 0.8000 0.8020 0.8050

Bids 0.7865-70 0.7845-50 0.7830 0.7820 0.7800 0.7780 0.7760 0.7735 0.7700


EUR/JPY

Offers 123.80 124.00 124.30 124.50 124.70-75 125.00 125.30 125.50 126.00

Bids 123.00 122.80 122.50 122.00 121.70121.50 121.00


USD/JPY

Offers 108.85 109.00 109.20109.50 109.80 110.00 110.30 110.50

Bids 108.50 108.30 108.20 108.00 107.85 107.60 107.20-25 107.00


AUD/USD

Offers 0.7300 0.7325 0.7340 0.7380 0.7400 0.7420-25 0.7450

Bids 0.7280 0.7270 0.7250 0.7200 0.7185 0.7165 0.7150 0.7100

08:57
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

USD/JPY 109.10 (USD 503m) 111.00 (1.82bln)

EUR/USD: 1.1255 (EUR 299m) 1.1300 (225m) 1.1350 (251m) 1.1395-1.1400 (854m) 1.1430 (556m)

GBP/USD 1.14450 (GBP 319m)

EUR/GBP 0.7802 (EUR 269m)

USD/CHF 0.9600 (USD 320m)

AUD/USD 0.7200 (AUD 381m) 0.7260 (381m) 0.7235 (229m) 0.7450 (353m) 0.7500 (395m)

06:01
Japan: Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y , April -26.4%
05:07
Options levels on monday, May 16, 2016: EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1454 (5065)

$1.1424 (2680)

$1.1378 (1218)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1310

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1262 (3773)

$1.1218 (5748)

$1.1154 (9281)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 3 is 67303 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (5173);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 3 is 88433 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (9281);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.31 versus 1.38 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 13


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4605 (2313)

$1.4508 (2398)

$1.4412 (554)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4362

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.4290 (2350)

$1.4193 (2842)

$1.4095 (1355)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 3 is 30621 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4500 (2398);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 3 is 32737 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4200 (2842);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.07 versus 1.11 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 13


* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

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