Forex-novosti i prognoze od 13-01-2016

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13.01.2016
23:50
Japan: Core Machinery Orders, y/y, November 1.2% (forecast 6.3%)
23:50
Japan: Core Machinery Orders, November -14.4% (forecast -7.9%)
23:33
Commodities. Daily history for Jan 13’2016:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 30.56 +0.26%

Gold 1,093.30 +0.57%

23:32
Stocks. Daily history for Sep Jan 13’2016:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei 225 17,715.63 +496.67 +2.88 %

Hang Seng 19,934.88 +223.12 +1.13 %

Shanghai Composite 2,950.21 -72.65 -2.40 %

FTSE 100 5,960.97 +31.73 +0.54 %

CAC 40 4,391.94 +13.19 +0.30 %

Xetra DAX 9,960.96 -24.47 -0.25 %

S&P 500 1,890.28 -48.40 -2.50 %

NASDAQ Composite 4,526.07 -159.85 -3.41 %

Dow Jones 16,151.41 -364.81 -2.21 %

23:31
Currencies. Daily history for Jan 13’2016:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,0876 +0,17%

GBP/USD $1,4405 -0,28%

USD/CHF Chf1,0058 +0,38%

USD/JPY Y117,67 +0,03%

EUR/JPY Y127,99 +0,20%

GBP/JPY Y169,51 -0,25%

AUD/USD $0,6954 -0,43%

NZD/USD $0,6511 -0,37%

USD/CAD C$1,4338 +0,55%

23:05
Schedule for today, Thursday, Jan 14’2016:

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:30 Australia Changing the number of employed December 71.4 -12.5

00:30 Australia Unemployment rate December 5.8% 5.9%

06:00 Japan Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y December -17.9%

12:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.5% 0.5%

12:00 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes

12:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility 375 375

12:30 Eurozone ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

13:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, MoM November 0.3% 0.2%

13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims January 2230 2215

13:30 U.S. Import Price Index December -0.4% -1.4%

13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims January 277 275

13:30 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks


20:00
Dow -1.93% 16,197.06 -319.16 Nasdaq -2.88% 4,551.07 -134.85 S&P -2.16% 1,896.79 -41.89
19:01
U.S.: Federal budget , December -14.4 (forecast -2.7)
17:21
Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan: 3-4 interest rate hikes this year is “a reasonable base case”

Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan said in an interview with Bloomberg Television on Wednesday that he would have "bias" to continue the normalisation.

"I would have a bias to want to move toward normalization. It comes with some risk. Every time we increase the federal funds rate, we're going to have to watch and see what the impact is," he said.

Kaplan noted that officials should analyse and understand recent turmoil in international markets, and should not overreact.

He noted that market turbulences may not reflect the U.S. economy.

Dallas Fed president pointed out that he thinks 3-4 interest rate hikes this year is "a reasonable base case".

17:13
Wall Street. Major U.S. stock-indexes fell

Major U.S. stock-indexes fell on Wednesday. China exports fell just 1.4% in December, much less than the expected 8% drop. A 4% fall in imports was also much smaller than many had feared. Crude prices were up for the first time in eight days, also helped by a surprise decline in U.S. inventories. Oil briefly fell below the widely watched $30-per-barrel level on Tuesday.

Most of Dow stocks in negative area (20 of 30). Top looser - E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company (DD, -2,20%). Top gainer - Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM, +1.26%).

Almost all of S&P sectors in negative area. Top looser - Services (-1,0%). Top gainer - Utilities (+0,5%).


At the moment:

Dow 16320.00 -43.00 -0.26%

S&P 500 1919.25 -5.75 -0.30%

Nasdaq 100 4285.75 -27.00 -0.63%

Oil 30.48 +0.04 +0.13%

Gold 1091.60 +6.40 +0.59%

U.S. 10yr 2.10 +0.00

17:06
Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren: further interest rates will be gradual and depend on the incoming economic data

Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said in a speech on Wednesday that further interest rates will be gradual and depend on the incoming economic data.

"The future path of the federal funds rate will depend on incoming economic data… Further increases in rates are in my view likely to be gradual," he said.

Rosengren noted that there are downside risks to further interest rate hikes.

