Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 27-12-2016

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,0457 +0,03%

GBP/USD $1,2269 -0,12%

USD/CHF Chf1,0278 +0,08%

USD/JPY Y117,42 +0,31%

EUR/JPY Y122,79 +0,31%

GBP/JPY Y144,03 +0,15%

AUD/USD $0,7183 -0,10%

NZD/USD $0,6890 -0,13%

USD/CAD C$1,3573 +0,48%

07:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator November 1.49

09:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals November 40.85 41.6

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, which had declined in October, increased significantly in November. The Index now stands at 107.1 (1985=100), up from 100.8 in October. The Present Situation Index increased from 123.1 to 130.3, while the Expectations Index improved from 86.0 last month to 91.7.

"Consumer confidence improved in November after a moderate decline in October, and is once again at pre-recession levels," said Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board. (The Index stood at 111.9 in July 2007.) "A more favorable assessment of current conditions coupled with a more optimistic short-term outlook helped boost confidence. And while the majority of consumers were surveyed before the presidential election, it appears from the small sample of post-election responses that consumers' optimism was not impacted by the outcome. With the holiday season upon us, a more confident consumer should be welcome news for retailers."

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 5.6% annual gain in October, up from 5.4% last month. The 10-City Composite posted a 4.3% annual increase, up from 4.2% the previous month. The 20-City Composite reported a year-over-year gain of 5.1%, up from 5.0% in September. Seattle, Portland, and Denver reported the highest year-over-year gains among the 20 cities over each of the last nine months. In October, Seattle led the way with a 10.7% year-over-year price increase, followed by Portland with 10.3%, and Denver with an 8.3% increase. 10 cities reported.

EURUSD 1.0350 (EUR 971m) 1.0400 (572m) 1.0450 (627m) 1.0490-1.0500 (520m) 1.0525 (473m) 1.0600 (521m) 1.0800 (1.98bln)

USDJPY 115.00 (USD 2.67bln) 116.00 (870m) 116.50 (1.07bln) 117.00 (975m) 117.50 (1.01bln) 118.00 (760m)

GBPUSD 1.2000 (GBP 2.76bln) 1.2600 (2.75bln)

AUDUSD 0.7200 (AUD 516m)

USDCAD 1.3500-05 (USD 630m) 1.3600 (403m)

EUR/USD

Offers 1.0485 1.0500 1.0525 1.0550-55 1.0585 1.0600

Bids 1.0425-30 1.0400 1.0380-85 1.0365 1.0350 1.0335 1.0300

GBP/USD

Offers 1.2300 1.2330 1.2350 1.2380-85 1.2400

Bids 1.2250 1.2220-25 1.2200 1.2185 1.2150 1.2100 1.2080 1.2050 1.2000

EUR/GBP

Offers 0.8530 0.8550 0.8575-80 0.8600

Bids 0.8485 0.8460 0.8435-40 0.8400

EUR/JPY

Offers 123.00 123.30 123.60 123.85 124.00-10 124.30 124.50

Bids 122.20 122.00 121.75 121.50 121.00

USD/JPY

Offers 117.50-55 117.80-85 118.00 118.20-25 118.45-50 118.80 119.00

Bids 117.00 116.70 116.50-55 116.30 116.00 115.85 115.50

AUD/USD

Offers 0.7230 0.7260 0.7280 0.7300 0.7320 0.7350 0.7365 0.7380 0.7400

Bids 0.7175-80 0.7145-50 0.7100-10 0.7065 0.7030 0.7000

The unemployment rate published by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare and the Bureau of Statistics of Japan, was 3.1% in November which is higher than the previous value of 3.0%. Was expected that the index to remain at 3.0%.

Household spending dropped significantly in November compared with the previous month. As reported by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, spending was down 1.5% year on year, after declining by 0.4% in October. The level of expenditure can be used as an indicator of consumer optimism. The indicator is also a barometer of economic growth. As can be seen from the data, consumer spending declined, which is negative for the Japanese economy and Japanese currency.

The National Consumer Price Index (CPI), published by the Bureau of Statistics of Japan increased by 0.5% after rising 0.1% in October. This indicator reflects the assessment of price movements obtained by comparison of the retail prices of the relevant basket of goods and services. CPI - the most important barometer of changes in purchasing trends.

The base consumer price index in Tokyo for the last month decreased contrary to expectations. According to the report, seasonally adjusted inflation was down 0.6% compared with -0.4% in the previous month. Economists expect that the index will remain unchanged at -0.4%

National consumer price index excluding fresh food, remained unchanged at -0.4%, but was lower than the forecast of -0.3%. The national consumer price index excluding food and energy, prices rose 0.1%, after declining by -0.4% previously.

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.0739 (2004)

$1.0662 (563)

$1.0605 (233)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.0444

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.0390 (1086)

$1.0352 (2218)

$1.0306 (2849)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 13 is 44692 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3209);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 13 is 53993 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0000 (5030);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.21 versus 1.21 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 23

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2513 (434)

$1.2417 (238)

$1.2322 (111)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2275

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2183 (574)

$1.2286 (428)

$1.1989 (1322)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 13 is 13552 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2800 (2994);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 13 is 16595 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3014);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.22 versus 1.22 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 23

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.