(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 64.81 +0.79%
Gold 1,340.50 +0.42%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei +61.06 23714.88 +0.26%
TOPIX +7.66 1883.90 +0.41%
Hang Seng -73.67 31338.87 -0.23%
CSI 300 +0.24 4225.24 +0.01%
Euro Stoxx 50 -0.80 3611.81 -0.02%
FTSE 100 -9.50 7769.14 -0.12%
DAX -44.52 13200.51 -0.34%
CAC 40 -7.37 5509.69 -0.13%
(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2265 +1,46%
GBP/USD $1,3794 +0,45%
USD/CHF Chf0,96279 -0,55%
USD/JPY Y110,51 -0,46%
EUR/JPY Y135,54 +0,17%
GBP/JPY Y152,457 0,00%
AUD/USD $0,7963 +0,64%
NZD/USD $0,7297 +0,58%
USD/CAD C$1,24275 -0,34%
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) December 2.1%
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) December 0.1%
04:30 Japan Tertiary Industry Index November 0.3%
07:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Finally) December 1.8% 1.7%
07:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Finally) December 0.3% 0.6%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) December 7.3% 5.4%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) December 1.8% 0.4%
09:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m December 0.2% 0.6%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) December 3.0% 2.9%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) December 0.3% 0.3%
09:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y December 3.9% 3.9%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y December 2.7% 2.6%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m December 0.3% 0.4%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y December 3.1% 3%
13:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index January 18 18
17:00 Switzerland SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks
23:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence January 103.3
23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders November 5% -1.4%
23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders, y/y November 2.3% -0.7%
Minutes showed additional arguments for hike were the risk of stronger-than-expected pro-cyclicality of fiscal and income policies in 2018 or that of a chronic worsening of budget expenditure composition
A major source of uncertainty and upside risks to inflation outlook was the evolution of fuel prices and other utility prices, amid high volatility of international oil prices
Believes risks from falls in asset prices, any associated economic fallout as & when quantitative easing (qe) is withdrawn are overestimated
Global financial conditions expected to remain favourable for bond issuance and credit in 2018
The first estimate for euro area (EA19) exports of goods to the rest of the world in November 2017 was €197.5 billion, an increase of 7.7% compared with November 2016 (€183.5 bn). Imports from the rest of the world stood at €171.2 bn, a rise of 7.3% compared with November 2016 (€159.6 bn).
As a result, the euro area recorded a €26.3 bn surplus in trade in goods with the rest of the world in November 2017, compared with +€23.8 bn in November 2016. Intra-euro area trade rose to €165.5 bn in November 2017, up by 6.9% compared with November 2016. These data are released by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.
Japan's financial system maintaining stability
BoJ will maintain qqe with yield curve control for as long as needed to achieve 2 pct inflation in stable manner
BoJ will adjust monetary policy as needed to maintain economy's momentum to achieve its price target
Japan's economy expected to continue expanding moderately
Japan's economy expanding moderately
January 2018 meeting: Market is attaching 98.5 percent probability that rates will be at 1.25-1.50 percent, and 1.5 percent probability that rates will be at 1.50-1.75 percent.
March 2018 meeting: Market is attaching 26.3 percent probability that rates will be at 1.25-1.50 percent, 72.6 percent probability that rates will be at 1.50-1.75 percent, and 1.1 percent probability that rates will be at 1.75-2.00 percent.
May 2018 meeting: Market is attaching 25.8 percent probability that rates will be at 1.25-1.50 percent, 71.6 percent probability that rates will be at 1.50-1.75 percent, and 2.6 percent probability that rates will be at 1.75-2.00 percent.
June 2018 meeting: Market is attaching 7 percent probability that rates will be at 1.25-1.50 percent, 36.7 percent probability that rates will be at 1.50-1.75 percent, 49.9 percent probability that rates will be at 1.75-2.00 percent, and 6.5 percent probability that rates will be at 2.00-2.25.
August 2018 meeting: Market is attaching 11.1 percent probability that rates will be at 1.25-1.50 percent, 40.7 percent probability that rates will be at 1.50-1.75 percent, 41 percent probability that rates will be at 1.75-2.00 percent, 6.9 percent probability that rates will be at 2.00-2.25 percent, and 0.3 percent probability that rates will be at 2.25-2.50 percent.
Says recent U.S. statements on Iran nuclear pact do not add optimism
Says Russia will work to preserve existing Iran nuclear deal
U.K. blue-chip stocks edged higher Friday, scoring a fresh record high, as GKN PLC surged after rebuffing a takeover move. Industrial shares climbed, helping the London FTSE 100 log a sixth weekly win in a row.
U.S. stock indexes on Friday closed out what has been a stellar start to a calendar year for equity trading. In fact, the roughly 4.4% rise for the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.89% and the 4.2% rise for the S&P 500 index SPX, +0.67% so far in 2018, represent the best start to a year since 2003, according to WSJ Market Data Group.
Asian stocks built on the strong start to this year and headed for a fresh record high amid optimism in global growth. The yen advanced as traders continued to pile out of bets against the Japanese currency. Hong Kong's benchmark is making a run at its record close since the global financial crisis, and Japanese equities were rising even in face of the yen's appreciation.
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.2313 (4085)
$1.2291 (3476)
$1.2260 (2873)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.2224
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2115 (545)
$1.2087 (1716)
$1.2054 (2055)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date February, 9 is 94394 contracts (according to data from January, 12) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2100 (5552);
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3841 (3190)
$1.3808 (3490)
$1.3788 (1563)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.3750
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3623 (201)
$1.3591 (659)
$1.3556 (1233)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date February, 9 is 30167 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3600 (3490);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date February, 9 is 26584 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (3246);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.88 versus 0.92 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 12
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
NIKKEI 23653.82 -56.61 -0.24%
SHANGHAI 3429.32 +3.97 +0.12%
HSI 31412.54 +292.15 +0.94%
ASX 200 6070.10 +2.50 +0.04%
KOSPI 2496.42 +8.51 +0.34%
NZ50 8242.35 -8.09 -0.10%
Euro Stoxx 50 +17.37 3612.61 +0.48%
FTSE 100 +15.70 7778.64 +0.20%
DAX +42.13 13245.03 +0.32%
CAC 40 +28.51 5517.06 +0.52%
DJIA +228.46 25803.19 +0.89%
S&P 500 +18.68 2786.24 +0.67%
NASDAQ +49.29 7261.06 +0.68%
S&P/TSX +21.24 16308.18 +0.13%
(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2086 +0,45%
GBP/USD $1,3732 +1,41%
USD/CHF Chf0,9681 -0,80%
USD/JPY Y111,02 -0,22%
EUR/JPY Y135,31 +1,07%
GBP/JPY Y152,45 +1,18%
AUD/USD $0,7912 +0,27%
NZD/USD $0,7255 -0,07%
USD/CAD C$1,247 -0,40%
00:00 Australia MI Inflation Gauge, m/m December 0.2%
U.S. Bank holiday 10:00
Eurozone Trade balance unadjusted November 18.9 22.4
18:15 United Kingdom MPC Member Tenreyro Speaks
21:00 New Zealand NZIER Business Confidence Quarter IV 5%
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