"While the median forecast provides a reasonable estimate of the likely path of the federal funds rate, my own view is that such a forecast does have downside risks. These downside risks reflect continued headwinds from weakness within countries that represent many of our major trading partners," Boston Fed president said.

"Further tightening will require data continuing to be strong enough that growth will be at or above potential, so that Federal Reserve policymakers can be confident that inflation will reach our 2 percent target," he added.

Rosengren is a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.

17:03
WSE: Session Results

Polish equity market continued to march upwards on Wednesday. The broad market benchmark, the WIG index, rose by 1.12%. Almost all sectors in the WIG generated positive returns. The exception were informational technology (-0.65%) and food (-0.62%) sectors. At the same time, utilities (+3.25%) and materials (+2.45%) were the best-performers.

The large-cap stocks' measure, the WIG30 Index, advanced 1.33%. In the WIG30 index basket, gencos ENEA (WSE: ENA), TAURON PE (WSE: TPE) and ENERGA (WSE: ENG) were among the biggest advancers, climbing by a respective 5.9%, 4.71% and 4.12% after drastic drops in recent months. Other most prominent risers were bank HANDLOWY (WSE: BHW) and chemical company GRUPA AZOTY (WSE: ATT), gaining 5.12% and 4.42% respectively. On the other side of the ledger, chemical producer SYNTHOS (WSE: SNS) and IT-company ASSECO POLAND (WSE: ACP) were the worst-performing names, slumping 1.96% and 1.94% respectively.

17:00
European stocks close: stocks closed mixed as oil prices traded higher and on the better-than-expected Chinese trade data

Stock indices traded mixed as oil prices traded higher and on the better-than-expected Chinese trade data. The Chinese Customs Office released its trade data on Wednesday. China's trade surplus climbed to $58.2 billion in December from $54.1 billion in November, beating expectations for a decline to a surplus of $53.0 billion. Exports fell at an annual rate of 1.4% in December, while imports slid at an annual rate of 7.6%, the fourteenth consecutive decline. In yuan denomination, exports climbed 2.3% in December, while imports dropped 4.0%.

Meanwhile, the economic data from the Eurozone was weaker than expected. Eurostat released its industrial production data for the Eurozone on Wednesday. Industrial production in the Eurozone dropped 0.7% in November, missing expectations for a 0.3% decrease, after a 0.8% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.6% increase.

The fall was driven by declines in durable consumer goods, energy and capital output.

On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production gained 1.1% in November, missing expectations for a 1.3% rise, after a 2.0% increase in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.9% gain.

The increase was mainly driven by rises in durable consumer goods, non-durable consumer goods, intermediate goods output and capital goods.

The German Finance Ministry said on Wednesday that the country's budget surplus was €12.1 billion in 2015, up from the previous forecast of a €6.1 billion surplus. The surplus was driven by strong tax revenues and one-off effects.

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble said that he expects a balanced budget in 2016 if the domestic labour market will remain robust. He added that the surplus will be used to cover migration-related costs.

Indexes on the close:

Name Price Change Change %

FTSE 100 5,960.97 +31.73 +0.54 %

DAX 9,960.96 -24.47 -0.25 %

CAC 40 4,391.94 +13.19 +0.30 %

17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 5,960.97 +31.73 +0.54% CAC 40 4,391.94 +13.19 +0.30% DAX 9,960.96 -24.47 -0.25%
16:46
Oil prices rise despite an increase in the U.S. crude oil inventories

Oil prices rose despite an increase in the U.S. crude oil inventories. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its crude oil inventories data on Wednesday. U.S. crude inventories increased by 234,000 barrels to 482.6 million in the week to January 08.

Analysts had expected U.S. crude oil inventories to rise by 2.6 million barrels.

Gasoline inventories increased by 8.4 million barrels, according to the EIA.

Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, climbed by 97,000 barrels.

U.S. crude oil imports increased by 678,000 barrels per day.

Refineries in the U.S. were running at 91.2% of capacity, down from 92.5% the previous week.

Earlier, Chinese crude oil import data supported oil prices. According to the official data on Wednesday, Chinese crude oil imports climbed to a record 7.82 million barrels in December. China is the world's second-biggest oil consumer.

