Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 24-05-2013

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24.05.2013

18:20

American focus: the Japanese yen has increased significantly

The euro exchange rate fell sharply against the dollar, while otsupiv of the maximum values, and returning to the opening level. Note that initially helped by strong growth in the euro data for Germany. Leading indicator of consumer confidence in Germany rose in June GfK fifth consecutive month, up 6.5 points from 6.2 points in May, exceeding the forecast of economists, who had expected that he would remain at 6.2 points. The June index value - the highest since September 2007. German GDP rose in the 1st quarter by 0.1% compared with the previous quarter, and this growth corresponds to the previously published estimates. The economy has become stronger thanks to private consumption, while exports and investment companies declined.

Report Ifo, presented on Friday, reveals that the confidence of German business confidence recovered in May after two consecutive months of decline, pointing out that the growth of Europe's largest economy is gathering pace. The index of business sentiment in Germany Ifo index for May rose to 105.7 from 104.4 in April, beating the forecasts of economists who had expected the index to improve to 104.6.

However, the situation changed dramatically after the publication of the American dannyh.V report stated that orders for durable goods rose 3.3% in April after falling by a revised 5.9% in March. Economists had expected orders to rise by 1.1% compared to the 5.7% drop that have been reported for the previous month. Total orders for durable goods in April, adjusted for seasonal variation was 222.6 billion dollars.

Spending increased in almost all categories, with the growth leader orders for military aircraft and parts, which increased by 53.3%, as well as orders for civilian aircraft, which increased by 18.1%. With the exception of volatile orders for transportation equipment, orders for durable goods rose 1.3% in April, compared with 1.7% ethyl drop in March. Orders for durable goods excluding defense value of goods in April rose by 2.1% compared with 4.7% ethyl drop in March.

The yen extended its biggest weekly gain against the dollar since June, after the seminar on the economic future of Asia, Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda said that the stability of the "highly desirable" for the debt market in the country, adding that the central bank will work over flexible market operations and strengthening ties with the market to prevent volatility in bond yields. He also said the markets concerned about the situation with long-term government securities, through which the Bank of Japan has taken a direct part in the markets, and it is highly desirable for these tools steady motion. We will conduct our operations in the market in a flexible manner, while maintaining as much as possible, the volatility of long-term interest rates, which temporarily grown in recent years - he added. Kuroda also said that the Bank of Japan will continue to strengthen communication between the market and bonds. However, Kuroda refused to comment on the "daily motion" in the Japanese stock and bond markets and exchange rates. He added that the central bank is committed to a specific level of stock prices and the yen.

The pound rose against the dollar after the data of the British Bankers' Association (BBA), published on Friday, showed that UK companies and households in April continued to pay off debts, as confidence remains subdued, despite a number of government initiatives to stimulate lending. According to the BBA, the net payment of loans by non-financial companies in April was 2.0 billion pounds ($ 3 billion) from 0.8 billion pounds in March. Household as a whole is also made more payments on the mortgage loans than done. As a result, net repayment of loans in April totaled 241 million pounds against 348 million pounds in March. In April 2012, net mortgage lending increased by 350 million pounds.

The total mortgage lending, which measures mortgage loans without deducting repayments on loans in April was 7.8 billion pounds, unchanged compared with March. Meanwhile, the number of mortgage approvals in April rose only slightly, to 32,153 from 31,401 in March.

The only sector which saw an increase - is unsecured consumer credit, which includes credit card loans. The index rose by 0.5 billion pounds after net repayment in March of 0.6 billion pounds.

13:52

Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.2750, $1.2785, $1.2825, $1.2830, $1.2865, $1.2900, $1.2925, $1.2935, $1.2970, $1.3000

USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.50, Y101.60, Y102.00, Y102.25, Y104.00

EUR/JPY Y131.25

GBP/USD $1.5000, $1.5100, $1.5250

USD/CHF Chf0.9600, Chf0.9700

EUR/CHF Chf1.2375, Chf1.2400, Chf1.2450, Chf1.2550, Chf1.2705

AUD/USD $0.9605, $0.9650, $0.9850

13:15

U.S. durable goods orders rise more than expected in April

After reporting a sharp in new orders for manufactured durable goods in the previous month, the Commerce Department released a report on Friday showing that durable goods orders rebounded by more than anticipated in the month of April.

The report said durable goods orders surged up by 3.3 percent in April after tumbling by a revised 5.9 percent in March. Economists had expected orders to climb 1.1 percent compared to the 5.7 percent drop that had been reported for the previous month.

Excluding a rebound in orders for transportation equipment, durable goods orders rose by 1.3 percent in April compared to a 1.7 percent drop in March.