Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 24-12-2012

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24.12.2012
13:40
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

 

 

EUR/USD $1.3150, $1.3200, $1.3250

USD/JPY Y84.50, Y84.25, Y84.00, Y83.50

GBP/USD $1.6200

EUR/GBP stg0.8150

AUD/USD; $1.0400 


 

13:25
European session: the euro rose

Data
2:00 Japan official holiday
2:00 Eurozone bank holiday
2:00 The official holiday Switzerland

The yen fell to a 20-month low against the dollar after the newly elected Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said he would consider the question of changing the law that governs the actions of the central bank, if it can raise the inflation target. Abe also urged the Bank of Japan to conduct unlimited easing before the end of deflation and restore growth.
Japan's currency fell against all but one of the major currencies on speculation the Bank of Japan to increase foreign exchange measures to achieve the inflation target.
The dollar weakened against the euro Friday after a sharp increase, driven by fears that U.S. lawmakers will not be able to avoid the so-called "financial cliff", which include increases in taxes and spending cuts. We also recall that on Friday, President Barack Obama called the leaders of both parties to agree at least on the minimum compromise on taxes to avoid raising rates for 98% of the country's citizens and to extend unemployment benefits for 2 million Americans. According to the President, the time to reach a comprehensive agreement in 2012 no longer exists. For its part, the Republican House Speaker John Boehner said he was ready for new talks, but after the failure of the passage through the House bill designed it believes that the first should have their say the Senate, where Democrats have a majority. The Senate could theoretically consider his bill Thursday.

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3223
GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair went up to a maximum of $ 1.6203
USD / JPY: during the European session is around Y84.30-Y84.50
At 23:50 GMT Japan will price index for corporate services in November.

13:00
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3295/310, $1.3250/55, $1.3230/35

Bids $1.3200, $1.3125/15, $1.3100

 

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6310, $1.6285/300, $1.6260, $1.6230/35, $1.6205

Bids $1.6185/80, $1.6145/35, $1.6220, $1.6195/90, $1.6155/50, $1.6120


AUD/USD

Offers $1.0530/35, $1.0510, $1.0500, $1.0480, $1.0450/55

Bids $1.0385/80, $1.0370, $1.0350


EUR/JPY

Offers Y112.50, Y112.00/20, Y111.80

Bids Y111.10/00, Y110.65/50, Y110.35/30, Y110.10/00


USD/JPY

Offers Y85.10/20, Y84.90/5.00, Y84.60-75

Bids Y84.20, Y84.00, Y83.80, Y83.60/50


EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8280, stg0.8220, stg0.8195/200, stg0.8170

Bids stg0.8125/20, stg0.8115/10, stg0.8095/90, stg0.8080, stg0.8065/60, stg0.8045, stg0.8035/30


09:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

 

EUR/USD $1.3150, $1.3250, $1.3200, $1.3250

USD/JPY Y84.00, Y83.50, Y84.25, Y84.50,

GBP/USD $1.6200

EUR/GBP stg0.8150

AUD/USD; $1.0400

 

08:25
Forex: Friday’s review

 

 

On Friday trading the yen and the dollar strengthened, which was caused by the flight of investors in these assets due to concerns that a deal to reduce the deficit will not be achieved, against which spending cuts and tax increases will not be possible to avoid.

The single currency has lost all of his conquered during the day, the position relative to the dollar, after it was reported that a scheduled vote on the plan, Speaker John Boehner was canceled. Note that members of the House of Representatives and the Senate decided to continue voting after Christmas. Note that to solve the problem they will have less than a week. Meanwhile, to reach an agreement, Boehner should receive sufficient support from the Republicans, and to maintain control over his party, relying on the votes of Democrats who need to take any action. In addition, the decline of the euro has also been caused by the statement that the Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti will retire.

Showed a significant drop and the pound, which fell to a seven-week high against the dollar after a report showed that the UK economy grew in the third quarter, less than previously estimated, and the budget deficit unexpectedly increased last month. It is learned that the gross domestic product grew by 0.9%, while the original estimate was 1%. Between it, the deficit without state support of banks was 17.5 billion pounds compared with 16.3 billion pounds a year earlier.

In addition, the London research group GfK said its sentiment index fell to -29 in November from -22 in November, which was the highest level since May 2011.


06:59
Asian session: The yen declined

 

 


 

00:00 Japan Bank holiday


The yen declined versus its peers after incoming Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe said he will consider changing the law governing the central bank unless it boosts its inflation target to 2 percent next month. Abe said on Fuji Television yesterday that he will consider revising the central bank law if the Bank of Japan (8301) fails to increase its inflation target from 1 percent at its January meeting. He is poised to become prime minister after his Liberal Democratic Party’s coalition secured a majority in elections on Dec. 16.

The greenback remained stronger versus the euro amid concern U.S. lawmakers will fail to avert the so-called fiscal cliff of tax increases and spending cuts, supporting demand for haven assets. In Washington, political leaders are debating how to avoid the fiscal cliff: more than $600 billion in automatic tax increases and spending cuts that will take effect in January unless Congress acts. House Republican leaders canceled a vote on Speaker John Boehner’s plan to allow higher tax rates for annual income above $1 million last week, sending stocks prices lower. Boehner, an Ohio Republican, said in a statement on Dec. 20 that his tax measure -- which he called “Plan B” -- “did not have sufficient support from our members to pass.”


EUR/USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3170-85.

GBP/USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6140-70.

USD/JPY: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of Y84.30-50.


The calendar for Monday is extremely quiet. Japanese markets remain closed for the Emperor's Birthday holiday, but in terms of the volume economic data releases they are still up there with the UK and euro zone who both also have empty calendars.


06:03
Schedule for today, Monday, Dec 24’2012:

00:00 Japan Bank holiday -

00:00 Eurozone Bank holiday -

00:00 Switzerland Bank holiday -

23:50 Japan CSPI, y/y November -0.7% -0.6%

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