WTI crude oil for February delivery rose to $30.84 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Brent crude oil for February increased to $30.80 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.

16:38
Gold rises on a weaker U.S. dollar

Gold price rose on a weaker U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar fell against other major currencies ahead of the release of the Fed's Beige Book later in the day.

The World Gold Council's (WGC) also supported gold. According to the World Gold Council, the central banks added 55 tons of gold to their reserves in November, up from 29 tons in October. China 21 tons, while Russia added 22 tons.

February futures for gold on the COMEX today increased to 1087.80 dollars per ounce.

16:08
U.S. crude inventories climb by 234,000 barrels to 482.6 million in the week to January 08

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its crude oil inventories data on Wednesday. U.S. crude inventories increased by 234,000 barrels to 482.6 million in the week to January 08.

Analysts had expected U.S. crude oil inventories to rise by 2.6 million barrels.

Gasoline inventories increased by 8.4 million barrels, according to the EIA.

Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, climbed by 97,000 barrels.

U.S. crude oil imports increased by 678,000 barrels per day.

Refineries in the U.S. were running at 91.2% of capacity, down from 92.5% the previous week.

15:49
German Finance Ministry’s monthly report: the economy is expected to expand moderately, driven by private consumption

The German Finance Ministry said in its monthly report on Wednesday that it expects the economy to expand moderately, driven by private consumption.

"The German economy is moderately tilted to the upside, but it can't completely escape the bumpy global economic environment," the ministry said.

15:41
Germany’s budget surplus in 2015 is higher than previously expected

The German Finance Ministry said on Wednesday that the country's budget surplus was €12.1 billion in 2015, up from the previous forecast of a €6.1 billion surplus. The surplus was driven by strong tax revenues and one-off effects.

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble said that he expects a balanced budget in 2016 if the domestic labour market will remain robust. He added that the surplus will be used to cover migration-related costs.

15:30
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, January 0.234 (forecast 2.6)
15:24
European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Peter Praet: effect of low oil prices on inflation in the Eurozone is not temporary

European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Peter Praet said in an interview with the German newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung that effect of low oil prices on inflation in the Eurozone is not temporary.

"Although falling oil prices have recently played a significant role in low inflation, the effect on inflation is not negligible or temporary," he said.

Praet pointed out that the ECB's stimulus measures helped to stop a decline in inflation expectations and to reduce the risk of deflation.

He noted that governments should implement structural reforms.

15:09
Swiss National Bank Vice Chairman Fritz Zurbruegg: price stability is important for competitiveness of companies

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) Vice Chairman Fritz Zurbruegg said on Wednesday that price stability is important for competitiveness of companies.

"By fulfilling its mandate and ensuring price stability, the SNB makes an indirect contribution to the competitiveness of the Swiss economy," he said.

Zurbruegg added that "there is no contradiction between a strong currency and an economy's competitiveness" in the long term.

Zurbruegg noted that the Swiss franc is overvalued, and it is necessary for the central bank to impose negative interest rates and to intervene in the foreign exchange market.

14:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.34%, Nasdaq +0.42%, S&P +0.44%
14:24
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.88%, NASDAQ futures +0.86%

U.S. stock-index futures increased.

Global Stocks:

Nikkei 17,715.63 +496.67 +2.88%

Hang Seng 19,934.88 +223.12 +1.13%

Shanghai Composite 2,950.21 -72.65 -2.40%

FTSE 6,001.51 +72.27 +1.22%

CAC 4,444.02 +65.27 +1.49%

DAX 10,097.33 +111.90 +1.12%

Crude oil $31.55 (+3.65%)

Gold $1081.60 (-0.33%)

14:15
The Federation of German Industries (BDI) expects the German economy to expand around 2% in 2016

The Federation of German Industries (BDI) said on Wednesday that it expects the German economy to expand around 2% in 2016.

BDI President Ulrich Grillo said that the growth is driven by low oil prices, low interest rates and a weak euro, adding that geopolitical tensions could have a negative effect on the German economy.

He noted that the government should invest in the infrastructure.

