Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 28-03-2016

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28.03.2016
23:50
Japan: Retail sales, y/y, February 0.5% (forecast 1.7%)
23:31
Japan: Household spending Y/Y, February 1.2% (forecast -1.5%)
23:30
Japan: Unemployment Rate, February 3.3% (forecast 3.2%)
22:30
Currencies. Daily history for Mar 28’2016:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1197 +0,29%

GBP/USD $1,4253 +0,83%

USD/CHF Chf0,9736 -0,44%

USD/JPY Y113,39 +0,30%

EUR/JPY Y126,96 +0,54%

GBP/JPY Y161,61 +1,11%

AUD/USD $0,7539 +0,45%

NZD/USD $0,6725 +0,59%

USD/CAD C$1,3185 -0,65%

21:59
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Mar 29’2016:

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

08:00 Eurozone Private Loans, Y/Y February 1.4%

08:00 Eurozone M3 money supply, adjusted y/y February 5.0% 5%

12:30 Canada Industrial Product Price Index, m/m February 0.5% -0.2%

12:30 Canada Industrial Product Price Index, y/y February 1.7%

13:00 U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y January 5.7% 5.9%

14:00 U.S. Consumer confidence March 92.2 94

16:20 U.S. Fed Chairman Janet Yellen Speaks

21:45 New Zealand Building Permits, m/m February -8.2%

23:50 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Preliminary) February 3.7% -6%

23:50 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Preliminary) February -3.8%

14:00
U.S.: Pending Home Sales (MoM) , February 3.5% (forecast 1.0%)
12:30
U.S.: Personal Income, m/m, February 0.2% (forecast 0.1%)
12:30
U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m, February 0.1% (forecast 0.2%)
12:30
U.S.: Personal spending , February 0.1% (forecast 0.1%)
12:30
U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y, February 1.7%
07:23
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

USD/JPY 110.70 (USD 700m) 111.95 (360m) 113.65 (285m)

EUR/USD 1.1000 (EUR 654m) 1.1025 (298m) 1.1035 (299m) 1.1050 (657m) 1.10550-60 (1.03bln) 1.1075 (375m) 1.1195-00(1.65bln) 1.1245-50 (903m) 1.1300 (252m) 1.1338 (370m0

GBP/USD 1.3900 (GBP 281m) 1.4050 (261m) 1.4250 (262m) 1.4330-35 (362m)

USD/CHF 1.0000 (USD 301m)

AUD/USD 0.7300 (AUD 1.02bln) 0.7490-00 (512m) 0.7550 (163m) 0.7625 (249m)

USD/CAD 1.3100 (USD 210m) 1.3120 (340m)

NZD/USD 0.6745 (NZD 198m) 0.6790 (200m)

05:09
Options levels on monday, March 28, 2016: EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1336 (3191)

$1.1275 (2979)

$1.1235 (3117)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1162

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1095 (2291)

$1.1062 (3894)

$1.1024 (2209)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 8 is 47081 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (4389);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 8 is 67757 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0900 (6041);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.44 versus 1.44 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 24


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4403 (1870)

$1.4306 (964)

$1.4209 (527)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4132

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3994 (2354)

$1.3896 (1080)

$1.3798 (1047)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 8 is 20570 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4400 (1870);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 8 is 22496 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4000 (2354);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.09 versus 1.14 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 24


* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

02:00
Currencies. Daily history for Mar 25’2016:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1164 -0,13%

GBP/USD $1,4135 -0,12%

USD/CHF Chf0,9779 +0,25%

USD/JPY Y113,05 +0,21%

EUR/JPY Y126,27 +0,13%

GBP/JPY Y159,82 +0,11%

AUD/USD $0,7505 -0,25%

NZD/USD $0,6685 -0,21%

USD/CAD C$1,3271 +0,22%

01:01
Schedule for today, Monday, Mar 28’2016:

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

06:00 United Kingdom Bank holiday

06:00 France Bank holiday

06:00 Germany Bank Holiday

06:00 Switzerland Bank holiday

12:30 U.S. Personal Income, m/m February 0.5% 0.1%

12:30 U.S. Personal spending February 0.5% 0.1%

12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m February 0.3% 0.2%

12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y February 1.7%

14:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) February -2.5% 1.0%

23:30 Japan Household spending Y/Y February -3.1% -1.5%

23:30 Japan Unemployment Rate February 3.2% 3.2%

23:50 Japan Retail sales, y/y February -0.1% 1.7%

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