Novosti i prognoe: devizno tržište od 30-06-2014

UPOZORENJE: Materijal koji se nalazi u odeljku novosti i analitika se obnavlja automatski, pa ponovno učitavanje stranice može usporiti proces pojave novog materijala. Sa tim u vezi, predlažemo da stranicu sa novostima držite stalno otvorenom, kako biste nove materijala primili bez zastoja.

Filtriraj po valutnom paru

30.06.2014

15:41

Foreign exchange market. American session: the British pound hits 6-year highs against the U.S. dollar after the mixed U.S. economic data

The U.S. dollar traded lower against the most major currencies after the mixed U.S. economic data. Chicago purchasing managers' index dropped to 62.6 in June from 65.5 in May, missing expectations for a decline to 63.2.

Pending home sales in the U.S. increased 6.1% in May, exceeding expectations for a 1.4% rise, after a 0.4% gain in April. That It was the largest gain since August 2010.

The euro rose against the U.S. dollar after mixed economic data from Eurozone. Eurozone's inflation remained unchanged at 0.5% in June. Analysts had expected an increase to 0.6%.

German retail sales declined 0.6% in May, missing expectations for a 0.8% rise, after a 0.9% decrease in April. On a yearly basis, German retail sales rose 1.9% in May, missing expectations for a 2.8% gain, after a 3.2% increase in April. April's figure was revised down from a 3.4% rise.

M3 money supply in the Eurozone increased 1.0% in May, beating expectations for a 0.7% gain, after a 0.8% rise in April.

Private loans in the Eurozone decreased 2.0% in May, missing expectations for a 1.7% fall, after a 1.8% drop in April.

The British pound hits 6-year highs against the U.S. dollar after the mixed U.S. economic data. The number of mortgage approvals in the U.K. was 61,707 in May, after 62,806 approvals in April. That was the lowest number of approvals since August 2013.

Net lending to individuals in the U.K. increased by ₤2.7 billion in May, beating expectations for a rise by ₤2.5 billion, after ₤2.4 billion in April.

The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the mixed U.S. economic data. The GDP in Canada rose 0.1% in April, missing forecast for a 0.2% increase, after a 0.1% gain in March.

The New Zealand dollar traded higher against the U.S dollar. The ANZ business confidence index for New Zealand dropped to 42.8 in June from 53.5 in May.

Building permits in New Zealand dropped 4.6% in May, after a 1.9% rise in April. April's figure was revised up from a 1.5% gain.

The Australian dollar increased against the U.S. dollar after the mixed U.S. economic data. New home sales in Australia decreased 4.3% in May, after a 2.9% rise in April.

The Japanese yen traded slightly higher against the U.S. dollar after the mixed U.S. economic data. Japan's industrial production rose 0.5% in May, missing expectations for a 0.9% increase, after a 2.8% decline. On a yearly basis, industrial production in Japan increased 0.8% gain in May, after a 3.8% rise in April.

Housing starts in Japan dropped 15.0% in May, after a 3.3% decline in April. Analysts had expected a 10.1% decrease.

14:00

U.S.: Pending Home Sales (MoM) , May +6.1% (forecast +1.4%)

13:45

U.S.: Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index , June 62.6 (forecast 63.2)

13:31

Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3500, $1.3575, $1.3595, $1.3600, $1.3620, $1.3630, $1.3650

USD/JPY Y101.20, Y101.30, Y101.45, Y101.50, Y101.65, Y101.70

GBP/USD $1.7000

AUD/USD $0.9270, $0.9350, $0.9390, $0.9400, $0.9430, $0.9500

USD/CAD Cad1.0680, Cad1.0700, Cad1.0800

USD/CHF Chf0.8900, Chf0.8975

EUR/CHF Chf1.2200

EUR/GBP stg0.8000, stg0.8100

12:30

Canada: GDP (m/m) , April +0.1% (forecast +0.2%)

12:02

Foreign exchange market. European session: the euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar after mixed economic data from Eurozone

Economic calendar (GMT0):

00:30 Australia MI Inflation Gauge, m/m June +0.3% 0.0%

00:30 Australia MI Inflation Gauge, y/y June +2.9% +3.0%

00:30 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m May +2.9% -4.3%

01:00 New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence June 53.5 42.8

01:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, m/m May +0.5% +0.4% +0.4%

01:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, y/y May +4.6% +4.7%

05:00 Japan Housing Starts, y/y May -3.3% -10.1% -15.0%

06:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted May -0.9% +0.8% -0.6%

06:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y May +3.2% Revised From +3.4% +2.8% +1.9%

08:00 Eurozone M3 money supply, adjusted y/y May +0.8% +0.7% +1.0%

08:00 Eurozone Private Loans, Y/Y May -1.8% -1.7% -2.0%

08:30 United Kingdom Net Lending to Individuals, bln May 2.4 2.5 2.0

08:30 United Kingdom Mortgage Approvals May 63 62 61.7

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Preliminary) June +0.5% +0.6% +0.5%

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. economic data. Chicago purchasing managers' index should decline to 63.2 in June from 65.5 in May.

Pending home sales in the U.S. should climb 1.4% in May, after a 0.4% gain in April.

