Forex-novosti i prognoze od 02-01-2017

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei -30.77 19114.37 -0.16%

TOPIX +0.22 1518.61 +0.01%

Hang Seng +209.65 22000.56 +0.96%

CSI 300 +12.32 3310.08 +0.37%

Euro Stoxx 50 +18.15 3308.67 +0.55%

FTSE 100 +22.57 7142.83 +0.32%

DAX +117.27 11598.33 +1.02%

CAC 40 +20.07 4882.38 +0.41%

DJIA -57.18 19762.60 -0.29%

S&P 500 -10.43 2238.83 -0.46%

NASDAQ -48.97 5383.12 -0.90%

S&P/TSX -134.53 15287.59 -0.87%

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,0524 +0,34%

GBP/USD $1,2322 +0,50%

USD/CHF Chf1,0182 -0,46%

USD/JPY Y116,88 +0,30%

EUR/JPY Y123,03 +0,66%

GBP/JPY Y144,03 +0,81%

AUD/USD $0,7214 -0,04%

NZD/USD $0,6945 -0,26%

USD/CAD C$1,3426 -0,56%

08:30 Switzerland Manufacturing PMI December 56.6

08:55 Germany Unemployment Change December -5 -5

08:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. December 6% 6%

09:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing December 53.4 53.3

13:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Preliminary) December 0.1% 0.6%

13:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Preliminary) December 0.8% 1.5%

14:45 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Finally) December 54.1

15:00 U.S. Construction Spending, m/m November 0.5% 0.5%

15:00 U.S. ISM Manufacturing December 53.2 53.5

All indicates that cards for today have already been dealt. The German DAX virtually from the noon draws a flat line, almost the same behaves market in Warsaw. The turnover in the segment of blue chips barely exceeded PLN 140 million, which says a lot about today's session. The afternoon phase of the session will take place without the Americans, so it will be hard for any extra impulses.

Thus, on quotations we look with considerable distance and today's changes, especially those in Euroland indices will be verified tomorrow, when all the key players return to the game.

The first half of today's trading took place in an upbeat mood. The German market has metamorphosed and turned from an initial discount of more than 0.5% on the uplift of about 0.8%.

Practically today exist only European parquets, which means that the sessions can be played out according to any scenario.

The whole series of European industrial PMI were favorably. In addition, except Hungary, we see an improvement. The rate for the whole euro zone was in line with expectations and at the same time with preliminary readings. Everywhere helps weaker currency. Noteworthy, however, is December's marked increase of production costs in Poland. These data may have impact on the behavior of bonds or, possibly later, currency.

On the Warsaw market situation has also improved, although slightly less behave "francs" banks, which can be attributed to recent information reminding the problem of "forced" conversion of foreign currency loans.

The turnover is very modest and consistent with the lack of orders from abroad. In the overall market we have barely PLN 135 million and in the segment of blue chips very modest PLN 80 million.

At the halfway point of the session the WIG20 index was at the level of 1,959 points (+0,56%).

WIG20 index opened at 1947.54 points (-0.02%)*

WIG 51743.43 -0.02%

WIG30 2241.80 -0.07%

mWIG40 4229.85 0.34%

*/ - change to previous close

The cash market (the WIG20 index) started the New Year neutral and at modest turnover. The German DAX lost at the start of more than 0.4%, and does not look good at the beginning of the session. Well presented the Polish PMI index, which rose to 54.3 pts., what is a huge positive surprise and may support the segment of small and medium-sized companies today.

After fifteen minutes of trading the WIG20 index was at the level of 1,938 points (-0.47%).

Today's trading will be the first in the New Year, which may mean a desire to pretty good opening. When it comes to global sentiment, it must be recalled here that the last session in New York was not the best and on Friday, the S&P500 lost 0.5%.

Today, the main financial centers will be closed. Celebrate the Americans, British, Chinese and Japanese. Markets will be open only in continental Europe, thus the macro calendar will show only the final version of the European PMI indices, which should not be more important for trading.

On the Warsaw market, the lack of orders from abroad should lead to stagnation, although on a shallow market, optimistic New Year's orders can do a lot.