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Forex-novosti i prognoze od 06-04-2012
00:00 Australia Bank holiday
00:00 New Zealand Bank holiday
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index February 94.4 95.6 96.6
05:00 Japan Coincident Index February 92.7 93.6 93.7
The euro headed for the biggest weekly drop against the yen in seven months as Spain’s rising borrowing costs fueled concern that the region is failing to contain its debt crisis. The 17-nation currency traded 0.3 percent from a three-week low versus the dollar before data next week that may show German exports fell and growth in French industrial production slowed, adding to evidence that the fiscal woes are hampering the region’s economies. German exports probably decreased 1.2 percent in February from January, when they rose 2.4 percent, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News before the report due on April 10. In France, output increased 0.2 percent in February, after gaining 0.3 percent the prior month, another poll showed before the nation’s statistics office releases data the same day.
Demand for the greenback was supported as data indicating a recovery in the U.S. labor market damped speculation the Federal Reserve will add new stimulus. U.S. nonfarm payrolls probably rose by 205,000 in March after climbing by 227,000 in February, economists in a Bloomberg survey forecast ahead of today’s data. A separate report may show the jobless rate held at a three-year low of 8.3 percent. That would follow data from ADP Employer Services this week that showed U.S. companies added 209,000 workers in March after hiring 230,000 in February.
The yen gained against its peers as Asian stocks fell for a third day.
EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in a range $1.3050-$1.3075.
GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair restored, after yesterday's falling.
USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair traded in range Y82.15-Y82.35.
With much of Europe closed for the Good Friday holiday, attention is firmly on the US and the jobs data at 0830GMT Friday. Nonfarm payrolls are forecast to rise 200,000 in March, continuing a trend of strong payrolls gains. Private payrolls are expected to rise 210,000, as government payrolls are expected to decline again due to the state and local sector. The unemployment rate is forecast to hold steady
at 8.3%. Hourly earnings are expected to rise 0.2%, while the average workweek is forecast stay at 34.5 hours.
Yesterday the euro fell to a three-week low against the dollar as Spanish and Italian bonds slumped and borrowing costs increased at a French auction, adding to concern the region’s debt crisis is spreading. The 17-nation currency dropped to a three-week low versus the yen as Spain’s 10-year bond yields increased to the biggest spread compared with German bunds since November amid investor concern that Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy may require international aid. Spain’s 10-year yields increased to 400 basis points, or 4.0 percentage points, more than similar-maturity bunds after demand declined at a Spanish debt sale. Italy’s 10- year yield increased 12 basis points to 5.48 percent. France auctioned 4.32 billion euros of 10-year debt at an average yield of 2.98 percent, up from 2.91 percent at the previous offering on March 1. Borrowing costs for five-year and 15-year debt also increased.
The Swiss National Bank said it won’t allow the franc to go beyond 1.20 per euro after the currency rose past that level for the first time since the ceiling was put in place in September. The Swiss central bank set a limit of 1.20 francs per euro on Sept. 6 to protect exports after investors turned to the nation’s currency as a haven from Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis. The SNB won’t allow the franc to rise above the ceiling and is ready to buy foreign currencies in unlimited quantities, spokesman Walter Meier said by telephone.
The pound strengthened for a second day versus the euro as the Bank of England left its bond-purchase target unchanged at 325 billion pounds ($515 billion) and its policy rate at 0.5 percent, as anticipated by surveys of economists.
EUR/USD: yesterday the pair fell to a figure to $1.3050.
GBP/USD: yesterday the pair fell to $1.5800.
USD/JPY: yesterday the pair fell below Y82.00, however was restored later.
With much of Europe closed for the Good Friday holiday, attention is firmly on the US and the jobs data at 0830GMT Friday. Nonfarm payrolls are forecast to rise 200,000 in March, continuing a trend of strong payrolls gains. Private payrolls are expected to rise 210,000, as government payrolls are expected to decline again due to the state and local sector. The unemployment rate is forecast to hold steady
at 8.3%. Hourly earnings are expected to rise 0.2%, while the average workweek is forecast stay at 34.5 hours.
