Forex-novosti i prognoze od 25-03-2016

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1336 (3191)

$1.1275 (2979)

$1.1235 (3117)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1163

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1095 (2291)

$1.1062 (3894)

$1.1024 (2209)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 8 is 47081 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (4389);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 8 is 67757 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0900 (6041);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.44 versus 1.44 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 24

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4403 (1870)

$1.4306 (964)

$1.4209 (527)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4124

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3994 (2354)

$1.3896 (1080)

$1.3798 (1047)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 8 is 20570 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4400 (1870);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 8 is 22496 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4000 (2354);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.09 versus 1.14 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 24

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

The dollar was on track on Friday for a weekly gain of over 1 percent against a basket of currencies after a chorus of U.S. Federal Reserve officials signaled more interest rate increases than the market had been pricing in. The latest was St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who said on Thursday that another U.S. interest rate hike "may not be far off" and noted labor market improvement. This week's hawkish remarks followed the central bank's March meeting last week, in which the Fed halved its rate hike expectations to two from four for this year.

Trading globally was likely to be thin, with many key markets, including Australia, the UK and the United States, closed to observe Good Friday. Some will be closed Monday as well after Sunday's Easter holiday.

Data earlier on Friday showed that Japan's consumer inflation was flat in the year to February as low energy costs and weak consumption put a lid on price growth, keeping pressure on the Bank of Japan to add more stimulus even after easing policy less than two months ago.

The attacks added to pressure on sterling and sent it to its weakest trade-weighted basis in two years on fears that British voters would decide at a poll in June to leave the European Union.

EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.1155

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.4105

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y113.30

Based on Reuters materials

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 39.59 +0.33%

Gold 1,216.70 -0.40%

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

S&P/ASX 200 5,084.21 -58.06 -1.13%

TOPIX 1,354.61 -9.59 -0.70%

SHANGHAI COMP 2,961.12 -48.85 -1.62%

HANG SENG 20,345.61 -269.62 -1.31%

FTSE 100 6,106.48 -92.63 -1.49 %

CAC 40 4,329.68 -94.30 -2.13 %

Xetra DAX 9,851.35 -171.58 -1.71 %

S&P 500 2,035.94 -0.77 -0.04 %

NASDAQ Composite 4,773.5 +4.64 +0.10 %

Dow Jones 17,515.73 +13.14 +0.08 %

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1178 -0,02%

GBP/USD $1,4152 +0,25%

USD/CHF Chf0,9755 +0,04%

USD/JPY Y112,81 +0,38%

EUR/JPY Y126,10 +0,37%

GBP/JPY Y159,64 +0,63%

AUD/USD $0,7524 -0,12%

NZD/USD $0,6699 -0,10%

USD/CAD C$1,3242 +0,28%

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:00 Australia Bank holiday

00:00 New Zealand Bank holiday

05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index (Finally) January 101.8 101.4

05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Finally) January 110.9

06:00 United Kingdom Bank holiday

06:00 Germany Bank Holiday

06:00 Switzerland Bank holiday

12:00 Canada Bank holiday

12:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (Finally) Quarter IV 2.0% 1%