14:00
Moderate growth in the Eurozone is expected in the first and second quarter of 2016

The German IFO, the French Insee and the Italian Istat institutes said in its survey on Tuesday that the economy in the Eurozone is expected to continue to recover moderately. Real gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to rise by 1.5% in 2015, and by 0.4% in the first and second quarter of 2016. The growth will be driven by private consumption.

According to IFO, Insee, and Istat, inflation in the Eurozone is expected to be 0.5% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2016 and 0.4% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2016. Low energy prices weigh on inflation.

Downside risks to the Eurozone's economy are geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the ongoing structural transformation of the Chinese economy, the survey said.

13:59
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)


General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

31.68

4.55%

103.9K

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

4.26

3.65%

50.9K

AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP

AIG

59.60

2.83%

18.5K

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

54.10

2.50%

345.5K

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

13.29

1.53%

0.8K

ALCOA INC.

AA

7.38

1.37%

36.0K

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

19.88

1.33%

14.8K

Nike

NKE

60.60

1.10%

9.8K

Chevron Corp

CVX

83.00

1.03%

1.5K

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

75.95

1.00%

37.0K

Facebook, Inc.

FB

100.33

0.97%

162.3K

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

136.00

0.96%

0.1K

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

623.40

0.89%

7.6K

Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ

YHOO

30.95

0.85%

4.8K

Boeing Co

BA

133.00

0.82%

7.3K

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

47.25

0.79%

2.4K

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

59.39

0.73%

1.5K

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

211.50

0.73%

2.8K

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

59.88

0.71%

9.3K

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

62.03

0.70%

0.2K

General Electric Co

GE

28.83

0.66%

15.6K

Apple Inc.

AAPL

100.62

0.66%

159.6K

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

42.38

0.62%

21.4K

Google Inc.

GOOG

730.32

0.59%

5.0K

Pfizer Inc

PFE

31.18

0.58%

1.1K

3M Co

MMM

141.65

0.56%

1.3K

Goldman Sachs

GS

166.60

0.54%

0.2K

Walt Disney Co

DIS

102.00

0.53%

5.1K

Intel Corp

INTC

32.84

0.49%

1.7K

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

45.15

0.49%

2.8K

Home Depot Inc

HD

128.09

0.47%

3.2K

Visa

V

75.10

0.45%

1.5K

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

133.50

0.45%

0.5K

AT&T Inc

T

34.04

0.41%

10.2K

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

25.45

0.39%

0.8K

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

51.90

0.27%

0.1K

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

59.54

0.27%

140.8K

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

98.50

0.26%

2.0K

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

63.76

0.22%

0.3K

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

76.66

0.20%

0.4K

Travelers Companies Inc

TRV

108.00

0.02%

1.7K

Ford Motor Co.

F

12.68

-1.32%

430.9K

American Express Co

AXP

63.50

-1.40%

5.8K

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

7.77

-1.65%

8.2K

13:55
Upgrades and downgrades before the market open

Upgrades:

Microsoft (MSFT) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; target raised to $66 from $57


Downgrades:

American Express (AXP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman


Other:

Twitter (TWTR) initiated with a Neutral at Mizuho; target $21

American Express (AXP) initiated with a Neutral at DA Davidson; target $70

13:50
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

USD/JPY 117.00 (USD 225m) 117.15 (672m) 119.50 (584m)

EUR/USD 1.0800 (EUR 840m) 1.0870 (350m) 1.0950 (625m) 1.1035 (2.5bln)

AUD/USD 0.6900 (AUD 794m) 0.7025 (318m) 0.7075 (911m)

13:37
Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker: turmoil in China has no effect on the U.S. economy

Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker said on Tuesday that turmoil in China has no effect on the U.S. economy.

"I think our real economies are linked less than you would think from the extent to which our equity markets seem to have moved in parallel with movements in their exchange rate and their equity markets," he said.

Lacker noted the U.S. stock market's volatility "looks like an overreaction".

Lacker is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.

13:16
Foreign exchange market. European session: the euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the release of the weaker-than-expected industrial production data from the Eurozone

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

02:00 China Trade Balance, bln December 54.1 53 58.2

07:45 France CPI, m/m December -0.2% 0.1% 0.2%

07:45 France CPI, y/y December 0.0% 0.2%

10:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) November 0.8% Revised From 0.6% -0.3% -0.7%

10:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) November 2.0% Revised From 1.9% 1.3% 1.1%

12:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications January -11.6% 21.3%

13:00 Switzerland Gov Board Member Fritz Zurbrugg Speaks

The U.S. dollar traded mixed to higher against the most major currencies ahead the release of the Fed's Beige Book.