Most Asian shares fell, with the regional benchmark index headed for its biggest two-day decline in a month, after Spain struggled to sell bonds, renewing concern Europe won’t be able to contain its debt crisis.
Nikkei 225 9,767.61 -52.38 -0.53%
Hang Seng 20,593 -197.98 -0.95%
S&P/ASX 200 4,319.85 -14.02 -0.32%
Shanghai Composite 2,302.24 +39.45 +1.74%
Hutchison Whampoa Ltd. and other companies that do business in Europe slid after demand fell at a Spanish government bond auction, sparking concern about the region’s sovereign-debt crisis.
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. dropped 2 percent after Premier Wen Jiabao said China needs to break the “monopoly” of a few big lenders.
Soho China Ltd. rose 2.5 percent, leading gains among mainland developers after Credit Agricole SA said China is “almost guaranteed” to ease monetary policy further this month.
European stocks climbed in the final hour of trading, trimming a third week of losses for the Stoxx Europe 600 Index, as a rebound in commodity companies offset renewed concern about the euro area.
Spain’s 10-year bonds dropped for a third day, pushing the yield on the country’s benchmark debt seven basis points higher to 5.76 percent, after an International Monetary Fund spokesman said the nation is facing “severe” challenges.
Italy’s 10-year yield rose seven basis points to 5.44 percent today, with the spread over bunds widening 12 basis points to 370 basis points. France’s 10-year bonds also slid as borrowing costs increased when the nation sold 8.4 billion euros of debt.
National benchmark indexes fell in nine of the 15 western- European markets trading today. France’s CAC 40 Index (CAC) added 0.2 percent and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index gained 0.4 percent. Germany’s DAX Index lost 0.1 percent.
Markets in Denmark, Norway and Iceland were closed for a holiday today. All Western-European markets are closed tomorrow for the Good Friday holiday.
Copper climbed in New York for the first time in three days as reports showing an improving labor market and rising consumer confidence added to signs of recovery in the U.S., the world’s second-biggest consumer of the metal.
Glencore, the largest publicly traded commodity supplier, rallied 5.8 percent to 411.8 pence, leading a rebound in commodity stocks. Xstrata Plc jumped 3.5 percent to 1,112 pence, BHP Billiton Ltd. climbed 1.6 percent to 1,907 pence and Vedanta Resources Plc gained 2.1 percent to 1,235 pence.
Banks still retreated. UniCredit, Italy’s biggest lender, slid 3.1 percent to 3.31 euros. Banca Popolare di Milano Scarl lost 4 percent to 35.2 euro cents, Commerzbank AG declined 1.9 percent to 1.9 percent to 1.75 euros and BNP Paribas SA dropped 1 percent to 32.88 euros.
Merck KGaA dropped 1.8 percent to 83.40 euros. The German drugmaker was cut to neutral from outperform at Exane BNP Paribas.
U.S. stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its biggest weekly drop of the year, as renewed concern about Europe’s debt crisis overshadowed a drop in jobless claims to a four-year low.
Equities trimmed early losses after Labor Department data showed unemployment claims in the U.S. fell 6,000 to 357,000 in the week ended March 31, the fewest since April 2008. The median forecast of 43 economists estimated a decrease to 355,000. The number of people on unemployment benefit rolls also dropped, while those getting extended payments increased.
A report tomorrow may show the economy added more than 200,000 jobs in March for a fourth consecutive month, the longest streak of similar increases since late 1999 to early 2000. While U.S. stock exchanges are closed tomorrow for Good Friday, index futures will trade for 45 minutes following the Labor Department’s monthly jobs report.
Stocks fell earlier as Spanish bonds declined for a third day today, pushing the spread between yields on 10-year Spanish and German debt to more than 400 basis points for the first time since Dec. 12.
Dow 13,060.14 -14.61 -0.11%, Nasdaq 3,080.50 +12.41 +0.40%, S&P 500 1,398.08 -0.88 -0.06%
The Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index lost 0.4 percent. Alcoa (АА) declined 1.8 percent to $9.63, while General Electric (GE) erased 1.3 percent to $19.49.
