Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 29-12-2015

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29.12.2015
23:00
Schedule for today, Wednesday, 30’2015:

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y December 3.7% 3.8%

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index December 0.1% 0.5%

07:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator November 1.6

09:00 Eurozone Private Loans, Y/Y November 1.2% 1.3%

09:00 Eurozone M3 money supply, adjusted y/y November 5.3% 5.4%

12:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications December 7.3%

15:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) November 0.2% 0.5%

15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories December -5.877 -2.5

17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 6,314.57 +59.93 +0.96% CAC 40 4,701.36 +83.41 +1.81% DAX 10,860.14 +206.23 +1.94%
15:00
U.S.: Consumer confidence , December 96.5 (forecast 93.6)
14:00
U.S.: S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y, October 5.5% (forecast 5.4%)
13:45
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

USD/JPY 120.00 (USD 230m) 121.00 (260m)

13:36
U.S.: International Trade, bln, November -60.5 (forecast -60.9)
07:16
Options levels on tuesday, December 29, 2015: EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1132 (7489)

$1.1070 (4681)

$1.1031 (5533)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.0964

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.0901 (1962)

$1.0868 (3561)

$1.0829 (6104)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 8 is 56247 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1100 (7489);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 8 is 73122 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0450 (7997);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.30 versus 1.29 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 28


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.5201 (1156)

$1.5102 (2659)

$1.5004 (470)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4905

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.4795 (1850)

$1.4698 (1109)

$1.4599 (630)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 8 is 19275 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5100 (2659);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 8 is 19168 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5100 (3084);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.99 versus 1.00 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 28


* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:58
Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the gained slightly against the dollar AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY EURUSD GBPUSD NZDUSD USDCAD USDCHF USDJPY

The euro climbed against the U.S. dollar on ECB's Yves Mersch comments. The policymaker noted that the ECB may expand the quantitative easing program. Investors welcomed his words. In December investors were partly disappointed by the ECB's decision to simply extend the €60 billion program till March 2017 as they expected more aggressive steps to stimulate the economy.

The Australian dollar is range-bound. The currency is supported by recent gains in commodity prices. Market participants are waiting for data on manufacturing and services PMIs in the country's major trading partner China. The report will be released on January 1.

S&P/Case-Shiller will release its U.S. house price index data at 14:00 GMT. The index is expected to post a 5.4% gain in October after a 5.5% rise in September.

EUR/USD: the pair rose to $1.0980 in Asian trade

USD/JPY: the pair traded within Y120.20-40

GBP/USD: the pair rose to $1.4905

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

14:00 U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y October 5.5% 5.4%

15:00 U.S. Consumer confidence December 90.4 93.6

00:01
Currencies. Daily history for Dec 28’2015:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,0966 +0,06%

GBP/USD $1,4878 -0,07%

USD/CHF Chf0,9885 +0,25%

USD/JPY Y120,39 +0,04%

EUR/JPY Y132,04 +0,13%

GBP/JPY Y179,12 -0,02%

AUD/USD $0,7248 -0,33%

NZD/USD $0,6845 +0,44%

USD/CAD C$1,3904 +0,37%

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Upozorenje o rizicima

Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.

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