The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the release of the weaker-than-expected industrial production data from the Eurozone. Eurostat released its industrial production data for the Eurozone on Wednesday. Industrial production in the Eurozone dropped 0.7% in November, missing expectations for a 0.3% decrease, after a 0.8% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.6% increase.

The fall was driven by declines in durable consumer goods, energy and capital output.

On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production gained 1.1% in November, missing expectations for a 1.3% rise, after a 2.0% increase in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.9% gain.

The increase was mainly driven by rises in durable consumer goods, non-durable consumer goods, intermediate goods output and capital goods.

The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from the U.K. Yesterday's weaker-than-expected industrial production data from the U.K. continued to weigh on the pound.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair dropped to $1.4379

USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories January -5.085 2.6

19:00 U.S. Federal budget December -65 -2.7

19:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book

23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders November 10.7% -7.9%

23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders, y/y November 10.3% 6.3%

12:00
U.S.: MBA Mortgage Applications, January 21.3%
11:00
European stock markets mid session: stocks traded higher as oil prices rebounded and on the better-than-expected Chinese trade data

Stock indices traded higher as oil prices rebounded and on the better-than-expected Chinese trade data. The Chinese Customs Office released its trade data on Wednesday. China's trade surplus climbed to $58.2 billion in December from $54.1 billion in November, beating expectations for a decline to a surplus of $53.0 billion. Exports fell at an annual rate of 1.4% in December, while imports slid at an annual rate of 7.6%, the fourteenth consecutive decline. In yuan denomination, exports climbed 2.3% in December, while imports dropped 4.0%.

Meanwhile, the economic data from the Eurozone was weaker than expected. Eurostat released its industrial production data for the Eurozone on Wednesday. Industrial production in the Eurozone dropped 0.7% in November, missing expectations for a 0.3% decrease, after a 0.8% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.6% increase.

The fall was driven by declines in durable consumer goods, energy and capital output.

On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production gained 1.1% in November, missing expectations for a 1.3% rise, after a 2.0% increase in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.9% gain.

The increase was mainly driven by rises in durable consumer goods, non-durable consumer goods, intermediate goods output and capital goods.

Current figures:

Name Price Change Change %

FTSE 100 6,003.11 +73.87 +1.25 %

DAX 10,119.98 +134.55 +1.35 %

CAC 40 4,454.61 +75.86 +1.73 %

10:43
Greek consumer prices increase 0.1% in December

The Hellenic Statistical Authority released its consumer price inflation data for Greece on Wednesday. Greek consumer prices increased 0.1% in December, after the 0.8% drop in November.

On a yearly basis, the Greek consumer price index declined 0.2% in December, after a 0.7 fall in November. Consumer prices in Greece declined since March 2013.

Housing prices plunged at an annual rate of 3.6% in December, transport costs dropped by 2.1%, clothing and footwear prices were up 0.8%, while household equipment prices were down 1.7%.

Prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages climbed at an annual rate of 2.8% in December, while alcoholic beverages and tobacco prices increased by 1.4%.

10:29
France’s current account deficit is €1.4 billion in November

The Bank of France released its current account data on Wednesday. France's current account deficit was €1.4 billion in November, down from a deficit of €1.0 billion in October. October's figure was revised up from a deficit of €1.4 billion.

The trade goods deficit narrowed to €2.9 billion in November from €3.0 billion in October, while the surplus on services fell to €800 billion from €1.3 billion.

10:22
Eurozone’s industrial production drops 0.7% in November

Eurostat released its industrial production data for the Eurozone on Wednesday. Industrial production in the Eurozone dropped 0.7% in November, missing expectations for a 0.3% decrease, after a 0.8% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.6% increase.

The fall was driven by declines in durable consumer goods, energy and capital output. Durable consumer goods output fell 1.0% in November, capital goods output dropped 1.9%, while energy output plunged 4.3%.