Constellation Brands plunged 12 percent to $21.61. The world’s largest wine company said earnings per share for the full year may be $1.93 to $2.03. Analysts projected profit of $2.23, the average of 12 estimates in a Bloomberg survey.
Polycom Inc., a maker of videoconferencing equipment, slumped 20 percent to $14.56 after saying preliminary first- quarter earnings and revenue fell short of analysts’ expectations.
Cabot Oil & Gas rose 2.2 percent to $31.94 as the price of crude oil rose 1.6 percent.
Consumer discretionary stocks had the biggest gain in the S&P 500, led by Bed Bath & Beyond. The retail-chain operator rose 8.5 percent to $71.85 as the company posted a fourth- quarter profit of $1.48 a share, beating the average analyst estimate of $1.32.
Resistance 3: Y83.40 (Mar 27 high)
Resistance 2: Y83.00 (Apr 3 high)
Resistance 1: Y82.45 (Apr 5 high)
The current price: Y82.23
Support 1: Y82.15 (session low)
Support 2: Y81.85 (Mar 29-30 low)
Support 3: Y81.55 (Apr 3 low)
Resistance 3: Chf0.9335 (Mar 15 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9255 (Mar 16 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9220 (Apr 5 high)
The current price: Chf0.9193
Support 1: Chf0.9185 (Apr 4 high)
Support 2: Chf0.9140 (Apr 5 low)
Support 3: Chf0.9095 (Apr 4 low)
Resistance 3 : $1.5975 (high of the American session on Apr 3)
Resistance 2 : $1.5910 (Apr 4-5 high)
Resistance 1 : $1.5870 (high of the American session on Apr 5)
The current price: $1.5857
Support 1 : $1.5805 (Apr 5 low)
Support 2 : $1.5770 (Mar 22 low)
Support 3 : $1.5695 (Mar 16 low)
Resistance 3 : $1.3210 (high of the European session on Apr 4)
Resistance 2 : $1.3165 (Apr 5 high)
Resistance 1 : $1.3105 (Apr 4 low)
The current price: $1.3066
Support 1 : $1.3035 (Apr 4 low)
Support 2 : $1.3000 (psychological level)
Support 3 : $1.2975 (Feb 16 low)
Change % Change Last
Oil $103.28 -0.03 -0.03%
Gold $1,632.00 +1.90 +0.12%
Change % Change Last
Nikkei 225 9,767.61 -52.38 -0.53%
Hang Seng 20,593 -197.98 -0.95%
S&P/ASX 200 4,319.85 -14.02 -0.32%
Shanghai Composite 2,302.24 +39.45 +1.74%
FTSE 100 5,723.67 +19.90 +0.35%
CAC 40 3,319.81 +6.34 +0.19%
DAX 6,775.26 -8.80 -0.13%
Dow 13,060.14 -14.61 -0.11%
Nasdaq 3,080.50 +12.41 +0.40%
S&P 500 1,398.08 -0.88 -0.06%
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,3062 -0,59%
GBP/USD $1,5826 -0,40%
USD/CHF Chf0,9199 +0,43%
USD/JPY Y82,36 -0,07%
EUR/JPY Y107,58 -0,67%
GBP/JPY Y130,34 -0,46%
AUD/USD $1,0303 +0,40%
NZD/USD $0,8157 +0,17%
USD/CAD C$0,9930 -0,32%
00:00 Australia Bank holiday 0
00:00 New Zealand Bank holiday 0
00:00 Switzerland Bank holiday 0
00:00 United Kingdom Bank holiday 0
00:00 Canada Bank holiday 0
00:00 U.S. Bank holiday 0
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index February 94.4 95.6
05:00 Japan Coincident Index February 92.7 93.6
12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls March 227 211
12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate March 8.3% 8.3%
12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings March +0.1% 0.2%
12:30 U.S. Average workweek March 34.5 34.5
19:00 U.S. Consumer Credit March 17.8 12.9
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