The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar after mixed economic data from Eurozone. Eurozone's inflation remained unchanged at 0.5% in June. Analysts had expected an increase to 0.6%.

M3 money supply in the Eurozone increased 1.0% in May, beating expectations for a 0.7% gain, after a 0.8% rise in April.

Private loans in the Eurozone decreased 2.0% in May, missing expectations for a 1.7% fall, after a 1.8% drop in April.

The British pound increased against the U.S. dollar after the U.K. economic data. The number of mortgage approvals was 61,707 in May, after 62,806 approvals in April. That was the lowest number of approvals since August 2013.

Net lending to individuals in the U.K. increased by ₤2.7 billion in May, beating expectations for a rise by ₤2.5 billion, after ₤2.4 billion in April.

The Canadian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Canadian GDP. The GDP in Canada should rise 0.2% in April, after a 0.1% gain in March.

EUR/USD: the currency pair climbed to $1.3663

GBP/USD: the currency pair was up to $1.7052

USD/JPY: the currency pair increased to Y101.45

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:30 Canada GDP (m/m) April +0.1% +0.2%

13:45 U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index June 65.5 63.2

14:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) May +0.4% +1.4%

23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Manufacturing Index Quarter II 17 16

23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Non-Manufacturing Index Quarter II 24 19

12:00

Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3695/700, $1.3690

Bids $1.3565, $1.3550/40

GBP/USD

Offers $1.7110-20, $1.7090-100, $1.7080

Bids $1.6920, $1.6900

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9500, $0.9450

Bids $0.9380, $0.9350, $0.9320, $0.9300

EUR/JPY

Offers Y139.50, Y139.20, Y139.00, Y138.65/70

Bids Y138.00, Y137.50, Y137.20, Y137.00

USD/JPY

Offers Y102.00, Y101.80, Y101.45/50

Bids Y101.20, Y101.10/00, Y100.80, Y100.50

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8075-85

Bids stg0.7985-80, stg0.7950

09:30

Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD $1.3500, $1.3575, $1.3595, $1.3600, $1.3620, $1.3630, $1.3650

USD/JPY Y101.20, Y101.30, Y101.45, Y101.50, Y101.65, Y101.70

GBP/USD $1.7000

AUD/USD $0.9270, $0.9350, $0.9390, $0.9400, $0.9430, $0.9500

USD/CAD Cad1.0680, Cad1.0700, Cad1.0800

USD/CHF Chf0.8900, Chf0.8975

EUR/CHF Chf1.2200

EUR/GBP stg0.8000, stg0.8100

09:00

Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, Y/Y, June +0.5% (forecast +0.6%)

08:59

Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the Australian and New Zealand dollar declined against the U.S. dollar due to the weaker-than-expected economic data

Economic calendar (GMT0):

00:30 Australia MI Inflation Gauge, m/m June +0.3% 0.0%

00:30 Australia MI Inflation Gauge, y/y June +2.9% +3.0%

00:30 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m May +2.9% -4.3%

01:00 New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence June 53.5 42.8

01:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, m/m May +0.5% +0.4% +0.4%

01:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, y/y May +4.6% +4.7%

05:00 Japan Housing Starts, y/y May -3.3% -10.1% -15.0%

06:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted May -0.9% +0.8% -0.6%

06:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y May +3.2% Revised From +3.4% +2.8% +1.9%

08:00 Eurozone M3 money supply, adjusted y/y May +0.8% +0.7% +1.0%

08:00 Eurozone Private Loans, Y/Y May -1.8% -1.7% -2.0%

08:30 United Kingdom Net Lending to Individuals, bln May 2.4 2.5 2.0

08:30 United Kingdom Mortgage Approvals May 63 62 61.7

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. The U.S. currency remained under pressure after the release of some weak economic data last week. The U.S. GDP dropped 2.9% in the first quarter, missing expectations for a 1.7% decline, after a 1.0% decline the previous quarter.

The New Zealand dollar declined against the U.S dollar after the release of weaker-than-expected economic data from New Zealand. The ANZ business confidence index for New Zealand dropped to 42.8 in June from 53.5 in May.

Building permits in New Zealand dropped 4.6% in May, after a 1.9% rise in April. April's figure was revised up from a 1.5% gain.

The Australian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar due to the weaker-than-expected economic data from Australia. New home sales in Australia decreased 4.3% in May, after a 2.9% rise in April.

The Japanese yen traded slightly higher against the U.S. dollar after the weaker-than-expected economic data from Japan. Japan's industrial production rose 0.5% in May, missing expectations for a 0.9% increase, after a 2.8% decline in April. On a yearly basis, industrial production in Japan increased 0.8% gain in May, after a 3.8% rise in April.

Housing starts in Japan dropped 15.0% in May, after a 3.3% decline in April. Analysts had expected a 10.1% decrease.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.7025

USD/JPY: the currency pair declined Y101.25

AUD/USD: the currency pair decreased to $0.9407

NZD/USD: the currency pair declined to $0.8737

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:30 Canada GDP (m/m) April +0.1% +0.2%

13:45 U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index June 65.5 63.2

14:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) May +0.4% +1.4%

23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Manufacturing Index Quarter II 17 16

23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Non-Manufacturing Index Quarter II 24 19