Intermediate goods output was up 0.7% in November, while non-durable consumer goods were up 0.1%.

On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production gained 1.1% in November, missing expectations for a 1.3% rise, after a 2.0% increase in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.9% gain.

The increase was mainly driven by rises in durable consumer goods, non-durable consumer goods, intermediate goods output and capital goods. Durable consumer goods climbed by 1.7% in November from a year ago, capital goods rose by 1.2%, non-durable consumer goods gained by 1.2%, while intermediate goods output increased by 2.1%.

Energy output declined by 2.8% in November from a year ago.

10:00
Eurozone: Industrial production, (MoM), November -0.7% (forecast -0.3%)
10:00
Eurozone: Industrial Production (YoY), November 1.1% (forecast 1.3%)
09:53
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

USD/JPY 117.00 (USD 225m) 117.15 (672m) 119.50 (584m)

EUR/USD 1.0800 (EUR 840m) 1.0870 (350m) 1.0950 (625m) 1.1035 (2.5bln)

AUD/USD 0.6900 (AUD 794m) 0.7025 (318m) 0.7075 (911m)

09:47
French consumer price inflation rises 0.2% in December

The French statistical office Insee released its consumer price inflation for France on Wednesday. The French consumer price inflation rose 0.2% in December, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.2% fall in November.

On a yearly basis, the consumer price index increased 0.2% in December, after a flat reading in November.

Fresh food prices rose 3.1% year-on-year in December, services prices climbed by 1.1%, while petroleum products prices dropped by 9.7%.

09:23
Bloomberg Commodities Index hits the lowest level since 1991

Bloomberg Commodities Index, which is composed of futures contracts on 22 commodities, dropped by 1.5% to 74.02 on Tuesday and reached the lowest level since 1991. According to Bloomberg, the weak global growth, the oversupply and the strong U.S. dollar are the reasons for the drop. The slowdown in the Chinese economy also weighs on commodities.

09:03
China's trade surplus climbs to $58.2 billion in December

The Chinese Customs Office released its trade data on Wednesday. China's trade surplus climbed to $58.2 billion in December from $54.1 billion in November, beating expectations for a decline to a surplus of $53.0 billion.

Exports fell at an annual rate of 1.4% in December, while imports slid at an annual rate of 7.6%, the fourteenth consecutive decline.

In yuan denomination, exports climbed 2.3% in December, while imports dropped 4.0%.

08:01
France: CPI, m/m, December 0.2% (forecast 0.1%)
07:47
France: CPI, y/y, December 0.2%
07:31
Options levels on wednesday, January 13, 2016: EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1003 (2691)

$1.0956 (1784)

$1.0900 (299)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.0830

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.0789 (1184)

$1.0744 (3423)

$1.0716 (5321)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date February, 5 is 33438 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1150 (3117);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date February, 5 is 47721 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0700 (7866);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.43 versus 1.38 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 12


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4704 (2513)

$1.4606 (1416)

$1.4509 (220)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4446

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.4389 (1217)

$1.4293 (478)

$1.4195 (880)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date February, 5 is 17307 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4700 (2513);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date February, 5 is 16925 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4550 (2012);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.98 versus 1.06 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 12


* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:56
Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the U.S. dollar gained AUDUSD EURUSD GBPUSD NZDUSD USDCAD USDCHF USDJPY

Economic calendar (GMT0):

Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual

02:00 China Trade Balance, bln December 54.1 53 58.2

The U.S. dollar advanced as calmer financial markets boosted appetite for currencies that offer higher yield rather than safe-haven assets.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars rose on better-than-expected trade balance data from China. The country's trade surplus rose to $58.1 billion in December from $54.1 billion in November. Exports rose by 2.3% in December vs a decline of 8.0% expected by economists. Imports fell by 4.0%. Exports fell by 1.8% over 2015 because of weak demand overseas. Meanwhile imports fell by 13.2%.

