Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 19-11-2013

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19.11.2013

19:00

American focus : the dollar fell against the euro

The euro exchange rate against the dollar has increased markedly , thus restoring all previously lost ground, which was associated with comments Vice President of the ECB Vitor Constancio , who said that the possibility of introducing a program of QE by the Central Bank in order to stimulate growth in the euro zone has not been discussed in the Governing Council, but it was mentioned as potential options .

Note that the ECB has not wanted to use the bond purchases as a means of stimulating growth , but Peter Ready , chief economist at the central bank , in an interview last week said that they are possible . " The balance of the central bank can also be used ," - he said.

Meanwhile, Constancio also said that he had nothing to add to what I said ECB Governing Council member Peter Praet on the matter, namely, that the Central Bank may start buying assets in order to raise the current level of inflation to the target level of 2%.

"It was only mentioned as a possibility , nothing more ", - assured Constancio , adding that the decision to start talking about the introduction of QE is based on the opinion of the Governing Board regarding inflation and its prospects . "

In addition, the vice president of administration was concerned about the possibility of negative interest rates on deposits , recognizing , however, that " any political solution always has its pros and cons. There is no perfect solution, there is always a difficulty . "

The pound strengthened against the dollar , rising at the same time to the maximum session , due to the expectations of tomorrow's publication of minutes of meetings of the Bank of England. It should be noted that during the last meeting of the Bank of England did not bring any surprises markets , leaving the key lending rate at a record low 0.5 %, where it has been since March 2009 , while the purchase of assets remained at £ 375 billion the central bank announced its intention to keep rates low for as long as the rate b / d in Britain will not fall below 7% , which is not expected before 2016.

15:15

Japan Sep leading index rises less than initially estimated

Japan's leading economic index strengthened in September, but at a slower than initially estimated pace, final data from the Cabinet Office showed Tuesday.
The leading index that is designed to measure changes in the direction of the economy rose to 109.2 in September from 106.8 in August. The preliminary reading for September was 109.5.
The coincident economic index, which measures the current economic situation, improved to 108.4 from 107.6 in the prior month. The September reading was revised up from 108.2.
The lagging index, which gauges the past performance of the economy, remained unchanged at 114.0 in September. The initial estimate for September was 115.1.

14:43

Eurozone construction output falls in September

Eurozone's construction output declined in September for the first time in six months, data released by Eurostat showed on Tuesday.
Construction output decreased a seasonally adjusted 1.3 percent from August, when it grew 0.3 percent, which was downwardly revised from 0.5 percent. The latest fall was the first since March.
Year-on-year, construction output dropped a working-day adjusted 0.2 percent in September, following a 1.3 percent slump in August. It was the seventh monthly decline in a row.
In the third quarter, construction output grew 1.9 percent sequentially, same as in the second quarter. Output increased for the second straight quarter. On an annual basis, output declined 1.7 percent in the third quarter, after decreasing 4 percent in the second quarter.
Construction output fell 1.3 percent monthly in the EU 28, after declining 0.2 percent in the previous month. Yearly, output increased 0.2 percent, reversing a 0.2 percent fall in August.
In the third quarter, output increased 2.1 percent sequentially, following a 1.3 gain in the previous three months. The annual fall was 0.6 percent, after a 3.8 percent slump in the previous quarter.

13:45

Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

USD/JPY Y98.75, Y99.30, Y99.55, Y99.70-75, Y100.00, Y100.60, Y100.75, Y101.00

EUR/JPY Y134.50, Y135.00

EUR/USD $1.3400, $1.3465, $1.3470, $1.3480, $1.3490, $1.3500, $1.3510

GBP/USD $1.5975, $1.5995, $1.6100

EUR/GBP stg0.8435

AUD/USD Y93.25, Y93.30, $0.9340, $0.9370, $0.9400

AUD/JPY Y93.00, Y93.90, Y9400

NZD/USD $0.8350

USD/CAD C$1.0500

13:30

U.S.: Employment Cost Index, Quarter III +0.4% (forecast +0.5%)

13:00

Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3650, $1.3615/20, $1.3600, $1.3565/70, $1.3550

Bids $1.3495/90, $1.3480/70, $1.3450

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6200/10,$1.6180, $1.6160/65, $1.6150

Bids $1.6085/80, $1.6070, $1.6050/45, $1.6030, $1.6015/00

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9500, $0.9480, $0.9450

Bids $0.9380, $0.9350, $0.9325/20, $0.9300

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8500, stg0.8475/80, stg0.8440, stg0.8415/20, stg0.8400

Bids stg0.8340, stg0.8325/20, stg0.8300

EUR/JPY

Offers Y136.50, Y136.00, Y135.50, Y135.20

Bids Y134.20/00, Y133.50

USD/JPY

Offers Y100.80, Y100.50, Y100.20, Y100.00

Bids Y99.50, Y99.40/20, Y99.00, Y98.50

11:15

Australia leading index rises 0.3% - Conference Board

An index measuring the outlook for the Australian economy moved up 0.3 percent in September, the Conference Board revealed on Tuesday, following the 0.2 percent contraction in August and the 0.2 percent gain in July.

The board's coincident index added 0.1 percent following no change in the previous two months.

The leading index is continuing a slight upward trend, the Conference Board said, while the coincident index has shown little movement through the last six months.

Through the last six months, the leading index had added 0.6 percent, while the coincident has gained 0.2 percent.

10:46

German ZEW economic sentiment tops forecast; highest since 2009

Germany's economic sentiment rose more-than-expected in November to its highest level in four years, results of a survey by the Centre for European Economic Research/ZEW showed on Tuesday.

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany rose to 54.6 from 52.8 in October. Economists had forecast a score of 54.

The latest reading is the highest since October 2009, ZEW said.

"Economic expectations for Germany have been hovering at a high level for months," ZEW President Clemens Fuest said. "The slightly improved economic outlook for the Eurozone might have contributed to this development."

Meanwhile, the current conditions index dropped to 28.7 from 29.7, in contrast to expectations of an improvement to 31.

Economic expectations for the Eurozone have slightly increased in November, with the corresponding index climbing to 60.2 from 59.1. The indicator for the current economic situation shed 0.7 points to a level of minus 61.6.

10:16