EUR/USD: the pair declined to $1.0831 in Asian trade

USD/JPY: the pair rose to Y118.13

GBP/USD: the pair steady at $1.4444

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

07:45 France CPI, m/m December -0.2% 0.1%

07:45 France CPI, y/y December 0.0%

10:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) November 0.6% -0.3%

10:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) November 1.9% 1.3%

12:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications January -11.6%

13:00 Switzerland Gov Board Member Fritz Zurbrugg Speaks

15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories January -5.085 2.6

19:00 U.S. Federal budget December -65 -2.7

19:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book

23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders November 10.7% -7.9%

23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders, y/y November 10.3% 6.3%

06:26
Oil prices climbed

West Texas Intermediate futures for February delivery rebounded to $30.81 (+1.22%), while Brent crude climbed to $31.15 (+0.94%) after breaching the $30 dollar threshold. However some analysts are still not sure that $30 per barrel was the bottom and that there are signs of trend reversal.

Investors also paid attention to comments by Nigerian oil minister, who said that some OPEC members were calling for an emergency meeting. Cartel members failed to agree on solutions needed to support oil prices when they met on December 4.

This week analysts from Barclays, Macquarie and Bank of America Merrill Lynch revised down their 2016 oil price forecasts. Later today the Energy Information Administration will release its weekly report on U.S. crude oil inventories.

06:16
Gold declined slightly

Gold is currently at $1,084.60 (-0.06%). Bullion declined further as a rebound in stocks reduced demand for safe-haven assets. A stronger greenback put additional pressure on gold. The dollar is likely to do well in 2016 with market participants expecting the Federal Reserve to raise rates further this year. This would increase the opportunity cost of holding the non-interest-paying precious metal and reduce demand.

06:07
Global Stocks: U.S. stock indices advanced

U.S. stock indices rose on Tuesday as gains in technology and health-care stocks outweighed declines in oil.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 117.65 points, or 0.7%, to 16,516.22. The S&P 500 climbed 15.01 point, or 0.8%, to 1,938.68 (8 out of its 10 sectors advanced). The Nasdaq Composite gained 47.93 points, or 1%, to 4,685.92.

The U.S. National Federation of Independent Business reported that small business confidence slightly improved in December, but remained quite weak. The small business confidence index rose to 95.2 points from 94.8 in November. The reading is below the long-term average of 98.0 points. Economists had expected a reading of 95.4.

Investors also paid attention to comments by Nigerian oil minister, who said that some OPEC members were calling for an emergency meeting. This week analysts from Barclays, Macquarie and Bank of America Merrill Lynch revised down their 2016 oil price forecasts.

This morning in Asia Hong Kong Hang Seng gained 2.22%, or 438.33, to 20,150.09. China Shanghai Composite Index declined 0.47%, or 14.19, to 3,008.67. The Nikkei rose 2.49%, or 429.40, to 17,648.36.

Asian stocks traded mixed. Japanese stocks rose after a six-day decline. Gains in Wall Street and a weaker yen supported stocks.

02:28
Nikkei 225 17,602.75 +383.79 +2.23 %, Hang Seng 20,027.11 +315.35 +1.60 %, Shanghai Composite 3,034.49 +11.63 +0.38 %
02:07
China: Trade Balance, bln, December 58.2 (forecast 53)
00:03
Commodities. Daily history for Jan 12’2016:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 30.58 +0.46%

Gold 1,086.00 +0.07%

00:03
Stocks. Daily history for Sep Jan 12’2016:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei 225 17,218.96 -479.00 -2.71 %

Hang Seng 19,711.76 -176.74 -0.89 %

Shanghai Composite 3,023.19 +6.48 +0.21 %

FTSE 100 5,929.24 +57.41 +0.98 %

CAC 40 4,378.75 +66.01 +1.53 %

Xetra DAX 9,985.43 +160.36 +1.63 %

S&P 500 1,938.68 +15.01 +0.78 %

NASDAQ Composite 4,685.92 +47.93 +1.03 %

Dow Jones 16,516.22 +117.65 +0.72 %

00:02
Currencies. Daily history for Jan 12’2016:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,0857 -0,01%

GBP/USD $1,4445 -0,67%

USD/CHF Chf1,002 +0,07%

USD/JPY Y117,64 -0,09%

EUR/JPY Y127,73 -0,10%

GBP/JPY Y169,93 -0,75%

AUD/USD $0,6984 -0,13%

NZD/USD $0,6535 -0,35%

USD/CAD C$1,4259 +0,31%

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